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CSU

Colorado State 14 at Iowa 24

IOWA
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:54 · Todd Centeio pass complete to Scott Patchan for 6 yds to the ColSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Pregame prior+1.0Home team on offense+27.1Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.5Score differential+7.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:55: Todd Centeio run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK) — CSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:14: A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the Iowa 18 — CSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:24: Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK) — CSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:17: Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +19.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:01: Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 27 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +12.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 13:32CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:05CSU 4th & 2 at IOWA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:38CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:11CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:57IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:21IOWA 4th & 3 at CSU 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−3.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:12CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−1.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:40IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−4.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:53CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:41CSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−3.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−3.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:36IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:48CSU 4th & 12 at CSU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:32IOWA 4th & 23 at CSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−3.6
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−6.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:48CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:47IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:50CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 28, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:08CSU 4th & 14 at IOWA 42, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    5.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:17IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:54CSU 4th & 26 at CSU 4, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.2
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:45IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:55CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:24CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:17IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:01IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:156% → 7%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.8%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Cameron ButlerSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
93.7%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
93.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
93.5%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2493% → 93%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 9 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
93.3%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
93.1%
Spencer Petras run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-3
92.9%
Spencer Petras sacked by Scott Patchan for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+5
92.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+4
92.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 41 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for 4 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:178% → 9%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
92.5%
A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 27Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+5
92.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+9
92.2%
Todd Centeio run for 9 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.0%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Ty McCullouchSimilar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
91.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+17
91.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to E.J. Scott for 17 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.5%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBrideSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 4DOWNS
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:539% → 9%
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
91.4%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+1
91.3%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
91.3%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Justice McCoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:1691% → 91%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
91.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.5%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
91.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IVSimilar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
91.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
90.8%
Tory Taylor punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Thomas Pannunzio at the ColSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:409% → 11%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
90.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the ColSt 10Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
90.7%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 4 yds to the ColSt 14Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+9
90.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 9 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
90.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
90.0%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
89.9%
Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to A'Jon Vivens for 3 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
89.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
89.1%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+7
89.5%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 53 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:2790% → 92%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
89.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 4 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+27
89.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 27 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
90.1%
Arland Bruce IV run for 13 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.1%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the ColSt 43Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
91.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 43 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:179% → 9%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.2%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
91.0%
A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+19
91.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 19 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
90.4%
Todd Centeio sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 42Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+3
90.7%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the ColSt 45Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+6
90.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 6 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 8
OPP 49
-5
90.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 46Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
90.9%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 47 yds, downed at the Iowa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0091% → 90%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
90.7%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for no gain to the Iowa 7Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+2
90.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 2 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+4
90.1%
Monte Pottebaum run for 4 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
90.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:4211% → 18%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
89.1%
Thomas Pannunzio run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+2
89.7%
Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+15
89.7%
Todd Centeio run for 15 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
88.6%
Thomas Pannunzio run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+2
88.8%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+11
89.0%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 11 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
88.2%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-1
88.0%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 10Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
81.8%
Todd Centeio run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11INT
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:5485% → 86%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+49
85.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 49 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
86.7%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 29Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+4
85.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 4 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+11
85.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-62
86.1%
Spencer Petras pass intercepted Robert Floyd return for 62 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:5022% → 34%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
78.3%
A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
77.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-5
78.5%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Barry Wesley) to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+16
78.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 16 yds to the Iowa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
71.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:1671% → 70%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
71.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 22 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
73.1%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+5
71.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 5 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+3
71.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 3 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
69.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 31 yds, downed at the ColSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5333% → 33%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
66.6%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
66.1%
Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
66.2%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBrideSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+4
67.0%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 4 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1968% → 63%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
68.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-8
67.9%
Spencer Petras sacked by Dequan Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
63.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Luke LacheySimilar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+2
62.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for 2 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -13 yds · 0:5637% → 38%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
62.6%
Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the ColSt 20 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ColSt 10Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 19
OWN 10
-4
61.7%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 6Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 23
OWN 6
0
62.1%
A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the ColSt 6 A'Jon Vivens fumbled, recovered by Iowa Jack CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0425% → 23%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
75.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
75.3%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Ty McCullouchSimilar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
75.9%
Todd Centeio run for no gain to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+38
76.8%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 56 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 38 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 0:4580% → 85%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
79.7%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 42Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+15
77.8%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
89.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 27 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.2%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0517% → 16%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
50
+7
83.5%
E.J. Scott run for 7 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+2
83.1%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
82.7%
Todd Centeio run for no gain to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-1
84.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4589% → 88%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
88.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
88.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
87.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for no gain to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
87.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds, downed at the ColSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:2615% → 12%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
85.1%
Marcus McElroy Jr. run for no gain to the ColSt 1Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
86.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the ColSt 7Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+15
87.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 15 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
86.4%
Todd Centeio sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 17Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+2
86.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+1
87.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 1 yd to the ColSt 20Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+17
88.0%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 45 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 17 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0791% → 91%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
90.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for no gain to the ColSt 48Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+34
90.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 34 yds to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-13
91.5%
Charlie Jones run for a loss of 13 yards to the ColSt 27 Charlie Jones fumbled, recovered by IowaSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 23
OPP 27
0
91.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 23
OPP 27
0
90.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 23
OPP 27
+45
90.5%
Caleb Shudak 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:329% → 7%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.3%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
90.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 26Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
92.0%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Scott Patchan for 10 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
90.4%
Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the ColSt 37Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
91.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ColSt 38Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
91.6%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBrideSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
92.8%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 55 yds, downed at the Iowa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:4591% → 94%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
90.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+2
92.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+7
93.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 7 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-10
93.9%
Spencer Petras sacked by Devin Phillips for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 20
OWN 8
+6
94.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+4
94.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 4 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
93.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for no gain to the ColSt 18 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ColSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:345% → 3%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.3%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
95.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
95.4%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+34
95.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to E.J. Scott for 34 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.0%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Scott PatchanSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
94.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-5
94.2%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 11
OPP 39
-3
95.0%
Todd Centeio sacked by John Waggoner for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:4196% → 96%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.1%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
96.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-2
96.8%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 8
OWN 44
-5
96.6%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
96.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:203% → 3%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.9%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBrideSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-12
97.0%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 12 yards to the ColSt 8 Todd Centeio fumbled, recovered by ColStSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 22
OWN 8
0
97.3%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBrideSimilar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 22
OWN 8
-4
97.4%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the ColSt 4Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 26
OWN 4
+6
97.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Scott Patchan for 6 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3797% → 97%
Q4 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
97.2%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the ColSt 6Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
97.2%
Gavin Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:17
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)
+19.3
TD · Q3 6:01
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 27 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)
+12
TD · Q2 0:24
Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com