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NU

Northwestern 7 at Wisconsin 35

WIS
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:16 · Jake Genyk punt for 38 yds , Danny Davis III returns for no gain to the Wisc 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+16.4Home team on offense+35.0Score differential+29.0Garbage-time factor+9.5Blowout margin+14.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Braelon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +1.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:08: Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:57: Stephon Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 23 — NU win probability +0.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:13: Braelon Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:26: Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 0 of 4NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:22WIS 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:36NU 4th & 4 at WIS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:28NU 4th & 12 at NU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:11NU 4th & 23 at NU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:55NU 4th & 20 at NU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:24NU 4th & 10 at NU 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:56WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 19, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:45NU 4th & 14 at WIS 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:49WIS 4th & 3 at NU 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:16NU 4th & 8 at NU 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:12NU 4th & 17 at WIS 34, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:40WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 32, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:44NU 4th & 2 at NU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:53WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:08WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:13WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:26WIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:43WIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:38NU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:0696% → 96%
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
95.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 16 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.9%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
95.8%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 2
50
0
95.7%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 2
50
0
95.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds, downed at the Nwest 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2INT
20 plays · 82 yds · 7:235% → 7%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
95.5%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+7
95.4%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
95.3%
Stephon Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
95.2%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
95.1%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.1%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.0%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for 5 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+9
94.9%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 9 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.8%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+14
94.8%
Andrew Marty run for 14 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
94.7%
Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
94.5%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
94.4%
Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
94.3%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
94.0%
Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-1
93.9%
Malik Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+12
93.9%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for 12 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
93.5%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 10Similar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
93.7%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Caesar Williams) to the Wisc 2Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.3%
Andrew Marty pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:3794% → 94%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+37
93.6%
Braelon Allen run for 37 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
93.7%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+8
93.7%
Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
93.5%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
93.5%
Brady Schipper run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+11
93.2%
Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
93.2%
Braelon Allen run for 13 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
93.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 14Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+3
92.9%
Brady Schipper run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
92.9%
MERTZ, Graham pass up the middle incomplete intended for DAVIS III, Danny thrown to the NWU0. PENALTY NWU Pass Interference on MITCHELL, Cameron enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the NWU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:256% → 7%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.7%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
93.3%
Calvin Johnson II run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+3
93.5%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Marshall Lang for 3 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
93.5%
Derek Adams punt for 27 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:0694% → 95%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
50
+4
93.6%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+8
93.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 8 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
93.4%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+3
93.4%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
93.4%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+17
93.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 17 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
93.3%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Nwest 13Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
95.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:466% → 5%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.5%
Stephon Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 23Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
94.5%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
94.5%
Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Nwest 24Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
94.6%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Nwest 6Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
94.6%
Derek Adams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Danny Davis III at the Nwest 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:5895% → 98%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.9%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
94.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to John Chenal for 1 yd to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+13
94.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 13 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
94.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 8 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+24
94.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Brady Schipper for 24 yds to the Nwest 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.6%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:013% → 3%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Andrew Marty run for no gain to the Nwest 25Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
97.2%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 24 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
97.1%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-6
97.1%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
97.2%
Andrew Marty sacked by Matt Henningsen for 0 yards to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 20
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Derek Adams punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9INT
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:3798% → 98%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
97.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+13
97.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 13 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.9%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
97.8%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+23
97.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 23 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
98.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+16
98.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 16 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
98.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 18 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.0%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
98.0%
Graham Mertz pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:253% → 2%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.4%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
97.4%
Andrew Marty run for 12 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
97.3%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+7
97.5%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 7 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+1
97.4%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 5
OPP 46
-5
97.5%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Malik Washington) to the Nwest 49Similar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
97.7%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Danny Davis III at the Wisc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
98.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 8 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 2
OWN 20
-1
98.0%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
97.9%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
97.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 55 yds , JJ Jefferson returns for no gain to the Nwest 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:342% → 2%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
97.9%
Andrew Clair run for 19 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
97.4%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 11Similar
Q3 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
97.5%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 13Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-1
97.7%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Thomas Gordon for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
97.9%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
97.9%
Charlie Kuhbander 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:4598% → 98%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 20Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
98.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
98.2%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+15
98.3%
Brady Schipper run for 15 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
98.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Scott Nelson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 15
50
+6
98.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Brady Schipper for 6 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
98.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 6 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
98.3%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Conor Schlichting punt for 25 yds, fair catch by JJ Jefferson at the Nwest 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.4%
Andrew Marty pass intercepted return for no gain to the Nwest 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:0098% → 100%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
98.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
98.0%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Nwest 11Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
99.8%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 39 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.8%
Andrew Marty run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Andrew Marty sacked by Leo Chenal for 0 yards to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 19
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Andrew Marty pass intercepted return for no gain to the Nwest 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.8%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+33
99.8%
Braelon Allen run for 33 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+17
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 17 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Jake Genyk punt for 38 yds , Danny Davis III returns for no gain to the Wisc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+13
99.9%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Chimere Dike for 13 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Julius Davis run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Julius Davis run for 5 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Jackson Acker run for 7 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the Wisc 38 fumbled, recovered by Nwest Trevor KentSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Andrew Clair for 7 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Hunter Wohler for 0 yards to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Andrew Clair for 1 yd to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 17
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 17
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wisc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
Brady Schipper run for 6 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+7
99.9%
Brady Schipper run for 7 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Brady Schipper run for 1 yd to the Wisc 24Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Brady Schipper run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 4 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Nwest 28Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
100.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+7
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+7
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 7 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 4 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the Nwest 10Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
100.0%
Julius Davis run for 3 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:13
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 9:08
Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
+2
TD · Q3 3:26
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com