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Indiana State 6 at Northwestern 24

NU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.9NU 95.4%Charlie Kuhbander 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 17 · Q3 12:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:17 · Charlie Kuhbander 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+27.6Home team on offense+16.5Score differential+8.4Garbage-time factor+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:17: Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 13 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down — NU win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 12:17: Charlie Kuhbander 47 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +0.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:48: Malik Washington run for 10 yds to the IndSt 28 — NU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:37: Evan Hull run for 13 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:32: Anthony Thompson pass complete to Zach Larkin for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — INST win probability +1.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7INST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 9:42INST 4th & 1 at INST 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:51INST 4th & 15 at NU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:38INST 4th & 11 at NU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:41NU 4th & 10 at NU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:49INST 4th & 14 at INST 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:15NU 4th & 13 at NU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17INST 4th & 4 at INST 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:11NU 4th & 19 at NU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:06INST 4th & 11 at INST 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:17NU 4th & 12 at INST 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:48INST 4th & 9 at INST 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:33NU 4th & 23 at INST 31, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:01INST 4th & 18 at INST 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:28INST 4th & 11 at INST 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:15NU 4th & 21 at INST 39, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:29INST 4th & 2 at INST 13, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:11NU 4th & 1 at NU 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3INST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:48NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:42NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:37NU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:32INST Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1296% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.6%
Evan Hull run for 12 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
95.6%
PENALTY NU False Start (Wiederkehr,Ethan) 5 yards from NU37 to NU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+18
95.6%
Evan Hull run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
95.6%
Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the IndSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
95.6%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Trey Pugh for 1 yd to the IndSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
95.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the IndSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
95.6%
Hunter Johnson run for 4 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
95.6%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the IndSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
95.6%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the IndSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
95.6%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the IndSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+18
95.6%
Andrew Clair run for 18 yds to the IndSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.1%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:515% → 6%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
94.9%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Zach LarkinSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
94.9%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 2 yds to the IndSt 30Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+7
94.9%
Matt Sora run for 7 yds to the IndSt 37Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+8
94.9%
Zach Larkin run for 8 yds to the IndSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
94.8%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 17 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.8%
Michael Haupert run for no gain to the Nwest 38Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.8%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-7
94.8%
Anthony Thompson sacked by Adetomiwa Adebawore for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 43 Anthony Thompson fumbled, recovered by IndSt Anthony Thompson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
94.3%
Travis Reiner punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 3:0994% → 95%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
94.2%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 8Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
94.2%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+20
94.1%
Evan Hull run for 20 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
94.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 16 yds to the IndSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
94.4%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Trey Pugh for 9 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+15
94.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 15 yds to the IndSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
95.2%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Malik Washington for 25 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 40 yds · 5:575% → 6%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
94.7%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 3 yds to the IndSt 25Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+13
94.6%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Michael Haupert for 13 yds to the IndSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
94.5%
Anthony Thompson run for 8 yds to the IndSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
94.3%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for no gain to the IndSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
94.4%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Michael Haupert for 5 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
94.3%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 1 yd to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
94.4%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 8 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
94.3%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Michael Haupert for 3 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
94.3%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 1 yd to the Nwest 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
94.4%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Michael HaupertSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
94.5%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for no gain to the Nwest 38Similar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
93.7%
Travis Reiner punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Bryce Kirtz at the Nwest 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5794% → 93%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
94.2%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+9
94.3%
Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
94.3%
Evan Hull run for 10 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
94.3%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+2
94.3%
Hunter Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
94.2%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
93.4%
Derek Adams punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4294% → 94%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.2%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Jr. Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
94.2%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the IndSt 25Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
94.0%
Hunter Johnson run for 4 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:106% → 6%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
93.6%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Zach Larkin for 6 yds to the IndSt 35Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
93.4%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Michael Haupert for 5 yds to the IndSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
93.4%
Thompson,Anthony pass complete to Larkin,Zach for 9 yards to the ISU49 (Joseph,Brandon) PENALTY ISU Holding (Booth,Jalen) 10 yards from ISU40 to ISU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+1
93.7%
Matt Sora run for 1 yd to the IndSt 31Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 19
OWN 31
0
93.8%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+5
93.9%
Matt Sora run for 5 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
93.6%
Travis Reiner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bryce Kirtz at the Nwest 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3493% → 93%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.3%
Hunter Johnson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
93.4%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-10
93.1%
Hunter Johnson sacked by Heath Stephen II for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 17Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
92.9%
Derek Adams punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Michael Haupert at the IndSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:587% → 7%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
93.2%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Henry Woodcock for 4 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
93.1%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 2 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
93.3%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Peterson KerlegrandSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
93.4%
Travis Reiner punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:0695% → 94%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
94.5%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 13 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Hunter Johnson run for no gain to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Jr. Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-10
94.5%
Johnson,Hunter rush for 9 yards gain to the NU49 (Edwards,Johnathan), out of bounds PENALTY NU Holding (Skoronski,Peter) 10 yards from NU40 to NU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+1
94.2%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Jr. Stephon Robinson for 1 yd to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
93.7%
Derek Adams punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Michael Haupert at the IndSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
94.0%
run for 2 yds to the IndSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:546% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for no gain to the IndSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.2%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 2 yds to the IndSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
94.2%
INDIANA ST Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
94.3%
Travis Reiner punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IndSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4995% → 95%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.8%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Genson Hooper PriceSimilar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
94.7%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
94.5%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Malik WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+47
95.4%
Charlie Kuhbander 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:225% → 4%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
95.5%
Justin Dinka run for 3 yds to the IndSt 25Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+7
95.5%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Michael Haupert for 7 yds to the IndSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
95.3%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Booth,Jalen) 5 yards from ISU32 to ISU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+1
95.5%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 1 yd to the IndSt 28Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+5
95.6%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 5 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
95.6%
Anthony Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
95.7%
Travis Reiner punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:1597% → 97%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
96.7%
Malik Washington run for 10 yds to the IndSt 28Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 20
OPP 28
-10
96.7%
Johnson,Hunter rush for 12 yards gain to the ISU16 (Dineen,Gavin) PENALTY NU Holding (Wiederkehr,Ethan) 10 yards from ISU28 to ISU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 30
OPP 38
+2
96.7%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Malik Washington for 2 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 28
OPP 36
+5
96.6%
Hunter Johnson run for 5 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 23
OPP 31
0
96.7%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Raymond Niro IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:324% → 3%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.9%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
96.1%
Justin Dinka run for 3 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+17
96.0%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Matt Sora for 17 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
95.7%
Anthony Thompson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the IndSt 43Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 18
OWN 43
0
96.2%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 18
OWN 43
0
96.2%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 18
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Travis Reiner punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:1797% → 97%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
96.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+3
96.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+7
96.8%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Jr. Stephon Robinson for 7 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
97.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+13
97.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.1%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Jr. Stephon Robinson for 5 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
97.2%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Hunter Johnson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:324% → 3%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
96.5%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 1 yd to the IndSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Henry WoodcockSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Rontrez MorganSimilar
Q4 14:28
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Travis Reiner punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:1398% → 98%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
97.7%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Jr. Stephon Robinson for 3 yds to the IndSt 25Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
97.7%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the IndSt 32Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 14
OPP 32
-7
97.6%
Hunter Johnson sacked by Matt Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the IndSt 39Similar
Q4 14:28
4TH & 21
OPP 39
0
97.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Delay Of Game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 21
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Derek Adams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Rontrez Morgan at the IndSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:463% → 2%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
97.3%
Anthony Thompson run for 2 yds to the IndSt 7Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+6
97.3%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 6 yds to the IndSt 13Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 2
OWN 13
0
97.2%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Rontrez MorganSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 2
OWN 13
0
97.6%
Travis Reiner punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:5298% → 99%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.0%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the IndSt 26Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+6
98.0%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the IndSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
98.0%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the IndSt 21Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+8
98.0%
Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the IndSt 13Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
99.4%
Evan Hull run for 13 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:051% → 2%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Phazione McClurge for 7 yds to the IndSt 32Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Phazione McClurgeSimilar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
99.4%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Phazione McClurge for 13 yds to the IndSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.4%
Thompson,Anthony pass incomplete to Morgan,Rontrez broken up by Heard II,Rod PENALTY NU Pass Interference (Heard II,Rod) 15 yards from ISU45 to NU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.4%
Anthony Thompson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+2
99.4%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 2 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Anthony Thompson pass incomplete to Harry Van DyneSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+15
99.5%
Thompson,Anthony pass incomplete to Morgan,Rontrez broken up by Pooler, Jr.,Jeffery PENALTY NU Roughing The Passer (Meiser,Jeremy) 15 yards from NU34 to NU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.5%
Kurtis Wilderman pass complete to Phazione McClurge for 6 yds to the Nwest 13Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+4
99.5%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 4 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Zach Larkin for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:3299% → 99%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+5
99.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+6
99.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
Hunter Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.3%
run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:37
Evan Hull run for 13 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q4 3:32
Anthony Thompson pass complete to Zach Larkin for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-1.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:17
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 13 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com