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NEB

Nebraska 28 at Wisconsin 35

WIS
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:22 · John Chenal run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+25.6Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:35: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — NEB win probability +10.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:24: Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — NEB win probability +16.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:30: Braelon Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +15.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:27: Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — NEB win probability +34.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:50: Braelon Allen run for 53 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +30.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:22WIS 4th & 1 at NEB 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    74.3%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22WIS 4th & 6 at NEB 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:22NEB 4th & 21 at WIS 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:53NEB 4th & 2 at WIS 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:43WIS 4th & 13 at NEB 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:35NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:50WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:19WIS 4th & 1 at NEB 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.9%−3.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:45NEB 4th & 2 at WIS 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−4.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:04NEB 4th & 20 at WIS 21, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 11.3 ptsWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%−11.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−12.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:41NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:35NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:35WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:24NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:30WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:27NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:50WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 2TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:5422% → 23%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+42
78.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 42 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
78.0%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-5
77.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+27
77.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 27 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
77.8%
Markese Stepp run for 7 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.2%
Markese Stepp run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:1178% → 76%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
77.5%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+18
77.4%
Braelon Allen run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
50
+1
77.5%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
77.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
77.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
76.9%
John Chenal run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.9%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric PryorSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
76.9%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+3
76.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 3 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
76.3%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Brady Schipper, broken up by Cam Taylor-BrittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:4324% → 25%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
75.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Marvin Scott III for 9 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
75.2%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
75.0%
Brody Belt run for 5 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+17
74.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 17 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
74.3%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
74.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi FalckSimilar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 15
OPP 36
-6
74.9%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 21
OPP 42
0
75.2%
William Przystup punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0175% → 78%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
75.1%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
75.4%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+71
78.4%
Braelon Allen run for 71 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5222% → 22%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+34
78.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 34 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
77.3%
Brody Belt run for no gain to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+19
77.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 19 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
76.7%
Brody Belt run for 3 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+11
76.6%
Brody Belt run for 11 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
76.6%
Brody Belt run for 8 yds to the Wisc 6Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
76.5%
Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the Wisc 5Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-1
77.1%
Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 6Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 2
OPP 6
0
77.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen, broken up by Scott NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:1379% → 78%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
78.6%
John Chenal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
78.5%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 6
OWN 10
-6
78.2%
Graham Mertz sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 4Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 12
OWN 4
0
77.7%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:0223% → 32%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
77.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
76.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 9 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
77.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
76.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+16
76.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 16 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.4%
Markese Stepp run for no gain to the Wisc 4Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier BettsSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
67.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:2773% → 71%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+35
73.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 35 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
75.4%
Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+17
75.3%
Julius Davis run for 17 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
75.3%
Allen, Braelon rush for no gain to the NEBRASKA12, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding 10 yards to the NEBRASKA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+3
74.9%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+4
74.5%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Brady Schipper for 4 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
73.2%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
71.3%
Collin Larsh 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5531% → 30%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
68.6%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
68.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-1
68.6%
Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
69.8%
William Przystup punt for 34 yds, downed at the Wisc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3873% → 70%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
72.6%
Brady Schipper run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
72.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Brady Schipper, broken up by Garrett NelsonSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
71.1%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Danny Davis IIISimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
70.2%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4032% → 32%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
68.0%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
67.9%
Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:1434% → 37%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
66.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 16 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
64.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-40
63.1%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Collin Wilder return for 40 yds to the Neb 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:5073% → 82%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
72.6%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+12
72.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
72.1%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
81.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 17 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0622% → 42%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Marvin Scott III run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
78.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 12 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
77.5%
Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
77.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 10 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
76.1%
Brody Belt run for 4 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
75.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+7
76.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 7 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
75.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+12
73.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 12 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
73.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 22 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4566% → 84%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.2%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
67.6%
Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+28
64.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 28 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
69.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
70.1%
Braelon Allen run for 22 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
70.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
69.8%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.1%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4220% → 18%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
80.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-3 Yards) to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+8
80.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Alante Brown for 8 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+4
80.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+1
81.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
80.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-3
82.1%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Collin Wilder return for 3 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:0687% → 87%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
87.3%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+12
87.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
88.2%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-5
88.7%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
88.3%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+9
87.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-1
87.4%
John Chenal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:3318% → 56%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
81.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 15 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
79.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 4 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
78.8%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-10
79.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+11
83.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 11 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+38
81.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 38 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
78.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Wisc 3Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
44.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3060% → 94%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.6%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
62.2%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
61.1%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
63.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
93.7%
Braelon Allen run for 53 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 44 yds · 3:4114% → 9%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
85.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
84.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Brody Belt for 7 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
84.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 19 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
81.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+7
78.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 7 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
78.3%
Brody Belt run for no gain to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
79.7%
Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Allen, Austin, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference 12 yards to the WISCONSIN11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
78.2%
Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Vokolek, Travis, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding 10 yards to the WISCONSIN21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 20
OPP 21
0
80.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 20
OPP 21
0
80.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 20
OPP 21
0
87.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 20
OPP 21
0
91.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier BettsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0197% → 97%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
96.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:27
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
-34.7
TD · Q4 3:50
Braelon Allen run for 53 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
+30.3
TD · Q3 6:24
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
-16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com