Try the model
PUR

Purdue 28 at Nebraska 23

NEB
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:44 · Timeout PURDUE, clock 01:44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:37: Jalen Graham 45 Yd Interception Return (Mitchell Fineran Kick) — PUR win probability +5.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:48: Z. Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +9.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:47: A. O'Connell pass,to M. Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +20.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:05: A. O'Connell pass,to J. Anthrop for 9 yds for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +20.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:44: Rahmir Johnson 12 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — NEB win probability +18.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:52PUR 4th & 11 at NEB 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:16PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:52PUR 4th & 12 at NEB 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:45PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−1.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:20NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:20PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:10NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:02PUR 4th & 20 at PUR 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−5.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:50PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:46NEB 4th & 20 at NEB 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−5.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:52NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−3.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:04NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:24PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 48, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:45PUR 4th & 8 at NEB 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:14PUR 4th & 10 at NEB 42, up 11
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:16NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:37PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:45NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:48PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:47PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:05PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:44NEB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.6%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:0832% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.1%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
68.1%
Jackson Anthrop run for 8 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
68.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
68.1%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
68.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+4
68.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 4 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
68.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
68.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-5
68.1%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+1
68.1%
Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
67.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:3668% → 71%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
67.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 7 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
67.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
67.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
67.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
67.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+30
67.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 30 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
68.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+10
68.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 10 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
68.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+1
68.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
68.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
70.7%
A. Martinez pass,to O. Manning for 16 yds for a TD, (C. Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3MISSED FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 6:2430% → 29%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.8%
Jackson Anthrop run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
69.6%
David Bell run for 6 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
69.5%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
69.4%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+12
69.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 12 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
69.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 12 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
68.6%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+5
68.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
69.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 5 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+8
69.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
68.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
68.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
69.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
70.7%
Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4INT TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:1571% → 66%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
71.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
71.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 7 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
71.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 18 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
72.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-10
72.1%
JOHNSON, Rahmir rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the PUR34, out of bounds. PENALTY NEB Holding on SICHTERMAN, Matt enforced 10 yards from the PUR46 to the NEB44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-45
66.2%
Jalen Graham 45 Yd Interception Return (Mitchell Fineran Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5266% → 73%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
65.9%
Jaquez Yant run for 33 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
67.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
67.9%
Jaquez Yant run for 18 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
67.9%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 4 fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.2%
A. Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD, (C. Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:5729% → 41%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
71.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
70.5%
King Doerue run for 11 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
69.7%
Jackson Anthrop run for 6 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
69.3%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
69.5%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
68.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
69.3%
Austin Burton run for no gain to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
70.1%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
68.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+13
68.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
68.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 11 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.5%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.8%
Z. Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:2865% → 69%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
64.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 43 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
67.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+9
67.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
67.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
68.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
67.7%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+33
68.9%
Chase Contreraz 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:0031% → 32%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.3%
King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
67.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 10 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
67.6%
King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
67.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
67.0%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
68.1%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2069% → 68%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
69.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
69.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
68.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4467% → 67%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
68.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Kydran Jenkins for 0 yards to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
66.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
67.0%
William Przystup punt for 62 yds, downed at the Prdue 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:0833% → 30%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
67.3%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 4Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+8
67.6%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass up the middle incomplete intended for ANTHROP, Jackson broken up by DOMANN, JoJo at the PUR12. PENALTY NEB Pass Interference on DOMANN, JoJo enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the PUR12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
67.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
67.3%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Ben Stille and Garrett Nelson for 0 yards to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 16
OWN 6
-4
68.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 2Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 20
OWN 2
+11
69.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 50 yds , Oliver Martin returns for 11 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:4171% → 64%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
70.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
69.2%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted return for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
64.4%
HORVATH, Zander rush to the left for no gain to the PUR41 (NEWSOME, Quinton). PENALTY PUR Holding on CRAIG, Cam enforced 10 yards from the PUR41 to the PUR31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:3133% → 33%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+2
66.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+9
67.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 9 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+2
65.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
67.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:0468% → 66%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
68.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-2
68.0%
Jaquez Yant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-10
66.4%
MARTINEZ, Adrian scrambles to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the NEB29 (LONG, Greg). PENALTY NEB Holding on JURGENS, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the NEB21 to the NEB11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 20
OWN 11
0
66.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 20
OWN 11
+1
65.7%
William Przystup punt for 38 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:5937% → 60%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
62.6%
Jackson Anthrop run for 1 yd to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+21
62.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 21 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
60.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
61.4%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+11
62.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 11 yds to the Neb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
60.9%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
60.9%
Jackson Anthrop run for 5 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.0%
A. O'Connell pass,to M. Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:5547% → 47%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
46.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
50
+2
51.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
51.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
50.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+8
46.6%
William Przystup punt for 29 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 8 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4758% → 85%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.8%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
39.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 6 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
39.3%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+12
37.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 12 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
37.0%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+10
36.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
35.6%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+9
35.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 9 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
35.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
35.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HARTWIG, Gus ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+11
37.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 11 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
35.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
35.2%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
15.2%
A. O'Connell pass,to J. Anthrop for 9 yds for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5517% → 14%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
16.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
16.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
15.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
14.1%
William Przystup punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4086% → 87%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
14.0%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
13.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+8
14.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 8 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
13.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 24 yds, downed at the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
14.4%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted return for no gain to the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2989% → 89%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
11.1%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
11.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 1 yd to the Neb 22Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
11.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
11.3%
Mitchell Fineran 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22INT
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:4012% → 13%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
11.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+16
12.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 16 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
12.9%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted return for no gain to the Prdue 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:5190% → 94%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
10.2%
King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+13
9.6%
King Doerue run for 13 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
7.2%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
6.3%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Luke Reimer and Ben Stille for 0 yards to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+4
6.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
6.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 36 yds, downed at the Neb 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 1:304% → 24%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
3.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Alante Brown for 11 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+31
3.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 31 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
4.3%
MARTINEZ, Adrian pass to the right incomplete intended for FALCK, Levi thrown to the PUR40. PENALTY NEB Holding on BENHART, Bryce enforced 10 yards from the NEB48 to the NEB38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+27
3.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 27 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
5.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
5.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+23
4.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 23 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
5.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
24.1%
Rahmir Johnson 12 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-26.5
TD · Q3 2:47
A. O'Connell pass,to M. Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK)
-20.9
TD · Q4 10:05
A. O'Connell pass,to J. Anthrop for 9 yds for a TD, (M. Fineran KICK)
-20
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com