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OSU

Ohio State 52 at Rutgers 13

RUTG
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:50 · Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−17.7Score differential−20.1Pregame prior−25.2Garbage-time factor−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:34: Garrett Wilson 32 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:23: Aron Cruickshank 75 Yd pass from Noah Vedral (Valentino Ambrosio PAT blocked) — RUTG win probability +2.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:31: Mitch Rossi 1 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:27: Jeremy Ruckert 19 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — RUTG win probability +0.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:24: Chris Olave 56 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — RUTG win probability +0.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 10OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:45RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45OSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 6, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:50RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:51RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 22, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:51RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 14, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:05RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:18RUTG 4th & 6 at OSU 27, down 46
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:05OSU 4th & 20 at OSU 40, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:47OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 27, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:13OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 28, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:46RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 48, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:51RUTG 4th & 1 at OSU 38, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:20OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 46, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:13OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:33OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:34OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:23RUTG Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:31OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:27OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:24OSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:21OSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:40RUTG Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:0516% → 17%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
16.3%
Vedral, Noah pass incomplete to Cruickshank, Aron, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Banks, Sevyn) 15 yards to the RUTGERS28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
16.3%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
16.6%
Aron Cruickshank run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+11
16.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 11 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
17.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
17.4%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
17.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Isaih PachecoSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
17.3%
Matt Alaimo pass incomplete to Aaron Young, broken up by Cameron MartinezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:2583% → 83%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
17.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+44
16.8%
TreVeyon Henderson 44 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2717% → 16%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
17.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-23
16.4%
Denzel Burke 23 Yd Interception Return (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5917% → 16%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
16.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
16.4%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Johnny LanganSimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
16.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for no gain to the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:3684% → 85%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
16.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 22 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
16.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
16.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
15.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 9 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 26
-4
16.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+17
16.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 17 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
15.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
15.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+3
16.0%
C.J. Stroud run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
15.4%
Noah Ruggles 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1515% → 15%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
15.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
14.9%
Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
15.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:3885% → 88%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
15.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 15 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
15.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
15.0%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+21
15.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marcus Crowley for 21 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
11.8%
Garrett Wilson 32 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
14.4%
Aron Cruickshank 75 Yd pass from Noah Vedral (Valentino Ambrosio PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4487% → 94%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
13.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
13.2%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
12.9%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+38
12.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 38 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
12.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 8 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+10
12.1%
C.J. Stroud run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
12.0%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
11.9%
Stroud, C.J. rush for loss of 6 yards to the RUTGERS7, fumble by Stroud, C.J. recovered by OHIOST Stroud, C.J. at RUTGERS7, PENALTY RUTGERS offside (Maijeh, Ifeanyi) 0 yards to the RUTGERS1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.7%
Mitch Rossi 1 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:297% → 6%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
7.2%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
7.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 5 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+6
6.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
6.3%
Shameen Jones run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
6.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 4 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
6.4%
Shameen Jones run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
6.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
6.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 1 yd to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+1
6.2%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:1695% → 95%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
50
+19
5.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 19 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
4.9%
Garrett Wilson run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
4.7%
Master Teague III run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
4.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Nicholas Petit-Frere) to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
4.6%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
4.7%
Jeremy Ruckert 19 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:256% → 5%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
6.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Isaih Pacheco, broken up by Marcus WilliamsonSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
5.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 7 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
5.4%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
5.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:2296% → 95%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
4.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr., broken up by Tyreek Maddox-WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
4.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 12 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
4.0%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the OhSt 44Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
4.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave, broken up by Olakunle FatukasiSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+56
5.2%
Chris Olave 56 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:213% → 3%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
3.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Khayri Banton, broken up by Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-9
2.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aaron Young for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 19
OWN 10
+4
2.7%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 15
OWN 14
+1
2.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 55 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:1495% → 96%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
4.8%
Marcus Crowley run for 3 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
4.6%
Marcus Crowley run for 3 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
4.2%
Marcus Crowley run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3398% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.3%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
2.2%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
2.2%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
2.0%
Stroud, C.J. pass complete to Olave, Chris for 8 yards to the OHIOST44, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Johnson Jr., Paris) 10 yards to the OHIOST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
2.0%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+18
2.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 18 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+28
1.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 28 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
1.5%
Master Teague III run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
1.5%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
1.5%
Chris Olave 11 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17INT
14 plays · 51 yds · 5:481% → 1%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
1.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+7
1.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 7 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
1.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 7 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
1.0%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
1.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+1
0.8%
Noah Vedral run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
0.8%
Noah Vedral run for 12 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
0.8%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
0.8%
Shameen Jones run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
0.7%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
0.7%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
0.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 6
OPP 27
0
0.5%
Noah Vedral pass intercepted Tommy Eichenberg return for no gain to the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0799% → 99%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
0.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 10 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+26
0.8%
Marcus Crowley run for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (Naijee Jones) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down. Naijee Jones ejected for targeting. Similar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
50
0
0.7%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Joe RoyerSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
50
-10
0.7%
Crowley, Marcus rush for 6 yards to the RUTGERS44, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Jackson, Donovan) 10 yards to the OHIOST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+3
0.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 3 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 17
OWN 43
-10
0.7%
McCord, Kyle pass complete to Smith-Njigba, Jaxon for 10 yards to the RUTGERS47, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Vimahi, Enokk) 10 yards to the OHIOST33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 27
OWN 33
+7
0.7%
Kyle McCord run for 7 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
0.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 38 yds, downed at the Rutgr 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
0.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 1 yd to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
0.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 4 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+23
0.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
50
0
0.3%
Noah Vedral pass intercepted Ryan Watts return for no gain to the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5899% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+22
0.6%
Marcus Crowley run for 22 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.5%
Marcus Crowley run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-10
0.5%
Kyle McCord sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 27Similar
Q4 12:47
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+4
0.5%
Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 6 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-3
0.2%
Cole Snyder run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+13
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 13 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+11
0.2%
Jamier Wright-Collins run for 11 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 8 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+3
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 3 yds Isaiah Washington fumbled, forced by Jaden McKenzie, recovered by Rutgr Isaiah Washington for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington, broken up by Jack SawyerSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
0.2%
Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+8
0.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 8 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+5
0.2%
Snyder, Cole rush for 3 yards to the OHIOST14, PENALTY OHIOST substitution infraction 5 yards to the OHIOST12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.2%
Joshua Youngblood 12 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
0.2%
Jack Miller III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Jack Miller III pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Christian Braswell at the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:140% → 0%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
0.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 9 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-12
0.1%
Evan Simon sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the Rutgr 27 Evan Simon fumbled, forced by Tyleik Williams, recovered by Rutgr Joshua Youngblood , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 22
OWN 27
+11
0.1%
Evan Simon run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+10
0.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 10 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+5
0.1%
Jamier Wright-Collins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
0.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 1 yd to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+6
0.1%
Brandon Sanders run for 6 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
0.1%
Jamier Wright-Collins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
0.1%
Evan Simon run for no gain to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.1%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
0.1%
Jack Miller III run for 2 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 2
OWN 46
-7
0.1%
Jack Miller III run for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 39 Jack Miller III fumbled, recovered by OhSt Jack Miller IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:110% → 0%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
0.1%
Jamier Wright-Collins run for 21 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
0.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Christian Dremel for 4 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:31
Mitch Rossi 1 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)
-6.2
TD · Q1 2:34
Garrett Wilson 32 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)
-3.2
TD · Q1 2:23
Aron Cruickshank 75 Yd pass from Noah Vedral (Valentino Ambrosio PAT blocked)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com