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PUR

Purdue 31 at Ohio State 59

OSU
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:20 · Jack Ansell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior+33.5Home team on offense+4.2Score differential+1.4Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:14: TreVeyon Henderson run for 57 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:42: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 20 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:01: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +2.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:12: Mitchell Fineran 32 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +5.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:02: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +2.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:55PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:20PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:12PUR 4th & 10 at OSU 14, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -1.5%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:18OSU 4th & 8 at PUR 13, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:48OSU 4th & 1 at PUR 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:11OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:40PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:40PUR 4th & 8 at OSU 24, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:45OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:56PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:04OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 5:14OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:42OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:28OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 9:01PUR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 7:22OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:48OSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:53PUR Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 2:02PUR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 12:51OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5010% → 11%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
89.7%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-2
89.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 16 yds, downed at the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:0090% → 90%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
89.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 6 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+8
89.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 8 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
89.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
89.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
89.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 21 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4211% → 12%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
89.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 23 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
89.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 6 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+7
88.9%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
88.9%
Jackson Anthrop run for 4 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+10
88.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 10 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
88.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
87.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 25 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:3688% → 89%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
87.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+49
87.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 49 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
88.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+15
88.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (6 Yards) to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 3Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:2711% → 12%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
88.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Broc ThompsonSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
88.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+16
88.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 16 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
88.0%
King Doerue run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 43 King Doerue fumbled, recovered by OhSt Jerron CageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
90.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 57 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3710% → 10%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.9%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
89.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
89.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+4
90.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+3
89.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
89.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2390% → 95%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Miyan Williams for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+8
90.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
89.9%
Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
90.1%
Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
90.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+7
90.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.4%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
90.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+8
90.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
90.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
94.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 20 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0595% → 96%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
94.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 12 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:194% → 6%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.2%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
96.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 7 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
96.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
96.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
96.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
96.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
50
+24
96.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 24 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
96.3%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+9
96.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
93.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
94.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1695% → 97%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
95.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
95.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 13 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
97.4%
Garrett Wilson run for 51 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 2:482% → 7%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
97.8%
Jackson Anthrop run for 7 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+9
97.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
97.8%
Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+7
97.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 7 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
97.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+15
97.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
97.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
97.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
92.6%
Mitchell Fineran 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 3:4295% → 99%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
94.8%
Miyan Williams run for 22 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
95.5%
Miyan Williams run for 12 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
95.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-2
95.2%
Miyan Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+5
95.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
95.9%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
95.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
96.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+7
97.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
97.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
97.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
98.8%
Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5799% → 99%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
99.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 19 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
99.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+26
99.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+5
99.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
99.3%
C.J. Stroud run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+10
99.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+24
99.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 24 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:481% → 1%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.5%
King Doerue run for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
99.5%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 5 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-15
99.5%
PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+10
99.6%
Zander Horvath run for 10 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+25
99.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 25 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 29 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.6%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+6
99.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 6 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Jesse Mirco punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:580% → 2%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
99.6%
Jackson Anthrop run for 11 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+10
99.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
99.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 18 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+20
99.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 20 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 3 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+8
99.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 8 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0498% → 100%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+13
98.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 13 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 4 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+11
98.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
98.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
98.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+5
98.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 51 yds · 4:500% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 24 lat. to Zander Horvath for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
David Bell run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+22
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 22 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 8
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21END OF GAME
11 plays · 68 yds · 7:10100% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+20
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 20 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+14
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 14 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+7
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 4:12
Mitchell Fineran 32 yd FG GOOD
-5.3
TD · Q2 13:42
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 20 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 9:01
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com