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NU

Northwestern 7 at Nebraska 56

NEB
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:46 · Derek Adams punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense+32.4Pregame prior+13.3Score differential+26.2Blowout margin+14.2Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:19: Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +1.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:14: Adrian Martinez run for 25 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:37: Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +4.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:37: Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +5.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:42: Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:32NU 4th & 21 at NU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45NU 4th & 17 at NU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:34NEB 4th & 5 at NU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−0.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:34NU 4th & 1 at NEB 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:52NU 4th & 9 at NEB 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:01NU 4th & 3 at NU 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:57NU 4th & 10 at NEB 42, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:46NU 4th & 7 at NU 42, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:28NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 10, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:47NU 4th & 2 at NU 37, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:50NEB 4th & 4 at NU 32, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:18NU 4th & 3 at NU 48, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:10NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:19NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:14NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:37NU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:37NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:42NEB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:48NEB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:16NEB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:44NEB Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+70
82.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 70 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
82.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 1Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:3818% → 18%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
82.2%
PENALTY NOR False Start (Gerak,Sam) 5 yards from NOR32 to NOR27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
82.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 3 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
82.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 13 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
82.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 2 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
82.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Marshall LangSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-9
82.2%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by JoJo Domann for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 32Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 21
OWN 32
0
82.2%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:1382% → 84%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
82.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
82.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 5 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+64
82.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 64 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
82.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 1Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:3417% → 16%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.1%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-13
83.1%
Hull,Evan rush for 1 yard gain to the NOR28 (Nelson,Garrett; Newsome,Quinton) PENALTY NOR Tripping (Schmidt,Charlie) 13 yards from NOR27 to NOR14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+4
83.1%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
83.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
83.7%
Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:3184% → 87%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
84.0%
Omar Manning run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+13
84.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
50
+8
84.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
84.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Omar ManningSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
84.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
84.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 5 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
84.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+6
84.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 6 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
84.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
84.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier BettsSimilar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
87.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 25 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:3113% → 17%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Marshall LangSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
86.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 9 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
86.7%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
86.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Andrew Clair for 10 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.5%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+32
86.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 32 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
82.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0084% → 91%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.4%
Jaquez Yant run for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
84.6%
Jaquez Yant run for 6 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
84.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 6 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
85.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
85.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 28 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
85.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Nwest 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
85.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
85.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
85.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 5Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:1510% → 10%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.3%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
90.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
90.1%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+43
90.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 43 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
89.1%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+13
89.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 13 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.1%
Ryan Hilinski run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+9
90.2%
Ryan Hilinski run for 9 yds to the Neb 10 Ryan Hilinski fumbled, forced by JoJo Domann, recovered by Neb Deontre ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:4893% → 94%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
93.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+17
92.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 17 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
92.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 8 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+6
93.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
93.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 11 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
93.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+7
93.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 7 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+5
93.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 5 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
93.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Brody BeltSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:428% → 7%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
91.8%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
91.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
91.5%
Raymond Niro III run for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
91.5%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
91.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-10 Yards) to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 20
OWN 44
0
92.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for no gain to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+11
92.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Marshall Lang for 11 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+4
93.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:1095% → 98%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+18
95.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 18 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
95.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+23
95.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 23 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:422% → 2%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
97.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Trey Pugh for 6 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Trey PughSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-7
97.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Caleb Tannor for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 31 Ryan Hilinski fumbled, recovered by Nwest Ryan Hilinski , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:592% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 7 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q3 14:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Derek Adams punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
1 play · 83 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
98.8%
Zavier Betts run for 83 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 33 yds · 3:511% → 1%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
Hilinski,Ryan pass incomplete to Gill,Jacob PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Henrich,Nick) 5 yards from NOR25 to NOR30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-12
98.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 12 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 22
OWN 18
+11
99.0%
Andrew Clair run for 11 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+18
99.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 18 yds Malik Washington fumbled, forced by JoJo Domann, recovered by Nwest for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
98.9%
PENALTY NOR False Start (Washington,Malik) 5 yards from NOR47 to NOR42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+4
99.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+12
99.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Andrew Clair for 12 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Raymond Niro III for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
98.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
99.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Jacob GillSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:4199% → 100%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.4%
Jaquez Yant run for 4 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+15
99.4%
Martinez,Adrian pass incomplete to Betts,Zavier PENALTY NOR Pass Interference (Hampton, Jr.,A.J.) 15 yards from NEB47 to NOR38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 38 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:301% → 0%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
99.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 10 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.5%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Evan HullSimilar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Derek Adams punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
99.5%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Benhart,Bryce) 4 yards from NEB08 to NEB04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+3
99.6%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+5
99.5%
Jaquez Yant run for 5 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+2
99.5%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
99.6%
William Przystup punt for 84 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+6
99.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 8 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Jordan MoselySimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 5 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Jake Genyk punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
17 plays · 64 yds · 8:03100% → 100%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 4 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+11
99.7%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Brody Belt for 11 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.7%
Logan Smothers run for 9 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
99.8%
Jaquez Yant run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.8%
Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-5
99.8%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Boerkircher,Nate) 5 yards from NOR29 to NOR34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+2
99.8%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
Logan Smothers run for 11 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+8
99.9%
Sevion Morrison run for 8 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Sevion Morrison run for 6 yds to the Nwest 4Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Sevion Morrison run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the Nwest 40Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 8 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Carl Richardson pass incomplete to Genson Hooper PriceSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Jake Genyk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
13 plays · 74 yds · 7:18100% → 100%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+13
99.9%
Matt Masker run for 13 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Matt Masker pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Matt Masker pass complete to Will Nixon for 5 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Markese Stepp run for 9 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Markese Stepp run for 9 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Masker,Matt rush for 0 yards to the NOR45 (McLaughlin,Sean) PENALTY NOR Face Mask (McLaughlin,Sean) 15 yards from NOR45 to NOR30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Matt Masker pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 7 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Zach Weinmaster run for 4 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Cooper Jewett run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-3
99.9%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 14Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-3
100.0%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:37
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q1 1:37
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
-4
TD · Q1 4:14
Adrian Martinez run for 25 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com