Try the model
AKR

Akron 7 at Ohio State 59

OSU
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Ohio Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Ethan Slike punt for 39 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 25 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OhSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior+45.7Home team on offense+3.1Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:27: DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 4 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:11: TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:23: Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 34 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:16: TreVeyon Henderson run for 14 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:43: DJ Irons pass intercepted for a TD Ronnie Hickman return for 46 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:56AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:07OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:08AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:38AKR 4th & 17 at AKR 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:37OSU 4th & 19 at OSU 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:14AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:32AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 49, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:01AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 48, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:50AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 37, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:10OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 41, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:59AKR 4th & 25 at OSU 25, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:27AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:27OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:11OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:23OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:16OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:43OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:56OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:14OSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:47OSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:580% → 1%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 13 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.6%
DJ Irons run for 6 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
99.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
99.5%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Tristian BrankSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Ethan Slike punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
99.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-6
99.5%
Kyle McCord run for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 15 Kyle McCord fumbled, recovered by OhStSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 16
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 16
OWN 15
+9
99.5%
Jesse Mirco punt for 49 yds , Konata Mumpfield returns for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:351% → 1%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.5%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.5%
DJ Irons run for 16 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 2 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
99.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
99.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tristian Brank for 8 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.3%
Blake Hester run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+9
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Blake Hester for 9 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+17
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 17 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 4 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 22 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+35
99.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 35 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Chris Olave for 5 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 4:191% → 1%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.1%
DJ Irons sacked by Haskell Garrett for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
99.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
99.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for no gain to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-4
98.8%
DJ Irons sacked by Haskell Garrett for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+5
98.8%
DJ Irons run for 5 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Ethan Slike punt for 32 yds, downed at the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+57
98.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 57 yds to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
98.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (Tony Georges) to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+3
98.9%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
98.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 39 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 25 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:1399% → 99%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
98.9%
Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
98.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Chris Olave for 7 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
98.9%
Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
98.8%
Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
98.8%
Kyle McCord run for 4 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
98.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-10
98.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+8
98.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 8 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
98.6%
Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 34 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.9%
DJ Irons run for 14 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
98.8%
Blake Hester run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
98.8%
DJ Irons run for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-34
98.7%
DJ Irons pass intercepted Cody Simon return for 24 yds to the OHIOST 31 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Akron 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:4499% → 100%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
98.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+23
98.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 23 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 14 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11INT TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:281% → 0%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.3%
DJ Irons sacked by Jerron Cage for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+6
99.3%
DJ Irons run for 6 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.2%
DJ Irons run for 2 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.3%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jonzell NorrilsSimilar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-46
99.8%
DJ Irons pass intercepted for a TD Ronnie Hickman return for 46 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.8%
DJ Irons sacked by Antwuan Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
99.8%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 17
OWN 18
-3
99.8%
Ethan Slike punt for 43 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 20 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
99.8%
Kyle McCord sacked by Jaylen Kelly-Powell for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+6
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 6 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 12
OPP 46
-7
99.8%
Kyle McCord sacked by Ryan Johnson and - 8h for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 19
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds, downed at the Akron 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:230% → 0%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
99.8%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+3
99.8%
Blake Hester run for 3 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.8%
Blake Hester run for 6 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+1
99.8%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Ethan Slike punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15FG
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:05100% → 100%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+39
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 39 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+32
99.8%
Noah Ruggles 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Master Teague III for 5 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+17
99.8%
Master Teague III run for 17 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
99.8%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted Charles Amankwaa return for 11 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-6
99.9%
DJ Irons sacked by Haskell Garrett for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
99.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:04100% → 100%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+85
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 85 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:510% → 0%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+10
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 10 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass complete to Cade Stover for 25 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 10 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 12 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass incomplete to Cade StoverSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 15 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
Blake Hester run for 11 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Blake Hester run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
99.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the OhSt 35 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 11
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Miyan Williams run for no gain to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 4 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Konata Mumpfield at the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24MISSED FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 6:370% → 0%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 5 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 4 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+21
99.9%
Blake Hester run for 21 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tristian Brank for 15 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Blake Hester run for 4 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
99.9%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+16
99.9%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 8 yds to the OhSt 11Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the OhSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the OhSt 7Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
100.0%
DJ Irons sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 10Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
100.0%
AKRON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 15Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
-10
100.0%
DJ Irons sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 25
+43
100.0%
Cory Smigel 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
100.0%
Jack Miller III pass complete to Chris Booker for 16 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
100.0%
Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
100.0%
Miyan Williams run for 15 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Jack Miller III pass incomplete to Chris BookerSimilar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
100.0%
Jack Miller III run for 8 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+8
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 8 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
Evan Pryor run for 12 yds for a TD (Dominic DiMaccio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
100.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 7 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Blake Hester run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Blake Hester for 6 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+18
100.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 18 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
100.0%
Zach Gibson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+7
100.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Blake Hester for 7 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
100.0%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
100.0%
Zach Gibson sacked by Ty Hamilton for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 15Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 11
OPP 15
-7
100.0%
Zach Gibson sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:16
TreVeyon Henderson run for 14 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 4:43
DJ Irons pass intercepted for a TD Ronnie Hickman return for 46 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 10:23
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 34 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com