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PUR

Purdue 32 at Northwestern 14

NU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Wrigley Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:33 · Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior−24.5Home team on offense−1.4Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:45: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 53 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +6.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Andrew Marty pass complete to Marshall Lang for 4 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +7.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:31: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — PUR win probability +5.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:29: Evan Hull run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +13.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q3 4:03: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 45 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +10.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:26PUR 4th & 10 at NU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46NU 4th & 11 at NU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:46PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29NU 4th & 8 at PUR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:34PUR 4th & 12 at NU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:33NU 4th & 5 at NU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:39PUR 4th & 4 at NU 8, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:47NU 4th & 10 at PUR 30, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:31NU 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−2.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:55NU 4th & 2 at PUR 37, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−1.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:41PUR 4th & 5 at NU 5, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−9.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:08NU 4th & 26 at NU 41, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:24PUR 4th & 8 at NU 21, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 1:45PUR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:00NU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:31PUR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:29NU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:03PUR Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:2782% → 80%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
18.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 16 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
18.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
18.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
18.4%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
18.4%
Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
18.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 15 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
18.4%
Jackson Anthrop run for 3 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
18.4%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-8
18.4%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Trevor Kent for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 20Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
20.5%
Mitchell Fineran 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4021% → 22%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
20.6%
PENALTY PUR Offside (Karlaftis,George) 5 yards from NU 20 to NU 25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+4
20.7%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
20.8%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
20.7%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for 14 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
20.9%
Stephon Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
20.9%
Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Evan HullSimilar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+3
20.7%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+9
21.7%
Derek Adams punt for 44 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for 9 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0078% → 77%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
21.9%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+7
21.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 7 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
22.0%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
23.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by JJ Jefferson at the Nwest 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:1724% → 25%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
23.6%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Andrew Clair for 9 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+5
23.8%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
23.8%
Andrew Clair run for 21 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
23.9%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 2 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
23.9%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+1
23.7%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
25.3%
Charlie Kuhbander 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:5576% → 75%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
24.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
24.8%
O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete to Bell,David broken up by Mitchell,Cameron PENALTY NU Pass Interference (Mitchell,Cameron) 15 yards from PUR20 to PUR35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
24.1%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
23.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
24.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+57
23.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 42 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 11 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
23.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
24.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+4
24.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
24.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
24.1%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
24.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
25.2%
Mitchell Fineran 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0125% → 25%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.4%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
25.4%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 28Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
24.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Marshall Lang for 2 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
25.4%
Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:5474% → 78%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
25.6%
O'Connell,Aidan sacked for loss of 7 yards to the PUR25 (Adebawore,Adetomiwa) PENALTY NU Holding (Hampton, Jr.,A.J.) 10 yards from PUR32 to PUR42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
24.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 21 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
24.7%
O'Connell,Aidan pass complete to Wright,Milton for 32 yards to the NU 05, End Of Play PENALTY PUR Holding (Long,Greg) 10 yards from NU 37 to NU 47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+8
25.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 8 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+14
24.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 14 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
24.2%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
24.2%
O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete to Doerue,King PENALTY PUR Holding (Long,Greg) 10 yards from NU 20 to NU 30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 15
OPP 30
0
24.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+14
25.6%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Bergin) to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
24.2%
Jackson Anthrop run for 1 yd to the Nwest 15Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+7
24.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 7 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
24.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
22.5%
Mitchell Fineran 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:5224% → 24%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 1 yd to the Nwest 24Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+46
24.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 46 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
27.2%
PENALTY NU False Start (Mangieri,Charlie) 5 yards from PUR30 to PUR35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+1
26.2%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 16
OPP 36
0
25.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to JJ JeffersonSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+6
24.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+1
23.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 1 yd to the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:0278% → 85%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
22.4%
Horvath,Zander rush for 2 yards gain to the PUR31 (Mitchell,Cameron) PENALTY PUR Chop Block (Holstege,Spencer) 14 yards from PUR29 to PUR15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 24
OWN 15
+12
23.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 12 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+11
23.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 11 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+9
21.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 9 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
15.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 53 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 1:3918% → 27%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+35
17.8%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 35 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 41 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jack Albers) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
19.1%
Andrew Marty run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
18.9%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for 10 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
20.0%
Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
19.9%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 5 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+19
18.8%
Evan Hull run for 19 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jack Albers) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
19.8%
Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Marshall LangSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
19.8%
Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
27.4%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Marshall Lang for 4 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:2778% → 84%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
22.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
22.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q3 14:58
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
22.3%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
22.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 19 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
21.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+5
21.8%
O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete to Anthrop,Jackson PENALTY PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Hartwig,Gus) 5 yards from NU 12 to NU 17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
21.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
16.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12TD
16 plays · 65 yds · 7:0218% → 34%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
18.3%
Andrew Marty run for 6 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
19.1%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
19.0%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
19.6%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
19.5%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
19.6%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
19.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+3
19.1%
Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
20.5%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
20.5%
Hull,Evan rush for 2 yards gain to the PUR26 (Grant,Marvin; Boyd Jr.,Prince) PENALTY PUR Offside (Boyd Jr.,Prince) 5 yards from PUR28 to PUR23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+2
20.5%
Andrew Marty run for 2 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
20.4%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+15
20.4%
Evan Hull run for 15 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.5%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.3%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:1973% → 87%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
26.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 17 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
24.8%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 3
50
+5
23.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
13.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 45 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:0817% → 17%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
16.9%
Andrew Marty run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+6
17.3%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
17.5%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
17.8%
Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
18.4%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
18.2%
Andrew Marty run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
17.4%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
16.5%
Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:1489% → 94%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
11.2%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
10.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+50
10.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 50 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
10.0%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
10.0%
Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd to the Nwest 5Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
6.5%
Mitchell Fineran 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 13 yds · 6:2510% → 5%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
9.5%
Andrew Marty run for 5 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
10.0%
Andrew Marty run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
10.3%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
10.0%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
10.3%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for 3 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+4
10.6%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 4 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
11.0%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+10
11.0%
Evan Hull run for 10 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
11.4%
Andrew Marty sacked by Joe Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-5
11.2%
Andrew Marty sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 17
50
-9
9.9%
Andrew Marty sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 41Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 26
OWN 41
-6
4.8%
Andrew Marty sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17FG
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:4496% → 99%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
3.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+9
3.7%
Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
3.8%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
2.6%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+4
2.6%
Jackson Anthrop run for 4 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
1.4%
Mitchell Fineran 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
0.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 1 yd to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
0.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
0.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 2:0999% → 99%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
1.2%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
1.1%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+1
0.9%
run for 1 yd to the Nwest 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:29
Evan Hull run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 4:03
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 45 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q2 0:00
Andrew Marty pass complete to Marshall Lang for 4 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com