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WVU

West Virginia 24 at Maryland 30

MD
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:19 · Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by VanDarius Cowan for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior−4.2Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:53: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 18 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +5.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:30: Leddie Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +7.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:16: Joseph Petrino 26 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +12.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:25: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 60 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +22.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:53: Casey Legg 23 Yd Field Goal — WVU win probability +14.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 11WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:46MD 4th & 3 at WVU 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:56WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:30MD 4th & 15 at MD 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:19MD 4th & 1 at WVU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−3.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:12MD 4th & 9 at MD 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:44MD 4th & 1 at WVU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.4%−1.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:59MD 4th & 20 at WVU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:58WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:27MD 4th & 3 at WVU 3, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:49WVU 4th & 19 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−3.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:30MD 4th & 5 at MD 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:08WVU 4th & 12 at MD 46, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−2.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:11MD 4th & 2 at MD 25, down 1
    Close callPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:47WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 48, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:46MD 4th & 2 at MD 20, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:16MD 4th & 7 at WVU 8, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−5.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−19.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:37WVU 4th & 2 at MD 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−1.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:53WVU 4th & 5 at MD 6, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:52WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:57MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:53MD Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:35WVU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:30WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:25MD Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:4744% → 45%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
43.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 12 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
43.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
43.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 3 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
43.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 5 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
44.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 14 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
44.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 8 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-1
44.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
44.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
44.9%
Joseph Petrino 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:3555% → 57%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
44.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 16 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
44.8%
Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
44.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+20
44.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 20 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
44.8%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
45.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 8 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+20
43.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 20 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:3344% → 46%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
44.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 8 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
44.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 6 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
46.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 66 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 3:5154% → 51%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.4%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
46.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for a loss of 3 yards Sam James fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
47.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 11 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
47.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Tarheeb Still for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 20
OWN 25
-8
47.9%
Jarret Doege sacked by Deshawn Holt for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 28
OWN 17
+5
48.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 23
OWN 22
+12
48.6%
Leddie Brown run for 12 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
49.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:4548% → 56%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
48.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
49.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
49.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 15 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
49.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-4
49.6%
Brian Cobbs run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+24
48.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 24 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
50.6%
Rakim Jarrett run for 2 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
55.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 18 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:5850% → 49%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
49.7%
Challen Faamatau run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
49.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+5
49.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
49.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-5
49.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
48.8%
Colton Spangler punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Winston Wright Jr. at the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:3849% → 57%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
51.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 19 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
50.1%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+34
49.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 34 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
49.2%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Mary 14Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
49.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+5
51.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mary 9Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
43.5%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:5647% → 48%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
46.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
47.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 7 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+6
48.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
48.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Darryl Jones for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
48.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
48.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-8
47.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by VanDarius Cowan for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
50
-20
42.0%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Nick Cross return for 5 yds to the MARYLAND 45 MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Mary 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4245% → 44%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
44.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
44.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 4 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-4
44.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
43.9%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 50 yds , Winston Wright Jr. returns for no gain to the WVirg 34 Winston Wright Jr. fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 1 yds · 3:0649% → 43%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
49.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
49.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
48.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
47.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
50.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
49.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 3 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-13
48.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 13 yards to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 20
OPP 33
+51
43.4%
Joseph Petrino 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4957% → 54%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
42.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
43.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-5
43.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
45.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 12
OWN 31
+2
46.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 2 yds to the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:2346% → 52%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+35
45.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 35 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
51.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 13 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
51.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 11 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
51.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
50.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 5 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
49.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
51.7%
Joseph Petrino 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:1651% → 50%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
49.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-10
48.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-2
50.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0155% → 53%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
44.8%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference 9 yards to the WESTVIR44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
43.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 15 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
42.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
42.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for no gain to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-9
43.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Sam Okuayinonu for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 19
50
0
47.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0048% → 45%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
47.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
47.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
46.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Colton Spangler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:1555% → 52%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
45.5%
Leddie Brown run for 12 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
43.7%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
44.2%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+10
45.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 10 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
43.2%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
43.2%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 8
OPP 42
-4
43.7%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
48.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4148% → 46%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
48.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+5
48.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+1
47.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 1 yd to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+1
46.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 45 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1154% → 54%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
46.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 2 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
46.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
44.2%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
43.8%
Jarret Doege sacked by TEAM for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 34 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+14
46.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 14 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
43.6%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
46.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4748% → 44%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
48.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 11Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+2
48.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 2 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+7
46.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 7 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
44.2%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:2957% → 58%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
42.6%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
42.7%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
42.5%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Mary 34 Leddie Brown fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:4448% → 66%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
48.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
51.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 4 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+5
50.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
54.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 9 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
51.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+11
52.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 11 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
54.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
52.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
54.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 11 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
54.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+5
55.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 5 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
53.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
65.6%
Joseph Petrino 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24INT
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:2443% → 46%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+39
57.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 39 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
54.0%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
54.1%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted, touchback. Jakorian Bennett return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4365% → 91%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
64.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
67.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
65.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 5 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
68.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+60
90.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 60 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 3:1810% → 26%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.8%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
90.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 16 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
88.6%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
88.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 10 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
88.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 8 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
88.0%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+9
89.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
86.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 19 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
85.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
86.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+9
88.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
73.7%
Casey Legg 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27END OF GAME
12 plays · 60 yds · 2:4792% → 97%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
92.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
93.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 4 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
95.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+53
96.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 53 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:25
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 60 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+22
FG · Q4 2:53
Casey Legg 23 Yd Field Goal
-14.7
FG · Q4 9:16
Joseph Petrino 26 yd FG GOOD
+12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com