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MICH

Michigan 32 at Nebraska 29

NEB
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:19 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:24: Rahmir Johnson 41 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Connor Culp Kick) — NEB win probability +19.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  2. TD · Q3 0:52: Levi Falck 13 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Adrian Martinez Run for Two-Point Conversion) — NEB win probability +32.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:21: Blake Corum 29 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +29.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:08: Adrian Martinez 5 Yd Run (Connor Culp Kick) — NEB win probability +28.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:24: Jake Moody 39 Yd Field Goal — MICH win probability +34.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:26MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18NEB 4th & 6 at MICH 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40NEB 4th & 2 at MICH 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:48MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:29NEB 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:06MICH 4th & 21 at MICH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:52MICH 4th & 3 at NEB 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.3%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:37NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:19MICH 4th & 3 at NEB 3, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:37NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:45MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 34, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:07NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 33, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:00MICH 4th & 11 at NEB 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−14.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−22.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:24MICH 4th & 13 at NEB 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−11.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−32.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:54NEB 4th & 10 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.5%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 0:09MICH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:49NEB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:36MICH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:24NEB Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:52NEB Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    61.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:21MICH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:08NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2959% → 59%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
40.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 4 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
41.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 19Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
41.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
41.3%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
41.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:4641% → 43%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+43
41.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 43 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
41.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
42.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
42.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+24
42.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 24 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
43.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 9Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
43.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Mich 3Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
43.3%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Mich 3Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 2
OPP 3
-1
43.1%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5257% → 56%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
42.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 8Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+7
43.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 7 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
43.0%
J.J. McCarthy run for 11 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
43.0%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
43.1%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick AllSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
43.4%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
43.9%
Brad Robbins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1944% → 44%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
43.5%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
44.0%
Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Toure, Samori, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Gray, Vincent) 10 yards to the NEBRASKA48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-9
44.4%
Levi Falck run for 6 yds to the NEBRASKA 46 NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Cameron Jurgens) to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 19
OWN 39
+4
43.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+7
44.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 8
50
0
44.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi FalckSimilar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 8
50
0
43.9%
William Przystup punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:2356% → 55%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
43.8%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
43.7%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
44.5%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Trevor Keegan) to the Mich 20Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+24
44.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 24 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
43.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Joel Honigford for 10 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
42.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
42.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-13
43.2%
Cade McNamara sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 13 yards to the Mich 43Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 21
OWN 43
0
45.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1945% → 46%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
45.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
45.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+9
44.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
45.9%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-5
46.0%
Martinez, Adrian pass complete to Yant, Jaquez for 12 yards to the NEBRASKA33, PENALTY NEBRASKA illegal formation 5 yards to the NEBRASKA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 13
OWN 16
0
45.8%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Daxton Hill return for no gain to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5558% → 58%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
42.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
42.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
42.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
42.3%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+1
43.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
41.9%
Jake Moody 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1543% → 42%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
42.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
42.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
42.0%
William Przystup punt for 53 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9FG
12 plays · 87 yds · 5:1857% → 66%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
43.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 9 yds to the Mich 19Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+5
41.7%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
41.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
41.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
41.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
40.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
40.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+48
39.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 48 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
38.2%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
38.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
39.1%
Cade McNamara run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
34.4%
Jake Moody 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:4237% → 35%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
37.0%
Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Martin, Oliver, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Turner, DJ) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
39.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 11 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
39.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-2
37.8%
Adrian Martinez sacked by David Ojabo for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 12
OWN 49
-5
35.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 17
OWN 44
0
35.0%
William Przystup punt for 32 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 1:2865% → 80%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
35.1%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
35.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 13 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
33.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 4 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
33.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
33.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
32.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 5 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
33.1%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
33.4%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+26
33.9%
Blake Corum run for 26 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
31.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+12
31.8%
McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Henning, A.J., PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Domann, JoJo) 12 yards to the NEBRASKA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
20.2%
Hassan Haskins 3 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1128% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
28.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
28.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-4
28.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+20
26.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 20 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
41.5%
Austin Allen 46 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Connor Culp Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0465% → 65%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
35.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 5 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
34.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 2 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
35.2%
Brad Robbins punt for 56 yds, downed at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:3837% → 36%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
37.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 14 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
37.6%
Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
39.6%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
38.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-3
36.4%
William Przystup punt for 55 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 9 A.J. Henning fumbled, recovered by Mich A.J. HenningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:3166% → 83%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
34.3%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Hassan HaskinsSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+22
34.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 22 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
32.7%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
31.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
31.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
30.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 3 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
30.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
28.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 10 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+35
28.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 35 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.8%
Hassan Haskins 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1222% → 42%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
21.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
21.9%
Samori Toure run for 16 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
22.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 7 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+41
41.5%
Rahmir Johnson 41 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Connor Culp Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1968% → 66%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
32.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
32.4%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-20
34.0%
Cade McNamara pass intercepted Deontai Williams return for 20 yds to the Mich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
66.4%
Levi Falck 13 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Adrian Martinez Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3139% → 72%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
61.3%
Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
58.4%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
60.5%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
63.1%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+14
64.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 14 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
59.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Damion Daniels) to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+3
59.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+2
59.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
59.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+6
58.4%
J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
28.5%
Blake Corum 29 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1339% → 76%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
39.4%
Zavier Betts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24 Zavier Betts fumbled, recovered by Neb Zavier BettsSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+30
39.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 30 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
45.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+24
41.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 24 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
47.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 13 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
47.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mich 7Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
47.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
76.2%
Adrian Martinez 5 Yd Run (Connor Culp Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:0134% → 50%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
66.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+50
66.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 50 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
59.8%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
60.0%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+12
63.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 12 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
60.3%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+1
60.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-5
62.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
63.7%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
49.6%
Jake Moody 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1559% → 60%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
62.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
59.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 18 Adrian Martinez fumbled, forced by Brad Hawkins, recovered by Mich Brad Hawkins , return for 19 yds to the Neb 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24FG
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:2159% → 87%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
40.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
38.3%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-7
39.6%
J.J. McCarthy run for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+39
13.5%
Jake Moody 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:3025% → 20%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
25.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
50
0
30.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
50
0
28.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi FalckSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 10
50
0
24.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 10
50
0
19.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -21 yds · 0:3592% → 93%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
50
-15
8.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Daxton Hill) to the Mich 35Similar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
9.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 33Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-4
7.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:24
Jake Moody 39 Yd Field Goal
-34.8
TD · Q3 0:52
Levi Falck 13 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Adrian Martinez Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+32.4
TD · Q4 11:21
Blake Corum 29 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)
-29.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com