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MD

Maryland 17 at Ohio State 66

OSU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+0.9OSU 88.9%C.J. Stroud pass complete to GarrettWilson for 2 yds for a TD, (NoahRuggles KICK)AWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 4:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:03 · C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+36.2Home team on offense+1.4Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:17: TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:12: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 36 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:37: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 7 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +3.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:54: C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 26 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:47: Master Teague III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:20MD 4th & 15 at OSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:03OSU 4th & 2 at MD 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:08MD 4th & 6 at MD 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:14MD 4th & 16 at MD 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:30MD 4th & 1 at OSU 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−1.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50MD 4th & 4 at OSU 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:18MD 4th & 5 at MD 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:28MD 4th & 3 at MD 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:47OSU 4th & 1 at MD 30, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:48MD 4th & 2 at MD 33, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:47MD 4th & 18 at MD 27, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:37OSU 4th & 13 at MD 15, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:32OSU 4th & 5 at MD 33, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:03OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:17OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:12OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:37MD Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:54OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:47OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:26OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:47OSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:31OSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:47MD Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:58OSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:259% → 10%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
91.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
91.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 13 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
91.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+7
90.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 7 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
90.9%
Challen Faamatau run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+15
90.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
90.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 4 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
90.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-12
90.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste and Haskell Garrett for a loss of 12 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+48
90.1%
Joseph Petrino 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
19 plays · 88 yds · 5:5790% → 89%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
89.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OhSt 12Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+12
89.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
89.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 23Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+17
89.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 17 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
89.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 6 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
89.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 5 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
89.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
89.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-5
89.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+14
88.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 14 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
89.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 13 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
88.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
88.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+17
88.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 17 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
88.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the Mary 4Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
88.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 4:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5011% → 11%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-10
88.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+13
88.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 13 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+11
88.6%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 56 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 11 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:4388% → 90%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
88.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+29
88.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 29 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
88.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 30 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4710% → 10%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
89.6%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
89.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
89.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 16
OWN 29
0
90.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tayon Fleet-DavisSimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+23
90.2%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 56 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 23 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:4891% → 93%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+22
90.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 22 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
93.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 36 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:257% → 12%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
92.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
93.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 11 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
92.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 20 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
92.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 15 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
92.1%
Challen Faamatau run for 8 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
92.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 4 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
92.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 7Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 7 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:2190% → 93%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
90.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
93.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 26 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:537% → 8%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
92.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+7
92.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Challen Faamatau for 7 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
92.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.3%
Challen Faamatau run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
92.3%
Challen Faamatau run for 5 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
92.2%
Challen Faamatau run for 1 yd to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+30
92.5%
Challen Faamatau run for 30 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
91.9%
Rakim Jarrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+9
92.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 9 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
92.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Marcus FlemingSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 4
OPP 5
-13
92.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by J.T. Tuimoloau for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 0:5894% → 98%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
93.6%
Master Teague III run for 11 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
93.6%
Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
93.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jeremy RuckertSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+10
93.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 10 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+42
93.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 42 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
93.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
93.9%
C.J. Stroud run for 5 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
97.5%
Master Teague III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:197% → 5%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
93.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Rakim JarrettSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
93.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 5 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
93.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tayon Fleet-DavisSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
95.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2298% → 99%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+17
98.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 17 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
98.1%
C.J. Stroud run for 3 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
98.2%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+15
98.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
98.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+26
99.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 26 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Rakim Jarrett run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 45 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2399% → 100%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
99.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
99.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 17 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
99.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
99.5%
Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+30
99.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.7%
Challen Faamatau run for 1 yd to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 2 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-7
99.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Steele Chambers for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+17
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 17 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+18
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 18 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 12 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Peny Boone for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+18
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 18 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 43 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19FG
13 plays · 37 yds · 4:24100% → 100%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.8%
Marcus Crowley run for 3 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Marcus Crowley run for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+13
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 4 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 7 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the Mary 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-8
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the Mary 10 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 18
OPP 20
+8
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 8 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-5
99.9%
Kyle McCord sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+32
99.9%
Noah Ruggles 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20INT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:340% → 0%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 11 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 8 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-17
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 17 yards to the Mary 34 Taulia Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 27
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 1 yd to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 26
OWN 35
-18
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Ryan Watts return for 18 yds to the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Jack Miller III pass incomplete to Joe RoyerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22INT TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+12
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 12 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-9
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Cormontae Hamilton for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 19
OWN 38
+12
100.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Challen Faamatau for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 7
50
+11
100.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-70
100.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted for a TD Craig Young return for 70 yds for a TD, (Dominic DiMaccio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Peny Boone run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
100.0%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+8
100.0%
Challen Faamatau run for 8 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
100.0%
Challen Faamatau run for 11 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:47
Master Teague III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 7:37
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 7 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q2 6:54
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 26 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com