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MINN

Minnesota 41 at Northwestern 14

NU
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.1NU 22.5%Matthew Trickett 30 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 0 · Q1 0:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:52 · Matthew Trickett 30 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Home team on offense−7.3Pregame prior−21.1Score differential−2.9Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:55: Matthew Trickett 26 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +2.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:51: A. Marty pass,to E. Hull for 6 yds for a TD, (C. Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +5.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q2 4:47: M. Irving run for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +5.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: T. Morgan run for 18 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +6.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:33: Mar'Keise Irving run for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:55MINN 4th & 6 at NU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:29NU 4th & 14 at NU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:52MINN 4th & 6 at NU 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:21NU 4th & 10 at NU 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00NU 4th & 1 at NU 49, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.3%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:35NU 4th & 3 at MINN 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:26MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:15NU 4th & 4 at NU 27, down 13
    Close callPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:59NU 4th & 8 at NU 43, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:44MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:51NU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:47MINN Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:54MINN Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:33MINN Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 7:0576% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.1%
Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
24.1%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
24.1%
Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
24.1%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (Dylan Wright) to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
24.1%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
24.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
24.1%
Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
24.1%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
24.1%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MEISER, Jeremy enforced half the distance from the goal (14 Yards) to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
24.1%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
24.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+1
24.1%
Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
26.9%
Matthew Trickett 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1127% → 25%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
26.9%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+25
25.1%
Justin Walley 25 Yd Fumble Return (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1525% → 25%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.1%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
25.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
24.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Boye Mafe for 0 yards to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+13
24.8%
Derek Adams punt for 51 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 13 yds to the Minn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 5:3775% → 78%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
24.7%
Ky Thomas run for 11 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
24.7%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
24.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+19
24.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 19 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
24.5%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
24.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+11
24.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 11 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
24.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
24.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for no gain to the Nwest 11Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
24.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+30
22.5%
Matthew Trickett 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0124% → 31%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
23.9%
Evan Hull run for 30 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
24.7%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
24.7%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+7
24.7%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
25.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
25.3%
JJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
25.4%
Andrew Marty run for 9 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
25.4%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
25.4%
Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Minn 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
25.4%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Minn 6Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
30.6%
A. Marty pass,to E. Hull for 6 yds for a TD, (C. Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 7:0472% → 79%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
27.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
27.4%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
27.5%
Ky Thomas run for 13 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
26.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 17 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
26.3%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-5
26.3%
MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 38Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+18
26.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
26.2%
Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+10
26.2%
Ky Thomas run for 10 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
26.2%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Nwest 3Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
20.6%
M. Irving run for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2622% → 21%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
21.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
21.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
21.1%
Derek Adams punt for 53 yds, downed at the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8INT
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:4179% → 84%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
21.1%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+24
21.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 24 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
20.1%
Ky Thomas run for 13 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
20.0%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
17.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 1 yd to the Nwest 29Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
17.8%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
15.9%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
16.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 4 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
16.0%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
20.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:2521% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.0%
Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
20.9%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 14 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
21.8%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-5
21.8%
JEFFERSON, JJ rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the NU49 (NUBIN, Tyler). PENALTY Before the snap, NU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the NU42 to the NU37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+8
20.9%
Andrew Marty run for 8 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
21.4%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+3
21.8%
Andrew Marty run for 3 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
22.5%
Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+5
22.6%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
23.4%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-6
23.4%
JJ Jefferson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 41 fumbled, recovered by Nwest JJ JeffersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+13
21.1%
Andrew Marty pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 13 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
20.8%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0983% → 84%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
16.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 1 yd to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-5
16.6%
MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left complete for 16 yards to BROWN-STEPHENS, Mike caught at the MIN41 and advanced to the MIN45 (HAMPTON, JR., A.J.). PENALTY MIN Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on OLSON, Conner enforced 5 yards from the MIN29 to the MIN24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 14
OWN 24
0
17.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+10
17.4%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+1
15.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds , JJ Jefferson returns for 1 yd to the Nwest 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1119% → 18%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
18.8%
Andrew Marty run for 9 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
19.5%
Andrew Marty sacked by MJ Anderson for 0 yards to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
18.4%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
17.7%
Derek Adams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 6:2187% → 97%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
13.4%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 6 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+4
13.2%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
12.6%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+8
12.3%
Tanner Morgan run for 8 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
12.4%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+7
12.4%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
12.2%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
12.1%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
12.3%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
9.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 4 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
2.8%
T. Morgan run for 18 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:434% → 3%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
3.8%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for 12 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
3.9%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Evan Hull for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 23Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+18
3.7%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Wayne Dennis Jr. for 18 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
4.0%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 2 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
4.0%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
4.1%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
3.1%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 3:2697% → 100%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
2.7%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
2.7%
Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
2.7%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 1 yd to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
2.7%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-10
2.7%
THOMAS, Ky rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the NU28 (MITCHELL, Cameron). PENALTY MIN Holding on ANDRIES, Blaise enforced 10 yards from the NU31 to the NU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 18
OPP 41
+41
0.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:510% → 2%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
0.4%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
0.4%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+16
0.4%
Evan Hull run for 16 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
0.4%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+12
0.4%
Evan Hull run for 12 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
0.5%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+1
0.4%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
0.4%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
1.7%
Andrew Marty pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 17 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:4099% → 100%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
1.2%
Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 6
50
+3
1.2%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
1.3%
Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Nwest 43Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
0.8%
Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+6
0.5%
Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
0.5%
Derik LeCaptain run for 4 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
0.5%
Derik LeCaptain run for 3 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
0.1%
D. LeCaptain run for 24 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
0.1%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+4
0.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+2
0.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:54
T. Morgan run for 18 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q2 4:47
M. Irving run for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Trickett KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q2 11:51
A. Marty pass,to E. Hull for 6 yds for a TD, (C. Kuhbander KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com