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M-OH

Miami (OH) 26 at Minnesota 31

MINN
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:28 · Treyson Potts run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:09: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 25 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +3.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:48: AJ Mayer 1 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) — M-OH win probability +6.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:32: Jack Sorenson 23 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) — M-OH win probability +22.1 pts (now 37%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:53: Treyson Potts run for 21 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +14.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:43: Mac Hippenhammer 33 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — M-OH win probability +23.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:53M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:24MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:18M-OH 4th & 17 at MINN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:11M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:59M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:41MINN 4th & 9 at M-OH 40, up 18
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:08MINN 4th & 18 at MINN 17, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:59MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:39M-OH 4th & 9 at MINN 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:13MINN 4th & 15 at MINN 20, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−3.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:15MINN 4th & 10 at M-OH 32, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:29MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:09MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:56MINN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:48M-OH Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:32M-OH Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:53MINN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:43M-OH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.6%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:4110% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
89.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
89.8%
Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
89.3%
Brett Gabbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 42 fumbled, recovered by Minn Justus HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:5089% → 89%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
89.4%
Treyson Potts run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
89.4%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
89.4%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+11
89.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
89.4%
Treyson Potts run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+2
89.4%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
89.3%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:3211% → 11%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
89.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 21 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
88.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+1
89.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
89.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
88.8%
Dom Dzioban punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 6:5389% → 88%
Q1 6:53
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+15
88.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
88.8%
run for 8 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
89.0%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-4
88.9%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
88.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds, downed at the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
87.6%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:0612% → 14%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
88.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 17 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
87.9%
David Afari run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+24
88.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 9 yds to the MINNESOTA 49 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
87.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
87.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 13 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
87.3%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-15
87.3%
GABBERT, Brett pass to the left incomplete intended for WALKER, Jalen thrown to the UMN19. PENALTY MIA Face mask on VAUGHAN, Sam enforced 15 yards from the UMN22 to the UMN37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 26
OPP 37
+3
87.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 23
OPP 34
+6
87.2%
Brett Gabbert run for 6 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
85.9%
Graham Nicholson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 4:0486% → 89%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+31
85.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 31 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
86.1%
Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
86.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
86.4%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+17
86.3%
Treyson Potts run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
86.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
85.5%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+25
89.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 25 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5812% → 11%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
David Afari run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
88.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
88.8%
Dom Dzioban punt for 30 yds, downed at the Minn 43Similar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
89.3%
MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dylan thrown to the MIA11. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on BOSWELL, Cedric enforced 15 yards from the UMN43 to the MIA42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 9:1189% → 93%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
89.4%
Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
89.4%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+18
89.1%
Treyson Potts run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
89.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+1
89.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.6%
Daniel Jackson 6 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+12
93.1%
MORGAN, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dylan thrown to the MIA3. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on BOSWELL, Cedric enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards from the MIA6 to the MIA6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
93.3%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
93.3%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:578% → 7%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.2%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
92.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
92.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
92.7%
Dom Dzioban punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Treyson Potts at the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1893% → 93%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
93.0%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+17
93.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 17 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
93.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
93.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
92.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
92.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 36 yds, downed at the MiaOh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:417% → 7%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
92.8%
David Afari run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+6
92.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
92.9%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:5293% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Lonnie Phelps for 0 yards to the Minn 17Similar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
93.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:207% → 14%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
92.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 13 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.3%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the Minn 46Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
92.7%
Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
92.3%
AJ Mayer run for 4 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
92.4%
David Afari run for 7 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+26
92.6%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 26 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.2%
AJ Mayer 1 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:4989% → 89%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.3%
Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
89.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
89.6%
Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
89.9%
Treyson Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
89.5%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
90.0%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-1
89.9%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
89.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
88.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 4:2011% → 13%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
88.6%
Kenny Tracy run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+32
88.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 32 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
86.8%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+13
86.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 13 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
85.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
86.1%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+3
87.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 3 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
87.5%
Graham Nicholson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2689% → 88%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.6%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Minn 20Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
88.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
87.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:4113% → 37%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
86.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 8 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
85.7%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
85.7%
David Afari run for 1 yd to the Minn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
85.9%
GABBERT, Brett pass to the right incomplete intended for COLDIRON, Jack thrown to the UMN18. PENALTY MIA Holding on VAUGHAN, Sam UMN Pass Interference on SORI-MARIN, Mariano , Offsetting penalties [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
85.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+2
85.5%
AJ Mayer run for 2 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
85.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
84.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+9
85.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 9 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
63.4%
Jack Sorenson 23 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:3175% → 92%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
75.0%
Treyson Potts run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
75.8%
Treyson Potts run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+4
76.7%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
76.7%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
91.6%
Treyson Potts run for 21 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:3211% → 11%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
88.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
89.0%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted return for no gain to the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0692% → 94%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
91.9%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+4
91.8%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-3
91.4%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
93.5%
Matthew Trickett 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:327% → 30%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
93.8%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 10 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
92.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 14 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
91.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
92.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 10
OPP 48
+15
93.2%
GABBERT, Brett pass to the right incomplete intended for SORENSON, Jack broken up by NUBIN, Tyler at the UMN38. PENALTY UMN Personal Foul on CHENEY JR., Rashad enforced 15 yards from the UMN48 to the UMN33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
70.2%
Mac Hippenhammer 33 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:1588% → 93%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.9%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
88.0%
Treyson Potts run for 6 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
88.1%
Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
93.4%
Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
92.7%
Treyson Potts run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:43
Mac Hippenhammer 33 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-23
TD · Q4 12:32
Jack Sorenson 23 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)
-22.1
TD · Q4 9:53
Treyson Potts run for 21 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com