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KENT

Kent State 16 at Maryland 37

MD
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:48 · Dustin Crum sacked by Kobi Thomas for 0 yards to the Mary 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+9.2Home team on offense+33.2Score differential+29.0Garbage-time factor+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3Blowout margin+14.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +2.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:03: Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +3.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:43: Joseph Petrino 26 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +2.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:14: Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 29 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino PAT MISSED) — MD win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:21: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +2.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 12:49MD 4th & 3 at KENT 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:12KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:39KENT 4th & 2 at MD 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:52KENT 4th & 9 at MD 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:22KENT 4th & 3 at MD 48, down 8
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:42MD 4th & 16 at MD 35, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:51KENT 4th & 6 at MD 18, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:46KENT 4th & 8 at MD 20, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:43MD 4th & 8 at KENT 8, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55KENT 4th & 1 at MD 49, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.8%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:36KENT 4th & 3 at MD 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%−1.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:00KENT 4th & 17 at KENT 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:00MD 4th & 1 at KENT 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:48KENT 4th & 11 at MD 16, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:53MD 4th & 1 at MD 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:45MD 4th & 1 at KENT 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:52KENT 4th & 12 at MD 34, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:25MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55MD Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:03MD Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:14MD Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:21MD Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:37KENT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1183% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
83.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
83.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 9 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
83.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
50
+5
83.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 5 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
83.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
82.9%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:3717% → 18%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
82.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+2
82.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+1
82.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
82.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
82.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+3
82.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
82.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-6
82.8%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+10
82.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 10 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+12
82.0%
Josh Smith punt for 46 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 12 yds to the Mary 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Rakim Jarrett return for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2519% → 20%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
81.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+6
81.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
81.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
81.3%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+2
81.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+35
80.4%
Andrew Glass 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:1081% → 82%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
80.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+20
81.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 20 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
82.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 33 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6FG
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:2818% → 20%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
81.9%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+15
82.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Mary 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
81.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kris Leach for 1 yd to the Mary 15Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
81.1%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
81.4%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
80.4%
Andrew Glass 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:5181% → 84%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
81.0%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left complete for 10 yards to OKONKWO, Chigoziem caught at the UMD30 and advanced to the UMD34 (MILLER, Montre;HOLMES, C.J.). PENALTY UMD Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LUNSFORD, Mason enforced 5 yards from the UMD24 to the UMD19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+24
81.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 24 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
81.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
81.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 4 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
81.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
81.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+11
81.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Challen Faamatau for 11 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
82.0%
Challen Faamatau run for 19 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
82.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
81.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 6Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:2917% → 18%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
83.0%
CRUM, Dustin pass to the left incomplete intended for ABRAM, Keshunn thrown to the UMD23. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on BENNETT, Kenny enforced 15 yards to the KSU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.5%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
82.3%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
82.2%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+22
82.5%
Josh Smith punt for 37 yds KENT ST Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on PIERRE, Marvin enforced at the deadball spot for (-15 Yards) to the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:1983% → 87%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+64
82.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 64 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
83.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 7 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:2614% → 16%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
86.2%
Nykeim Johnson run for 11 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
86.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 18 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
85.6%
CRUM, Dustin pass to the left complete for 47 yards to ABRAM, Keshunn caught at the UMD10 and advanced to the UMD0, TOUCHDOWN KSU, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY KSU Holding on KUDUK, Bill enforced 10 yards from the UMD47 to the KSU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+6
86.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+13
86.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 13 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+15
85.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 15 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
84.5%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+16
85.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 16 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-9
84.5%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:5087% → 87%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
87.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
87.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 15 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
87.7%
Rakim Jarrett run for 2 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-6
87.6%
Colby McDonald run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
86.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Zayin West for 0 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
86.5%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 45 yds, downed at the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:5613% → 13%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
86.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 12 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+34
86.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 34 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
85.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 12 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
85.0%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
85.0%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
85.4%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+8
86.8%
Andrew Glass run for 18 yds for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zayin West) to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
86.6%
Andrew Glass 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:5587% → 92%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
86.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 7 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
86.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+31
86.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 31 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
87.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 6 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+8
87.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 8 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
87.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 16 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
87.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 1 yd to the KntSt 8Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
91.5%
Joseph Petrino 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:388% → 10%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
91.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
91.9%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Zayin West) to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+10
92.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 10 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-4
90.8%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Zayin West) to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+15
92.1%
CRUM, Dustin pass to the right incomplete thrown to the KSU45. PENALTY UMD Roughing the Passer on BOOKER JR., Anthony enforced 15 yards from the KSU39 to the UMD46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
90.0%
Dustin Crum run for 24 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1912% → 11%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
88.2%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
87.7%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
87.8%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
88.0%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
87.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 5 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
87.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 2 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
87.5%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
88.7%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:2291% → 97%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
91.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+9
91.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+16
91.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 16 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
96.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 29 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:144% → 3%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
95.9%
Dustin Crum run for 17 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.7%
Dustin Crum sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for 0 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+6
96.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
96.0%
Dustin Crum sacked for 0 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
96.6%
Josh Smith punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:3997% → 100%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 4 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+15
96.7%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the right incomplete intended for DEMUS, Dontay thrown to the KSU30. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on HINES, Elvis enforced 15 yards to the KSU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
96.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 16 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
96.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+9
96.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 9 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
96.5%
Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
96.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 7 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 5:291% → 0%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
99.5%
CRUM, Dustin pass to the left incomplete intended for ABRAM, Keshunn thrown to the UMD30. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on COLEY JR., Corey enforced 15 yards to the UMD15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
99.5%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the Mary 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 11
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Dustin Crum sacked by Kobi Thomas for 0 yards to the Mary 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.6%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
99.6%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
99.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 13 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
99.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 12 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.5%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+29
99.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 29 yds to the Mary 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
99.5%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+3
99.7%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+2
99.7%
Nykeim Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 7
OPP 9
0
99.7%
KENT ST Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Pass Interference on CEPHAS, Dante ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 21 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q3 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+17
99.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 17 yds to the Mary 30 pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 15 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.7%
Colby McDonald run for 4 yds to the Mary 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 5 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
99.7%
Colby McDonald run for 6 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Colby McDonald run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
PECORELLA, Anthony rush up the middle for a loss of 14 yards to the UMD25 (CLARK, Dean). PENALTY KSU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the UMD39 to the UMD44 [NHPUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:160% → 2%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 5 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+52
99.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 52 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
99.8%
Joachim Bangda run for 8 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+15
98.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 15 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 6 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-2
99.2%
Peny Boone run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:531% → 1%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
98.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
98.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+21
98.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 21 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
98.8%
CRUM, Dustin pass to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Nykeim thrown to the UMD46. PENALTY UMD Holding on BENNETT, Kenny enforced 10 yards from the KSU45 to the UMD45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
98.8%
Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Dustin Crum sacked by Demeioun Robinson for 0 yards to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 21
OWN 44
+9
98.9%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 12
OPP 47
+15
99.3%
CRUM, Dustin pass up the middle incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Nykeim thrown to the UMD35. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on STILL, Tarheeb enforced 15 yards to the UMD32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 8 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
99.0%
Dustin Crum sacked by Beau Brade for 0 yards to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 12
OPP 34
0
99.2%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:33100% → 100%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
99.5%
Colby McDonald run for 19 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.5%
Colby McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+21
99.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 21 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dino Tomlin for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+20
99.5%
Colby McDonald run for 20 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 6 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Colby McDonald run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
99.7%
MCDONALD, Colby rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the KSU0, TOUCHDOWN UMD, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UMD Chop Block on LUNSFORD, Mason enforced 15 yards from the KSU1 to the KSU16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:14
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 29 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino PAT MISSED)
+5.5
TD · Q2 12:03
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+3.8
TD · Q3 5:21
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com