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OSU

Ohio State 45 at Minnesota 31

MINN
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2021 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:28 · Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds , Treyson Potts returns for 9 yds to the Minn 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior−19.3Home team on offense+2.0Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:43: Chris Olave 38 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +11.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:03: Mohamed Ibrahim 19 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +16.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:12: Garrett Wilson 56 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +21.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:18: Haskell Garrett 32 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +17.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:31: Bryce Williams 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +20.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:04MINN 4th & 13 at OSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:37MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:50OSU 4th & 9 at MINN 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:28MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:28OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:37OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:20MINN 4th & 28 at MINN 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−5.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:39MINN 4th & 9 at OSU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:22OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:11MINN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:32MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:43OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:03MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:12OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:18OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:43OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:31MINN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:39OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 5:4918% → 21%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
18.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 9 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
19.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
19.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
19.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
20.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
20.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+8
20.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
21.2%
Treyson Potts run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 41Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
21.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 13
OPP 41
0
21.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
21.1%
Mark Crawford punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 1:3879% → 80%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
21.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 7 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 3
OWN 15
-5
21.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Chris Olave) to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+11
21.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
21.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
21.8%
Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+71
19.8%
Miyan Williams 71 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:4120% → 21%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brady BoydSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
20.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
20.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
20.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 7 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
21.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
21.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 6:4179% → 80%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
20.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 7 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+4
20.7%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
20.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
20.9%
Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
21.0%
Master Teague III run for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
20.6%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+15
20.4%
Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Olave, Chris, PENALTY MINNESOTA pass interference (Smith, Terell) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
20.3%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+7
20.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 7 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
20.1%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+15
19.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 15 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
20.0%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
20.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+1
20.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 1 yd to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
20.5%
Noah Ruggles 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2720% → 29%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
19.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
19.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
19.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 29Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+56
19.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 56 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
21.9%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
29.2%
Dylan Wright 13 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:0274% → 75%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
25.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
24.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-23
25.2%
C.J. Stroud pass intercepted Terell Smith return for 23 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:2428% → 40%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
28.3%
Treyson Potts run for 8 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+6
29.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
29.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 16 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
30.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
29.9%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Wright, Dylan, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Burke, Denzel) 3 yards to the OHIOST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q2 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
31.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 3Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
31.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5963% → 60%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.8%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-6
36.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 4 yds to the OhSt 34 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeremy Ruckert) to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
37.5%
Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
39.2%
C.J. Stroud run for 2 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
40.5%
Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds , Treyson Potts returns for 9 yds to the Minn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5242% → 43%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
42.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
41.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
43.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
43.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-11
42.8%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:0759% → 73%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
41.0%
C.J. Stroud run for 5 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
40.9%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
41.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
39.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
40.5%
Miyan Williams run for 15 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
38.5%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+38
27.4%
Chris Olave 38 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3631% → 53%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
31.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 12 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
34.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+15
34.5%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Jackson, Daniel, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Watts, Ryan) 15 yards to the OHIOST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
35.7%
Morgan, Tanner pass pass intended for Spann-Ford, Brevyn intercepted by Proctor, Josh at the OHIOST20, Proctor, Josh return 60 yards to the MINNESOTA20, PENALTY OHIOST roughing passer (Gant, Dallas) 15 yards to the OHIOST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
37.2%
Treyson Potts run for 8 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
53.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim 19 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2253% → 49%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
47.4%
Miyan Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
48.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
49.8%
C.J. Stroud run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
51.0%
Jesse Mirco punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 3:1350% → 51%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
50.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+14
50.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 14 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-12
53.1%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Minn 40 MINNESOTA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Conner Olson) to the Minn 25Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 22
OWN 25
-8
52.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 27 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Curtis Dunlap Jr.) to the Minn 17Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 30
OWN 17
0
52.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 30
OWN 17
+2
51.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 28
OWN 19
+1
50.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
29.6%
Garrett Wilson 56 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:5035% → 19%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.8%
Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Minn 25Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
36.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
36.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+32
19.2%
Haskell Garrett 32 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 6:3418% → 25%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
18.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
17.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Treyson Potts for 12 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
19.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
19.0%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+12
18.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 12 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
20.6%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
19.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
21.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+2
20.6%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+3
20.2%
Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+1
18.2%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
24.8%
Matthew Trickett 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5180% → 94%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
17.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
6.3%
TreVeyon Henderson 70 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:079% → 27%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
8.6%
Treyson Potts run for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
7.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 21 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
7.9%
Treyson Potts run for no gain to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
7.5%
Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+14
7.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 14 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
7.6%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
7.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+22
6.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 22 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.4%
Bryce Williams 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4387% → 96%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
13.1%
Miyan Williams run for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
3.9%
Chris Olave 61 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:355% → 4%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
3.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
4.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+20
4.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 20 yds Mike Brown-Stephens fumbled, forced by Lathan Ransom, recovered by OhSt Tommy EichenbergSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21END OF GAME
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:4697% → 98%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
3.4%
Marcus Crowley run for 1 yd to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
3.0%
Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
2.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
2.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 7 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
2.2%
Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
2.2%
Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+5
2.2%
Marcus Crowley run for 5 yds to the Minn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:12
Garrett Wilson 56 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)
-21.3
TD · Q4 5:31
Bryce Williams 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)
+20.8
TD · Q3 2:18
Haskell Garrett 32 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Ruggles Kick)
-17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com