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MD

Maryland 16 at Minnesota 34

MINN
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:56 · Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for no gain to the Mary 35 MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Beau Brade) to the Mary 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Home team on offense+32.9Score differential+21.9Pregame prior+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+21.9Garbage-time factor+12.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+8.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:48: Cole Kramer 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +4.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:20: Ky Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +6.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:05: Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 13 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +6.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:18: Bryce Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +9.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:31: Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +7.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:12MINN 4th & 8 at MD 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:28MD 4th & 26 at MINN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:41MINN 4th & 8 at MD 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:58MD 4th & 11 at MD 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:01MD 4th & 11 at MD 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00MINN 4th & 11 at MD 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−6.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:29MD 4th & 1 at MD 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.2%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:40MD 4th & 10 at MD 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:58MINN 4th & 7 at MD 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:28MD 4th & 11 at MD 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:56MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 35, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 13:48MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:20MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:05MD Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:18MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:31MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:31MD Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1139% → 40%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
60.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+21
60.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 21 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
60.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 2 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
60.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Mary 49 Taulia Tagovailoa fumbled, recovered by Minn Coney DurrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2MISSED FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1861% → 61%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
60.9%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference 15 yards to the MARYLAND34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
60.9%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-1
61.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
60.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
60.8%
Matthew Trickett 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:2339% → 40%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
60.6%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+15
60.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 15 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Marcus FlemingSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+38
60.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 38 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
59.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for no gain to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
59.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-15
59.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tayon Fleet-Davis) to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 23
OPP 26
-3
60.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 26
OPP 29
+47
60.3%
Joseph Petrino 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:3460% → 61%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
59.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+10
59.8%
Bryce Williams run for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
60.0%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
60.5%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
60.2%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
60.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mar'Keise Irving for 28 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
60.7%
Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
60.7%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
60.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
60.7%
Matthew Trickett 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2240% → 39%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.2%
Challen Faamatau run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
59.9%
Challen Faamatau run for no gain to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
60.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Aric Harris) to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
60.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+62
60.7%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the MINNESOTA 24 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bishop McDonald) to the Minn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:4860% → 67%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
60.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 13 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
60.6%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+38
61.1%
Ky Thomas run for 38 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
62.5%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+21
62.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 21 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
62.4%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.2%
Cole Kramer 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4035% → 33%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-2
66.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Thomas Rush for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+44
67.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the MINNESOTA 27 MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Minn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:2067% → 76%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
66.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 12 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
67.8%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
67.8%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+14
67.3%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 14 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
68.6%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 6 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Ami Finau) to the Mary 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
69.1%
Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
76.0%
Ky Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5526% → 34%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.7%
Peny Boone run for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
73.3%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
73.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 4 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.0%
Challen Faamatau run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+43
74.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 43 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
72.2%
Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
72.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
65.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 13 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10DOWNS
18 plays · 55 yds · 3:3770% → 72%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
69.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ko Kieft for 21 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
72.0%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Minn 47Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-10
71.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sam Schlueter) to the Minn 37Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+2
69.9%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+10
69.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tarheeb Still) to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+18
71.6%
Ky Thomas run for 18 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
73.4%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+2
72.6%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
71.8%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
72.7%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-4
74.0%
Ky Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
72.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+6
71.8%
Matthew Trickett 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tarheeb Still Ahmad McCullough return for 6 yds to the Minn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0672% → 86%
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brady Boyd for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
72.6%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
72.1%
Cole Kramer run for 2 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
72.8%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
74.4%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 5 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
74.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 11 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
75.4%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
75.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan WrightSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+35
74.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 35 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
77.4%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.4%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2116% → 16%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to DeaJaun McDougle for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
83.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to DeaJaun McDougle for 5 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
83.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
84.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:4488% → 96%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
88.3%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
88.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
88.8%
Ky Thomas run for 13 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:174% → 4%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
96.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 11 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
96.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 12 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
96.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
96.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-5
96.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Jaelyn Duncan) to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
96.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
96.3%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 8:0698% → 99%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.9%
Ky Thomas run for 8 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
98.0%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.2%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+10
98.3%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
98.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
98.7%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+7
98.8%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.9%
Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+10
99.0%
Cole Kramer run for 10 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.0%
Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-15
99.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mar'Keise Irving) to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 19
OPP 37
+10
99.1%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 10 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+2
99.1%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
99.3%
Matthew Trickett 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tayon Fleet-DavisSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
98.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Coney Durr for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 50 yds, downed at the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
99.6%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for no gain to the Mary 35 MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Beau Brade) to the Mary 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 3:131% → 3%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+18
99.3%
Challen Faamatau run for 18 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
99.2%
Challen Faamatau run for 6 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 9 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+6
99.2%
Challen Faamatau run for 6 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.2%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Phillip Howard) to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Challen Faamatau for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+10
99.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
99.2%
Challen Faamatau run for 3 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Dino TomlinSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
99.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+17
97.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19END OF GAME
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
99.5%
Cole Kramer run for 10 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.5%
Cole Kramer run for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:18
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+9
TD · Q3 5:31
Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 8:20
Ky Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com