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MINN

Minnesota 20 at Purdue 13

PUR
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:49 · Mark Crawford punt for 60 yds, downed at the Prdue 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense−7.6Pregame prior+1.5Garbage-time factor−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2Score differential−3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:40: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +3.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:49: Matthew Trickett 42 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +5.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:50: Treyson Potts 4 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +12.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:23: Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 45 — MINN win probability +14.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:46: Matthew Trickett 38 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +3.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 8
  1. Q1 6:07PUR 4th & 18 at MINN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:43MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at MINN 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−1.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:08MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:19PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:45PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:49MINN 4th & 4 at PUR 24, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:12PUR 4th & 7 at MINN 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:37PUR 4th & 22 at MINN 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:14MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 46, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:00PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:49MINN 4th & 25 at MINN 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−7.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:26PUR 4th & 4 at MINN 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−13.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:11MINN 4th & 4 at PUR 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:23PUR 4th & 5 at MINN 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−3.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−3.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:46MINN 4th & 4 at PUR 20, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−12.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:03MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:40PUR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:50MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4856% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.3%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
56.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
56.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 13 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
56.3%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
56.3%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+8
56.3%
Austin Burton run for 8 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.0%
Aidan O'Connell sacked for 0 yards to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 2:0944% → 46%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
56.2%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
56.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ko Kieft for 6 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+4
56.2%
Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
54.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 32 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:5655% → 55%
Q1 10:03
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+15
55.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 15 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
55.6%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+8
55.6%
King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
55.6%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
55.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
55.4%
PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
54.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 32 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
55.5%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-1
55.5%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 18
OPP 19
+36
54.9%
Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1845% → 45%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
55.3%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
55.1%
Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
55.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ko Kieft for 2 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
55.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 58 yds, downed at the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
15 plays · 91 yds · 5:0355% → 61%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
54.6%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+9
54.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
54.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
54.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+15
54.2%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the left complete for 14 yards to DOERUE, King caught at the PUR20 and advanced to the PUR36 (WALLEY, Justin), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY MIN Unsportsmanlike Conduct on DEW-TREADWAY, Micah enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the PUR36 to the MIN49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
56.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
56.0%
Ja'Quez Cross run for no gain to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+10
55.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
56.2%
King Doerue run for 19 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
56.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
56.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 2 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+7
55.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
55.2%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
56.6%
Austin Burton run for 2 yds to the Minn 7Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
60.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2642% → 41%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
58.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
58.4%
Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
58.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
59.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4959% → 57%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.7%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
58.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
57.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
57.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0242% → 40%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
58.3%
Treyson Potts run for 1 yd to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
58.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
58.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
60.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3259% → 59%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
58.8%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
58.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 6 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
59.0%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
59.3%
Austin Burton run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-1
59.3%
Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
59.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10FG
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:5640% → 46%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
59.7%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+51
59.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 51 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
56.6%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-15
56.4%
IRVING, Mar'Keise rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the PUR13 (ALLEN, Cam), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY MIN Personal Foul on JACKSON, Daniel enforced 15 yards from the PUR22 to the PUR37, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 4 yards on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 17
OPP 37
0
58.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 17
OPP 37
+13
59.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 13 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
53.9%
Matthew Trickett 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:3758% → 62%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
58.2%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
59.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+14
59.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 14 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
60.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 19 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
61.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+8
61.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 8 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
61.1%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Minn 8Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
61.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 1 yd to the Minn 7Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
60.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
61.8%
Mitchell Fineran 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1039% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
61.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 54 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
56.6%
Treyson Potts run for 17 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.1%
Treyson Potts 4 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:1349% → 47%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
48.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 7Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+15
48.8%
O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Milton thrown to the PUR20. PENALTY MIN Pass Interference on SMITH, Terell enforced 15 yards to the PUR22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
49.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 21 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
52.0%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+8
52.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 8 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
53.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+14
52.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 14 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
55.0%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
54.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
52.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Nyles Pinckney and Coney Durr for 0 yards to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 22
OPP 45
0
46.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:2352% → 56%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
47.7%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
47.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+15
48.9%
MORGAN, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the MIN40. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on ALLEN, Cam enforced 15 yards to the MIN26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
47.0%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 1 yd to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+8
47.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 8 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
46.0%
Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
45.9%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
44.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
45.0%
Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
43.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1446% → 40%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
45.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 8 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
46.6%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
46.4%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jaqwondis Burns for 0 yards to the Prdue 18Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+2
45.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 2 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+10
44.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 10 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
40.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 3:1160% → 59%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
40.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
40.6%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+9
41.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
39.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-10
39.8%
MORGAN, Tanner pass to the right complete for 12 yards to SPANN-FORD, Brevyn caught at the MIN39 and advanced to the MIN45 (DOUGLAS, Kieren). PENALTY MIN Holding on SCHMITZ, John Michael enforced 10 yards from the MIN33 to the MIN23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+1
40.8%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 24Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 19
OWN 24
-6
39.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 18Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 25
OWN 18
0
41.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 60 yds, downed at the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18MISSED FG
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q4 10:26
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
42.6%
Mitchell Fineran 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:1567% → 70%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
33.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Lawrence Johnson) to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
30.0%
Treyson Potts run for 7 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
29.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-1
30.2%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
30.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, downed at the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:4838% → 39%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+34
38.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 34 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
40.4%
King Doerue run for 16 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
44.5%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
44.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+3
39.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Broc Thompson for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 4:3775% → 94%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
24.9%
Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+2
24.9%
Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+14
25.1%
Cole Kramer run for 14 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
23.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
17.2%
Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
16.8%
Treyson Potts run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
12.0%
Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+3
11.0%
Cole Kramer run for 3 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+1
9.0%
Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
5.7%
Matthew Trickett 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:5911% → 14%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
12.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 4 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
11.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 23 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
15.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 15 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
20.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
17.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
13.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted return for no gain to the Minn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:23
Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 45
-14.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13.5
TD · Q3 13:50
Treyson Potts 4 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)
-12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com