Try the model
WMU

Western Michigan 14 at Michigan 47

MICH
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Michigan Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:01 · Parker Sampson 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Aidan Hutchinson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+15.0Home team on offense+29.7Score differential+20.7Blowout margin+13.4Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:58: La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:18: Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 76 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +3.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:18: Hassan Haskins run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +5.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:06: Jake Moody 20 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +4.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:01: A.J. Henning run for 74 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MICH win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:59MICH 4th & 1 at WMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:20MICH 4th & 7 at WMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:45WMU 4th & 7 at MICH 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:00MICH 4th & 13 at MICH 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:54WMU 4th & 5 at MICH 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:39WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:47WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:42WMU 4th & 20 at WMU 45, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:01WMU 4th & 12 at MICH 23, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:59MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 38, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:44WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 38, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:17WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 28, down 33
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:15MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:58WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:18MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:18MICH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:01MICH Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:57MICH Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:57MICH Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:30WMU Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4087% → 87%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
86.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
86.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 11 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
86.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+10
86.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 10 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
86.6%
Blake Corum run for 18 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
86.6%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
86.4%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+4
86.2%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+4
86.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
86.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1314% → 17%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for no gain to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce NunnellySimilar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
86.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+29
86.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 29 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
85.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
85.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 6 yds to the Mich 18Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+13
85.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 13 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
85.5%
Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the Mich 2Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2485% → 85%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
84.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
84.6%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+8
84.1%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+37
84.5%
Jake Moody 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:2316% → 17%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
84.5%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+13
84.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 13 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
84.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
83.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+22
83.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 22 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for no gain to the Mich 42Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
82.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
82.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
82.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 22 yds, downed at the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3583% → 81%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
82.7%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 17Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
82.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-8
82.0%
McNamara, Cade pass complete to Bell, Ronnie for no gain to the MICHIGAN17, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 8 yards to the MICHIGAN9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 18
OWN 9
+5
81.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the Mich 14Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
81.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5219% → 18%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
81.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 6
50
+4
81.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-3
81.1%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
81.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Bell at the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 1:2782% → 85%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
81.5%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 18Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+6
81.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 6 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+76
85.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 76 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2514% → 14%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
85.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for no gain to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
85.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
86.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+31
86.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds , Ronnie Bell returns for 31 yds to the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:5987% → 92%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
86.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
86.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for no gain to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+22
91.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:129% → 9%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
90.5%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
90.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
90.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
91.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
91.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 29 yds, downed at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 3:2792% → 95%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 8 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+10
92.6%
Blake Corum run for 10 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
92.7%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+8
92.8%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
93.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 12 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
93.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
93.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
93.0%
Cade McNamara run for 2 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+3
91.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
91.3%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 2Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
95.4%
Jake Moody 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.2%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 4:134% → 4%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
95.9%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
96.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 12 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 4
50
+3
95.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
95.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
95.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 20
OWN 45
0
95.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for no gain to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 20
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
96.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:2197% → 99%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 6 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+74
98.7%
A.J. Henning run for 74 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:401% → 1%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 12 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
99.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+22
99.2%
Sean Tyler run for 22 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
99.2%
Sean Tyler run for 18 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
99.1%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 28 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, recovered by WMich Mark Brooks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+5
99.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 5 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
99.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
99.2%
Parker Sampson 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Aidan HutchinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:4699% → 99%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
99.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
99.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-3
99.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Mike Sainristil for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 38Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
99.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for no gain to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+21
99.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 21 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 49 yds, downed at the Mich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+43
99.6%
Roman Wilson run for 43 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.7%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+11
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 11 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Blake Corum run for 30 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.9%
Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-16
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 16 yards to the Mich 16 J.J. McCarthy fumbled, recovered by Mich Joel Honigford , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 26
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Mich 18Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 24
OWN 18
+15
99.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-15
99.9%
McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul 15 yards to the MICHIGAN31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 25
OWN 31
0
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 25
OWN 31
+69
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 69 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 8 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 5 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 27 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22Uncategorized
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Leon Franklin run for 4 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Dan Villari run for 7 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Leon Franklin run for 7 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Leon Franklin run for 1 yd to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:18
Hassan Haskins run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
+5.3
FG · Q2 0:06
Jake Moody 20 yd FG GOOD
+4.8
TD · Q2 9:18
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 76 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com