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IOWA

Iowa 28 at Nebraska 21

NEB
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGSAFETYFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.5NEB 86.5%Caleb Shudak 36 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 21 · Q3 0:27
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:27 · Caleb Shudak 36 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense+15.0Garbage-time factor+3.1Score differential+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3Pregame prior+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:20: Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — NEB win probability +12.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:54: Logan Smothers run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK) — NEB win probability +11.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q4 9:56: Smothers,Logan sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NEB00 (Van Ness,Lukas). Iowa SAFETY, clock 09:56 PENALTY NEB Intentional Grounding (Smothers,Logan). NO PLAY. for a SAFETY — IOWA win probability +4.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:21: Caleb Shudak 44 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +12.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:58: Spencer Petras run for 2 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +33.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:29IOWA 4th & 1 at NEB 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−2.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:39NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:23IOWA 4th & 11 at NEB 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:36NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:39IOWA 4th & 9 at NEB 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:39NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.2%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39IOWA 4th & 10 at NEB 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:27IOWA 4th & 11 at NEB 18, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:16NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 27, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:37IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 44, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−2.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:21IOWA 4th & 4 at NEB 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−12.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:58NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−3.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:12NEB 4th & 2 at IOWA 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−7.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−8.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IOWA made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:18NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:20NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:54NEB Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:58IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4252% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
51.7%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB25 to NEB20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+19
51.7%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Samori Toure for 19 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
51.7%
Logan Smothers run for 6 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
51.7%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
51.7%
Jaquez Yant run for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+3
51.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
51.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
51.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
51.7%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
51.7%
Omar Manning run for 1 yd to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+28
51.7%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Samori Toure for 28 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
51.7%
Logan Smothers run for 6 yds to the Iowa 2Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.5%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2DOWNS
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:4945% → 44%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+30
54.5%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 30 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
54.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
53.8%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Luke LacheySimilar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+11
54.1%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 11 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
53.8%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Charlie Jones for 10 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
53.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Neb 8Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
53.8%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
54.1%
PENALTY IOW False Start (Colby,Connor) 5 yards from NEB08 to NEB13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+12
56.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.4%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta pass complete to for 1 ydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5058% → 58%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
57.6%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
57.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Levi Falck for no gain to the Neb 4Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
57.2%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the Neb 4Similar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
57.6%
William Przystup punt for 43 yds , Charlie Jones returns for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1644% → 40%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
56.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
56.5%
Alex Padilla sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 17
OPP 45
0
57.2%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Tyler GoodsonSimilar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+6
57.7%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 6 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
59.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2460% → 60%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
60.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
60.1%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
59.6%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
59.8%
William Przystup punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:5741% → 40%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
59.4%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
59.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+18
58.9%
Monte Pottebaum run for 3 yds to the NEBRASKA 49 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Caleb Tannor) to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
57.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
59.3%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-5
60.2%
Padilla,Alex pass complete to LaPorta,Sam for 10 yards to the NEB18, End Of Play PENALTY IOW Illegal Formation 5 yards from NEB28 to NEB33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
60.4%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+51
60.0%
Caleb Shudak 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1958% → 73%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.9%
Logan Smothers run for 11 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
58.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Jaquez Yant for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
59.2%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
58.8%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+6
58.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 6 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
59.6%
Brody Belt run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
59.6%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+6
59.3%
Jaquez Yant run for 6 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
59.7%
Brody Belt run for 10 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
60.4%
Logan Smothers run for 24 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
60.4%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the Iowa 2Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
60.4%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.6%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:4127% → 29%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
71.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
72.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Marquel Dismuke) to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
70.8%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
70.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-3
69.8%
Alex Padilla sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
71.6%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
70.6%
Caleb Shudak 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.5%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10FUMBLE
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:4831% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
69.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+13
69.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 13 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
67.1%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+5
66.8%
Petras,Spencer pass incomplete to Tracy Jr.,Tyrone PENALTY NEB Offside (Nelson,Garrett) 5 yards from NEB49 to NEB44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
66.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+26
66.5%
Monte Pottebaum run for 26 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
65.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+8
67.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the Neb 6 Tyler Goodson fumbled, forced by Luke Reimer, recovered by Neb Deontre ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
9 plays · 94 yds · 4:1875% → 90%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
74.5%
Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+5
74.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 5 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+27
74.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Austin Allen for 27 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
76.9%
Jaquez Yant run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
77.4%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
76.7%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+40
77.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Omar Manning for 40 yds to the Iowa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the Iowa 1Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.5%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:2714% → 14%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
86.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 27 yds Luke Lachey fumbled, forced by Luke Reimer, recovered by Iowa for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
84.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
84.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-5
85.6%
PENALTY IOW False Start (Plumb,Jack) 5 yards from NEB47 to IOW48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+24
86.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 24 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
83.4%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 17
OPP 35
+8
84.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for 8 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+10
85.0%
Petras,Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson,Keagan, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Taylor-Britt,Cam) 10 yards from NEB27 to NEB17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
83.4%
Keagan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+3
84.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
85.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+36
86.5%
Caleb Shudak 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4489% → 69%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.9%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
88.8%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Travis VokolekSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
88.3%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Samori Toure for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+14
68.8%
William Przystup punt blocked by Joe Evans blocked by Joe Evans for a TD , Kyler Fisher returns for 14 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:0271% → 77%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
71.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Austin Allen for 28 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
74.6%
Jaquez Yant run for 4 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
75.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
77.3%
Logan Smothers run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3730% → 24%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
69.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+2
72.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 2 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
73.4%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
76.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:4176% → 72%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
76.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Samori Toure for 1 yd to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 6
0
71.6%
Smothers,Logan sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NEB00 (Van Ness,Lukas). Iowa SAFETY, clock 09:56 PENALTY NEB Intentional Grounding (Smothers,Logan). NO PLAY. for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:3534% → 50%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
65.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 20 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
62.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
62.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+8
62.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
60.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
60.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
62.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
50.2%
Caleb Shudak 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2359% → 55%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.6%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Brody BeltSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.2%
Samori Toure run for 1 yd to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
55.8%
Logan Smothers run for 5 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
55.0%
Daniel Cerni punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:0048% → 90%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
51.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+55
49.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 55 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
43.7%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+6
43.7%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
43.7%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.0%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
15 plays · 47 yds · 2:1522% → 20%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
21.5%
Logan Smothers sacked by Zach VanValkenburg for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+10
20.6%
Smothers,Logan pass complete to Belt,Brody for 1 yard loss to the NEB17 (Jacobs,Jestin) PENALTY IOW Holding (Campbell,Jack) 10 yards from NEB18 to NEB28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
22.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Brody Belt for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
21.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Levi Falck for 8 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
23.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Zavier Betts for 7 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
25.6%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete pass complete to for 5 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+13
24.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Samori Toure for 13 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST down pass incomplete for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
27.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Brody Belt for 8 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
30.5%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
23.0%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+6
17.8%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Samori Toure for 6 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
26.0%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
19.9%
Logan Smothers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4394% → 95%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
6.2%
Spencer Petras run for 4 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 6
-1
5.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:58
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)
-33.7
TD · Q2 4:20
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Contreraz KICK)
+12.2
FG · Q4 7:21
Caleb Shudak 44 yd FG GOOD
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com