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NEB

Nebraska 16 at Oklahoma 23

OU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:40 · Michael Turk punt for 45 yds , Samori Toure returns for 10 yds to the Okla 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+6.6Home team on offense+25.2Garbage-time factor+13.0Score differential+12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:50: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 1 yd for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +6.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:08: Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Kelen Meyer PAT BLOCKED) — NEB win probability +14.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 0:08: Pat Fields return for defensive PAT — OU win probability +7.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hall — OU win probability +5.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:38: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 21 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +11.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 5:00NEB 4th & 4 at OU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:21NEB 4th & 21 at OU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53OU 4th & 8 at OU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:44NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 25, down 4
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:12OU 4th & 6 at NEB 37, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:05NEB 4th & 5 at OU 32, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:40OU 4th & 6 at NEB 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:57NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:19NEB 4th & 9 at OU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:16NEB 4th & 17 at OU 24, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:40OU 4th & 10 at OU 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:57OU 4th & 5 at NEB 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:01NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:02OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:50OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:08NEB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:24OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:38NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:4393% → 92%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
92.9%
Eric Gray run for 10 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
92.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 1
50
+5
92.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Michael Woods II for 5 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
92.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Cody Jackson for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
92.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Eric Gray for 2 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-5
92.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+12
92.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Michael Woods II for 12 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
92.1%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
92.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+19
91.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Williams for 19 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
91.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+5
91.8%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.6%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2FG
19 plays · 42 yds · 6:418% → 10%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
92.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 15Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
92.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
91.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+31
91.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 31 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
91.3%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 14
50
+6
91.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+4
91.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+6
91.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 6 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
90.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 9 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
90.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-5
90.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+8
90.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 8 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
90.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-15
90.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 23
OPP 35
0
90.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 23
OPP 35
+2
90.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 21
OPP 33
+51
89.8%
Connor Culp 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:1990% → 89%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Williams for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
89.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
89.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
88.8%
Michael Turk punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4211% → 11%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
89.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 1 yd to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
-1
88.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+7
89.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
89.4%
William Przystup punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:2489% → 88%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
88.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 23 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
89.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
89.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
89.1%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-2
89.2%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
88.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+54
88.2%
Gabe Brkic 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:5512% → 13%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
88.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
87.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+20
87.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 20 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
86.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 1
OPP 28
-4
86.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
86.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+50
87.1%
Connor Culp 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:1988% → 87%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
87.4%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+15
87.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
88.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+8
87.2%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+11
87.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 11 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
87.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
86.8%
Michael Turk punt for 37 yds, downed at the Neb 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 3:2213% → 14%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
87.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 11
OWN 3
-1
86.9%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 2Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 12
OWN 2
+13
87.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 13 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
86.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
86.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+11
86.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 11 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
85.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-9
85.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Josh Ellison and Isaiah Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 19
OWN 22
+9
86.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
86.1%
William Przystup punt for 48 yds , Marvin Mims returns for no gain to the Okla 31 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (11 Yards) to the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:4985% → 86%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
85.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Michael Woods II for 7 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+9
84.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 9 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
85.3%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+9
85.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 9 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
85.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:3216% → 18%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
83.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 7 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
83.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
81.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
81.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+8
80.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 8 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
80.2%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 7 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+14
79.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 14 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
79.9%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
79.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
80.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
81.8%
Connor Culp 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:2984% → 92%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+4
84.1%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+23
84.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 23 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
85.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 9 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+18
85.1%
Eric Gray run for 18 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
85.5%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 12
OPP 23
-15
85.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 27
OPP 38
+22
83.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 22 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+9
84.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
84.7%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
85.0%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 1 yd for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:289% → 19%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
90.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 6 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
90.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 26 yds to the OKLAHOMA 39 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
89.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
88.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-5
89.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+7
89.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+38
88.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 38 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
87.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Kelen Meyer PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.6%
Pat Fields return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:3690% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jeremiah HallSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
89.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
88.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Cody Jackson for 12 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
90.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
90.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 12 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
90.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+16
90.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 16 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
91.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Williams for 5 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+14
91.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 14 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 1 yd to the Neb 2Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14INT
8 plays · 63 yds · 1:444% → 4%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+55
96.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 55 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
95.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
94.4%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 18Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 11
OPP 18
0
95.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 11
OPP 18
-6
95.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 17
OPP 24
0
96.3%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted D.J. Graham return for no gain to the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2097% → 97%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
96.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 5
-2
96.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 3Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
97.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+10
96.9%
Michael Turk punt for 45 yds , Samori Toure returns for 10 yds to the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:394% → 15%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
96.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 7 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+10
95.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
84.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 21 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
16 plays · 44 yds · 4:4093% → 97%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
92.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+4
92.6%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+16
92.5%
Eric Gray run for 16 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
93.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 3 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+9
94.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
95.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-5
95.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
95.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
96.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
96.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-1
97.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
96.5%
Michael Turk punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:397% → 6%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
93.0%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Perrion Winfrey for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+6
93.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 6 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 11
OWN 16
-5
93.5%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 16
OWN 11
+14
93.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 14 yds to the Neb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:08
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Kelen Meyer PAT BLOCKED)
-14.8
TD · Q4 5:38
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 21 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q3 0:08
Pat Fields return for defensive PAT
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com