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OHIO

Ohio 6 at Northwestern 35

NU
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:26 · Jonah Wieland punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bryce Kirtz at the Nwest 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+15.9Home team on offense+9.4Score differential+3.5Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:38: Evan Hull run for 17 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +2.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:36: Evan Hull run for 90 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +4.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:54: Charlie Kuhbander 24 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +3.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:52: Charlie Kuhbander 26 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:00: run for 7 yds for a TD Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 06:00 (S. Robinson Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion) — NU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 7:59OHIO 4th & 6 at NU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34NU 4th & 17 at NU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:50OHIO 4th & 8 at NU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:11OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:40NU 4th & 6 at OHIO 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41OHIO 4th & 10 at NU 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:28NU 4th & 4 at NU 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:26OHIO 4th & 7 at NU 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:54NU 4th & 6 at OHIO 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:11OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:14NU 4th & 3 at NU 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:18OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:00NU 4th & 13 at OHIO 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:44OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:52NU 4th & 8 at OHIO 8, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:41OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 3:38NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:36NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:00NU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:42NU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1MISSED FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 7:0123% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Armani Rogers for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
76.9%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 15 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
76.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
76.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 4 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 14 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Adetomiwa Adebawore for 0 yards to the Nwest 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+7
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+12
76.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 12 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+10
75.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 10 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+10
75.3%
QB Keeper ROGERS, Armani rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the NU 10 (AZEMA, Coco). PENALTY OU Holding on ATKINSON, Christophe enforced 10 yards from the NU 12 to the NU 22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+8
75.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 8 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
75.0%
Tristian Vandenberg 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2575% → 75%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
75.4%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
75.4%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
75.2%
HILINSKI, Ryan pass to the left complete for 20 yards to HULL, Evan caught at the NU 28 and advanced to the NU 45 (ELAD, Jett), out of bounds. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on WASHINGTON, Malik enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the NU 13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
75.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 17
OWN 13
+11
74.5%
Derek Adams punt for 51 yds , Ty Walton returns for 11 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
74.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 12 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:4775% → 79%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
75.4%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
75.3%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
75.4%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
75.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 20 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
75.9%
run for 7 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
75.9%
run for 2 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
75.7%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
78.6%
Evan Hull run for 17 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4323% → 23%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
77.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 21 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
76.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
76.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
77.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 39 yds, downed at the Nwest 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
82.1%
Evan Hull run for 90 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1719% → 18%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.1%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
81.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 7 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
81.4%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
81.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
81.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 45 yds , Bryce Kirtz returns for 13 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 4:3183% → 85%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
83.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 5 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
83.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for no gain to the Nwest 35Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+11
82.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 11 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
83.5%
OHIO Penalty, Offsides (Rodney Mathews) to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+2
83.6%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+8
83.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
83.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+11
83.6%
Andrew Clair run for 11 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
83.7%
OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
83.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
83.7%
run for 1 yd to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
83.1%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the Ohio 6Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
84.5%
Charlie Kuhbander 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5917% → 16%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
83.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 11 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
83.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
82.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
82.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
83.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 14 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
82.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
82.5%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Jeffery Pooler Jr. for 0 yards to the Nwest 42Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
84.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1385% → 84%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
84.5%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 5Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
84.5%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
84.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
83.9%
Derek Adams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ty Walton at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0217% → 15%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
50
0
83.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
50
+3
84.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 3 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
83.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
84.6%
Jonah Wieland punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bryce Kirtz at the Nwest 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 82 yds · 3:3285% → 90%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
85.2%
Evan Hull run for 14 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
85.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
85.8%
Bryce Kirtz run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+13
85.9%
Evan Hull run for 13 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
86.0%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
86.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+32
85.7%
Andrew Clair run for 32 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
86.1%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
88.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 2 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
89.7%
Charlie Kuhbander 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:3912% → 13%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
87.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 11 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
87.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
88.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+8
88.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
87.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nwest 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4689% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.9%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
88.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 10 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
89.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
89.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
88.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
88.8%
Derek Adams punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ohio 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5610% → 9%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
89.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Ohio 4Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+11
89.8%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
89.2%
OHIO Penalty, Delay Of Game (O'Shaan Allison) to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
89.3%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+3
89.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+7
89.5%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
90.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 40 yds, downed at the Nwest 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1893% → 93%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
92.5%
Evan Hull run for 15 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
92.6%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-2
92.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 13
OPP 48
-5
92.0%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Peter Skoronski) to the Nwest 47Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 18
OWN 47
+5
93.1%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 13
OPP 48
+2
93.3%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds , Ty Walton returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:168% → 6%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
91.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+8
91.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
91.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+17
91.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
91.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
91.0%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Jeremy Meiser for 0 yards to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
93.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 36 yds, downed at the Nwest 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:5295% → 98%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
94.7%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+31
94.6%
Evan Hull run for 31 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
94.9%
Andrew Clair run for 7 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+8
95.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 8 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the Ohio 23Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
95.0%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
94.9%
HILINSKI, Ryan pass to the left incomplete intended for MANGIERI, Charlie thrown to the OU 6. PENALTY OU Pass Interference on GREGORY, John enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the OU 7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
95.0%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
96.2%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
98.1%
Charlie Kuhbander 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:032% → 1%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
98.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 8 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+8
98.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 8 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
98.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+8
98.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 8 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ohio 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:0799% → 99%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
98.8%
Andrew Clair run for 12 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
98.8%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-2
98.9%
Ryan Hilinski run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 13 fumbled, recovered by Ohio Cannon BlauserSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
98.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 10 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
98.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
98.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 4 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
98.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
98.9%
Armani Rogers run for no gain to the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:4199% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.0%
run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
99.0%
run for 7 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
99.0%
Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.0%
run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+11
99.0%
run for 11 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
run for 7 yds for a TD Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 06:00 (S. Robinson Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
99.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 13 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Alec Burton for 3 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Armani Rogers sacked by Xander Mueller and Sean McLaughlin for 0 yards to the Ohio 19Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Marcus Cisco run for 2 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-3
99.9%
Jake Arthurs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+25
99.9%
Connor Newhouse run for 25 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Carl Richardson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Marcus Cisco run for 2 yds to the Ohio 5Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Jake Arthurs run for 5 yds for a TD (Trey Finison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
100.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+55
100.0%
Armani Rogers run for 55 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:36
Evan Hull run for 90 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+4.6
FG · Q2 0:54
Charlie Kuhbander 24 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
TD · Q1 3:38
Evan Hull run for 17 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com