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IOWA

Iowa 51 at Maryland 14

MD
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2021 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.6MD 3.5%Caleb Shudak 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 44 - HOME 7 · Q3 8:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:35 · Caleb Shudak 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−45.2Score differential−21.1Garbage-time factor−9.6Pregame prior−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:57: Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:04: Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds for a TD — IOWA win probability +4.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:53: Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +12.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:46: Monte Pottebaum run for 2 yds for a TD — IOWA win probability +10.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:00: MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lawtez Rogers) to the Mary 3 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +5.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:37MD 4th & 6 at MD 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16IOWA 4th & 6 at MD 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:19MD 4th & 12 at MD 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:29IOWA 4th & 1 at MD 20, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:09MD 4th & 15 at MD 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:35IOWA 4th & 14 at MD 14, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:20IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 43, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:10MD 4th & 4 at MD 29, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:45IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 24, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:29MD 4th & 3 at MD 47, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:56IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 32, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:18IOWA 4th & 11 at MD 15, up 37
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:37MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:57IOWA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:04IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:53IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:46IOWA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:49IOWA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:01MD Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:18IOWA Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2345% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
44.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 10 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
44.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 2 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
44.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 7 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
44.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
44.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Johari Branch) to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+5
44.9%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 35 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2555% → 54%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
44.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 12 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
44.8%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
44.9%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+11
45.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 11 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-5
44.9%
IOWA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tyrone Tracy Jr.) to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+8
45.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 8 yds to the Mary 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5646% → 46%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
45.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+6
45.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 6 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
45.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
45.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-5
45.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Johari Branch) to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
46.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:0055% → 54%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
50
0
45.4%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
50
+10
45.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
45.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 13 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
45.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
45.3%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
45.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
45.6%
Caleb Shudak 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:3246% → 51%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
45.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 26 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
46.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
46.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+22
46.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 22 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
47.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
46.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+12
46.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 12 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
46.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 4 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
50.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 9 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:3452% → 56%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
48.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
48.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
48.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+16
47.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 16 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
47.5%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+18
47.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 18 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
47.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.7%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:4356% → 61%
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
43.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 2 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
39.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted return for no gain to the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:5761% → 73%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
39.1%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-10
39.3%
GOODSON, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UMD23 (CROSS, Nick). PENALTY IOW Holding enforced 10 yards from the UMD26 to the UMD36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+15
39.5%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the right incomplete intended for LAPORTA, Sam broken up by CROSS, Nick at the UMD20. PENALTY UMD Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the UMD36 to the UMD21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
39.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+7
39.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
39.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.1%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.8%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:2630% → 30%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
30.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 11 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
30.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted return for no gain to the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
11 plays · 45 yds · 10:2374% → 90%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
26.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+9
26.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 9 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
26.4%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+3
26.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 3 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
26.8%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the right incomplete intended for TRACY JR., Tyrone thrown to the UMD0. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on BENNETT, Jakorian enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the UMD11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
26.4%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the left incomplete intended for LAPORTA, Sam thrown to the UMD0. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on FINAU, Ami enforced 9 yards to the UMD2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
26.4%
Monte Pottebaum run for 3 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
26.4%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 5Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.3%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.1%
Monte Pottebaum run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lawtez Rogers) to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2022% → 20%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
21.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+3
21.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 3 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
21.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+7
20.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 3:5084% → 92%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
16.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+9
15.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 9 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
15.5%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the right complete for 14 yards to JONES, Charlie caught at the UMD41 and advanced to the UMD41 (BENNETT, Jakorian). PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on BENNETT, Jakorian enforced 15 yards to the UMD40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
15.4%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 7 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
15.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
12.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 29 yds for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyrone Tracy Jr.) to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 16
OPP 35
0
11.4%
Spencer Petras sacked by Sam Okuayinonu for 0 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 26
OPP 45
+9
10.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 9 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 17
OPP 36
+16
11.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 16 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+38
8.5%
Caleb Shudak 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:246% → 7%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
6.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 11 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
7.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 8 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
7.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted return for no gain to the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:1193% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
7.4%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+11
7.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 11 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
7.1%
PETRAS, Spencer pass to the right complete for 19 yards to BRUCE IV, Arland caught at the UMD38 and advanced to the UMD36 (BENNETT, Kenny). PENALTY IOW Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on RICHMAN, Mason enforced 5 yards from the IOW45 to the IOW40. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
7.1%
Spencer Petras sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for 0 yards to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 22
OWN 33
+67
3.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 67 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:404% → 3%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
3.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
3.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-10
3.8%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to JARRETT, Rakim caught at the UMD36 and advanced to the UMD36 (MERRIWEATHER, Kaevon). PENALTY UMD Holding on DUNCAN, Jaelyn enforced 10 yards from the UMD24 to the UMD14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+6
3.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+15
3.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 15 yds to the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3497% → 97%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
3.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
3.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+31
3.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 31 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
2.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 10Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
2.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
2.9%
IOWA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Mary 15Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
2.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 1 yd to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
3.5%
Caleb Shudak 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:342% → 3%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 10 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+38
2.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 38 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
2.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 12 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
2.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
2.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+13
2.0%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass up the middle incomplete intended for COBBS, Brian thrown to the IOW0. PENALTY IOW Pass Interference on HANKINS, Matt enforced 13 yards to the IOW2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the Iowa 2Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
2.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Aric Harris) to the Iowa 7Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
2.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 7 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 6:3997% → 99%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
3.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
3.3%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
3.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+6
3.0%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 6 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
3.1%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+11
3.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+10
2.9%
Monte Pottebaum run for 10 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
2.9%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
0.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 3 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+27
0.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 27 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 7 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:001% → 0%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
0.5%
Colby McDonald run for 6 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
0.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted return for no gain to the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.6%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
0.6%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
0.6%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+1
0.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 1 yd to the Mary 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
0.4%
Peny Boone run for 8 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+2
0.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Peny Boone for 2 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.4%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 5 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
0.3%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 1 yd to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
0.3%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+10
0.3%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 53 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 10 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.4%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
0.4%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
0.4%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
0.3%
Colby McDonald run for 5 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
0.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Corey Dyches for 7 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
0.3%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Colby McDonald for 2 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
0.3%
Colby McDonald run for 5 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
0.3%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 49 yds, downed at the Iowa 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
0.4%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 5Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+2
0.4%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+22
0.4%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 22 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
0.2%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+1
0.2%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
0.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
0.1%
Reece Udinski pass intercepted IOWA Penalty, Sideline Interference (TEAM) to the Mary 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
0.2%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-5
0.2%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Justin Britt) to the Mary 14Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
0.2%
IOWA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+2
0.2%
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Max Cooper for 2 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+2
0.3%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+1
0.2%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Mary 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 7 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
0.1%
Colby McDonald run for 4 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+3
0.1%
Colby McDonald run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:53
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q2 5:46
Monte Pottebaum run for 2 yds for a TD
-10.2
TD · Q2 0:00
MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lawtez Rogers) to the Mary 3 for a 1ST down
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com