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WASH

Washington 10 at Michigan 31

MICH
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:47: Blake Corum run for 67 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +6.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:52: Blake Corum run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +9.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:54: Peyton Henry 28 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +4.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:56: Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:04: Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 22 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +8.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:27WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18MICH 4th & 6 at WASH 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:43WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:54MICH 4th & 1 at WASH 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    66.2%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:16WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:30MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.1%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:55WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.1%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:12WASH 4th & 4 at MICH 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−0.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:29MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:22WASH 4th & 15 at WASH 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:12MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:54WASH 4th & 10 at MICH 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−7.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:00MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.6%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:15MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:01WASH 4th & 10 at MICH 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:51WASH 4th & 18 at MICH 38, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 9:47MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:52MICH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:56MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:04WASH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:48MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3333% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
67.5%
Richard Newton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+12
67.5%
Richard Newton run for 12 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
67.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
67.5%
Race Porter punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Caden Kolesar at the Mich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4467% → 67%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
67.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 7Similar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+7
67.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 14Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+9
67.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
67.3%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-4
67.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
66.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Roman Wilson, broken up by Kyler GordonSimilar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
66.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the Wash 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:5833% → 33%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
67.0%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-14
66.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-14 Yards) to the Wash 14Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 22
OWN 14
+12
67.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 12 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-4
67.2%
Dylan Morris sacked by Taylor Upshaw and Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+20
67.2%
Race Porter punt for 52 yds , Caden Kolesar returns for 20 yds to the Mich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1768% → 68%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
67.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 16 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
67.6%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Blake CorumSimilar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
67.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
67.5%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick AllSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+52
67.9%
Jake Moody 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3232% → 32%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.8%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
68.0%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
68.3%
Race Porter punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6DOWNS
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:3668% → 68%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
68.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for no gain to the Mich 40Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
67.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
68.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.5%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
68.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 47Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
67.8%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke SchoonmakerSimilar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+33
67.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 33 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
68.9%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
69.0%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+14
68.6%
Blake Corum run for 14 yds to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.9%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Wash 2Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Joel HonigfordSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.9%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:3432% → 33%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
67.9%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+15
68.0%
Morris, Dylan pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN roughing passer 15 yards to the WASHINGTON16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
67.5%
Giles Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+4
67.6%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-5
68.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+16
68.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 16 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
67.3%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
67.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 6 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
66.6%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
67.3%
Race Porter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caden Kolesar at the Mich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 2:1966% → 72%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
66.4%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
66.5%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 26Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
65.7%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+3
65.4%
Michael Barrett run for 3 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
72.3%
Blake Corum run for 67 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FUMBLE
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:2426% → 25%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jack Westover for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
73.5%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
73.9%
Jack Westover run for 3 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
73.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 7 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
73.4%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
74.3%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
73.5%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
73.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 17 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
73.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jack Westover for 5 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
72.3%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+1
73.2%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Mich 31Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 4
OPP 31
-2
74.9%
Richard Newton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 33 Richard Newton fumbled, recovered by Mich David OjaboSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:3674% → 74%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
74.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-8
74.3%
Mike Sainristil run for 7 yds to the Mich 42 MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Mich 27Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+6
74.1%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
74.4%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 33Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
74.3%
Brad Robbins punt for 33 yds, downed at the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0124% → 21%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
76.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
76.8%
Dylan Morris sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
78.3%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 15
OWN 29
+4
78.7%
Race Porter punt for 63 yds , Caden Kolesar returns for 4 yds to the Mich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:0376% → 77%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
76.4%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 14Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+1
78.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to A.J. Henning for 1 yd to the Mich 15Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-3
77.7%
Cade McNamara run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 12Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+52
77.3%
Brad Robbins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent McDuffie at the MICHIGAN 46 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:0822% → 24%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.5%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Giles Jackson, broken up by Vincent GraySimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+17
79.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 17 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
76.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 25 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:5878% → 91%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
78.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
78.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+20
78.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 20 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
80.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
80.9%
Blake Corum run for 17 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
81.0%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+4
81.4%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.9%
Blake Corum run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 4:5012% → 14%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
88.5%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
88.3%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
88.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 4 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
89.2%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+19
89.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 19 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
88.3%
Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+4
87.6%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
88.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 18 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
87.3%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Mich 22Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+12
87.4%
Giles Jackson run for 12 yds to the Mich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
88.8%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Mich 8Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
89.0%
Dylan Morris sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 10Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
90.8%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
85.8%
Peyton Henry 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:5489% → 98%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
89.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 29Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
89.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 9 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
90.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
92.3%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+1
91.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
93.3%
Cade McNamara run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 45 Cade McNamara fumbled, recovered by MichSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
93.3%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Joel HonigfordSimilar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+21
93.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
93.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+9
93.8%
Cade McNamara run for 9 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
93.7%
Blake Corum run for 10 yds to the Wash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:502% → 10%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.4%
Giles Jackson run for 1 yd to the Wash 26 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+33
98.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Giles Jackson for 33 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
98.1%
Dylan Morris run for 3 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
98.1%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Mich 22Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+22
89.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 22 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3094% → 94%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
94.4%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-1
94.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
94.7%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 7
OWN 32
-5
94.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+4
94.0%
Brad Robbins punt for 59 yds , Trent McDuffie returns for 4 yds to the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 3:128% → 7%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
92.5%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
92.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+9
92.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 9 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
92.1%
Morris, Dylan rush for 3 yards to the WASHINGTON35, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+13
93.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 13 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
92.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 3 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+7
92.4%
Dylan Morris run for 7 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
92.3%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Giles Jackson for 11 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
92.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
92.8%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
93.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:0796% → 100%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
96.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 16 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
96.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+11
96.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+2
97.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+3
97.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
98.2%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-1
98.3%
Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+8
98.3%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:490% → 1%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
99.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 45 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Richard NewtonSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-8
99.5%
Dylan Morris sacked by David Ojabo for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Leon Franklin run for 2 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:52
Blake Corum run for 7 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q4 12:04
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 22 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 9:47
Blake Corum run for 67 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com