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NEB

Nebraska 23 at Minnesota 30

MINN
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of GameTD+3.4MINN 98.1%Bryce Williams run for 56 yds for aTD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)AWAY 16 - HOME 30 · Q4 2:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:12 · Bryce Williams run for 56 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense+29.3Pregame prior−0.3Garbage-time factor+15.1Score differential+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +5.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:47: Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp PAT MISSED) — NEB win probability +8.9 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 56%).
  3. TD · Q2 1:53: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +10.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:29: Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +16.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +14.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:15NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:33MINN 4th & 1 at NEB 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.8%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:59NEB 4th & 14 at MINN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:50NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:08MINN 4th & 6 at NEB 32, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:51NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 48, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:01NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 22, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:31MINN 4th & 14 at MINN 21, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−5.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:44NEB 4th & 1 at MINN 1, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−5.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−20.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:12MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 3, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−5.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:57NEB 4th & 4 at MINN 9, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−17.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:41MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 41, up 5
    Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:11NEB 4th & 10 at MINN 34, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:53MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 43, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:33MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:47NEB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:53MINN Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:29NEB Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:12MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:12NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3560% → 59%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
40.5%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
40.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
40.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+3
40.7%
William Przystup punt for 40 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 3 yds to the Minn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
14 plays · 61 yds · 7:1241% → 47%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
40.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
41.2%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
41.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
41.8%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+8
42.2%
Bryce Williams run for 8 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
42.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-9
42.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 1 yd to the Neb 19 MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Block (Brevyn Spann-Ford) to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+13
42.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 13 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
43.0%
Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
43.5%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+5
43.7%
Cole Kramer run for 5 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
43.6%
Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
46.7%
Cole Kramer pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:2654% → 54%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
46.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 22 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
45.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 25 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
45.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
45.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-8
46.7%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Nyles Pinckney for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+50
45.9%
Connor Culp 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:5146% → 54%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
45.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+5
46.4%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
46.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
47.2%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
47.6%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Autman-Bell, Chris, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Williams, Deontai) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
48.0%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+12
48.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brady Boyd for 12 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
53.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:0348% → 45%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
52.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Turner Corcoran) to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
52.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
53.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
53.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
54.6%
William Przystup punt for 54 yds, downed at the Minn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 4:3653% → 59%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
53.1%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
55.1%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
57.0%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
50
+14
57.8%
Ky Thomas run for 14 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
58.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-12
60.0%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Cam Taylor-Britt for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+13
58.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 13 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+50
59.0%
Matthew Trickett 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:5843% → 52%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
57.2%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+27
57.8%
Zavier Betts run for 27 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
56.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
57.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 13 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
56.3%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+20
58.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 20 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
56.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Minn 6Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
47.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4755% → 73%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
55.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 36 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
58.4%
Ky Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+3
58.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 3 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+17
58.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 17 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
59.8%
Cole Kramer run for 9 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
60.1%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
60.5%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Neb 7Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
72.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:5730% → 28%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
69.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 6 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
69.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+7
69.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 7 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
69.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
71.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
72.0%
William Przystup punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:1874% → 74%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
73.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 16Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 14
OWN 16
-2
73.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:5873% → 77%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.7%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
73.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 19 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
75.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+17
75.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 17 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
76.3%
Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
77.0%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted, touchback. Cam Taylor-Britt return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3327% → 25%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
73.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
73.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi FalckSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
74.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
74.7%
William Przystup punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13INT
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3477% → 77%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
76.6%
Mar'Keise Irving run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 13
OWN 28
0
76.9%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Deontai Williams return for no gain to the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:3328% → 47%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
72.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 30 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
71.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 14 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
69.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) to the Minn 1Similar
Q3 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5061% → 60%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
61.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 21Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
61.6%
Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Minn 21Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
60.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for no gain to the Minn 21Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+6
60.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 32 yds , Oliver Martin returns for 6 yds to the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:2644% → 42%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
55.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-1
55.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+8
56.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 8 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
54.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 29 yds to the Minn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
54.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Minn 2Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 1Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.0%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Minn 1Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.2%
Jaquez Yant run for no gain to the Minn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2564% → 62%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
63.8%
Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Minn 1Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
63.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+2
62.4%
Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 3Similar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
61.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18MISSED FG
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:0041% → 40%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
59.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 40 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
55.4%
Jaquez Yant run for no gain to the Minn 15Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-2
55.6%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 17Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+8
58.8%
Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
60.3%
Connor Culp 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:0967% → 73%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
66.6%
Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
67.6%
Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
68.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+7
68.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
72.4%
Cole Kramer run for no gain to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
72.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 4:1335% → 29%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
65.1%
Oliver Martin run for no gain to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
66.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Sevion MorrisonSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+27
68.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Zavier Betts for 27 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
62.7%
Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
60.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Sevion MorrisonSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+5
61.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 5 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
60.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+8
59.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 8 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
61.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
61.1%
Sevion Morrison run for 5 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-5
62.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Nouredin Nouili) to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
64.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
71.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0782% → 85%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
82.0%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
84.0%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
84.4%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
84.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22SF
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-11
85.2%
Esezi Otomewo SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:1889% → 98%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
89.3%
Ky Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+9
91.3%
Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
92.9%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
94.3%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
98.1%
Bryce Williams run for 56 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:583% → 18%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 2 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
97.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 24 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
96.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 14 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
96.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 7 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+4
96.4%
Sevion Morrison run for 4 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
81.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:4096% → 97%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
96.4%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
96.9%
Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:29
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)
-16.8
TD · Q4 1:12
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q2 1:53
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com