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IOWA

Iowa 27 at Iowa State 17

ISU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFUMBLEFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:01: Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 26 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +10.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:07: Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK) — ISU win probability +12.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 5:08: Breece Hall run for no gain Breece Hall fumbled, forced by Jestin Jacobs, recovered by Iowa Jack Campbell , return for 6 yds (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +18.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:56: Caleb Shudak 51 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +9.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:27: Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Tarique Milton for 13 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +8.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:31IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:17IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:29ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:07IOWA 4th & 13 at ISU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:39ISU 4th & 4 at IOWA 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:11IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:35ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:07ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:25IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−4.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:12ISU 4th & 22 at ISU 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−5.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:16IOWA 4th & 21 at ISU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−3.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:56IOWA 4th & 18 at ISU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:53IOWA 4th & 4 at ISU 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−9.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:25ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:52IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:19ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:27IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:46IOWA 4th & 4 at ISU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:50ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 37, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 8:13IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:01IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:07ISU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:27ISU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2439% → 39%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
61.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
61.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 5 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
61.4%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
61.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 58 yds, downed at the IowSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5462% → 61%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
61.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
61.4%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
61.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+4
61.2%
Corey Dunn punt for 56 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 4 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0539% → 39%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
61.3%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 39Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
61.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyler GoodsonSimilar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+5
61.4%
Spencer Petras run for 5 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
61.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4161% → 61%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
61.4%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+4
61.4%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
61.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 12Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+1
61.4%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 13Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+7
61.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 7 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
60.9%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+18
60.7%
Corey Dunn punt for 39 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 18 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1140% → 39%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
60.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+10
60.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kym-Mani King) to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
60.1%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
60.1%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 1 yd to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-4
60.3%
Spencer Petras sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+50
61.4%
Caleb Shudak 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:2361% → 63%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
61.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jared Rus for 9 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+8
61.9%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
62.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 2 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+14
62.2%
Jirehl Brock run for 14 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
62.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
62.6%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+4
62.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
62.9%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
62.9%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+4
62.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
62.5%
Connor Assalley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:1938% → 38%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
62.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
62.7%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 7 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
62.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
61.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
61.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
62.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
62.1%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Matt Hankins return for no gain to the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:4739% → 49%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
60.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Jackson Ritter for 9 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
60.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
60.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 17 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
59.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
58.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
59.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
58.7%
Monte Pottebaum run for 5 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:3055% → 54%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.9%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
54.8%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
54.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Derek Schweiger) to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
53.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 15 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
56.6%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
56.6%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
55.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
53.6%
Corey Dunn punt for 27 yds, downed at the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:2247% → 64%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-7
52.6%
Spencer Petras sacked by Zach Petersen and Will McDonald IV for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+2
53.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 2 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+21
54.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 21 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
50.4%
Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+8
48.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 8 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
47.8%
Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
47.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 8 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+10
46.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 10 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
46.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
36.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 26 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:4339% → 56%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
39.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 16 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
39.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 2 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+49
39.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 49 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
55.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:4752% → 51%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
52.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
52.7%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
54.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
53.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
54.3%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
54.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe ScatesSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
53.1%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
50.7%
Corey Dunn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3750% → 47%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
50.2%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-4
50.3%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 6Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 14
OWN 6
0
51.6%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 14
OWN 6
0
52.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 69 yds, downed at the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 2:0551% → 47%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
50.5%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-8
50.3%
Brock Purdy sacked by Jack Campbell and Deontae Craig for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 15Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-2
48.5%
Brock Purdy sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+24
47.3%
Corey Dunn punt for 54 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 24 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:4955% → 53%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
45.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 7 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+6
43.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
41.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
41.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for no gain to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-11
43.3%
Spencer Petras sacked by Jake Hummel for a loss of 11 yards to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 21
OPP 41
0
47.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 yds, downed at the IowSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FUMBLE TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
29.3%
Breece Hall run for no gain Breece Hall fumbled, forced by Jestin Jacobs, recovered by Iowa Jack Campbell , return for 6 yds (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3730% → 28%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.5%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
27.9%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Seth Benson return for 6 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20FG
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1975% → 84%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
25.4%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 1 yd to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
25.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-9
25.3%
Spencer Petras sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 18
OPP 33
+51
15.8%
Caleb Shudak 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:0320% → 20%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
20.2%
Breece Hall run for 16 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
21.7%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
21.2%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
20.6%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
20.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 2 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-41
20.2%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Matt Hankins return for 41 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4588% → 93%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
11.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+13
10.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 13 yds to the IowSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
9.1%
Monte Pottebaum run for 3 yds to the IowSt 2Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
8.6%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 4Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
8.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
7.0%
Caleb Shudak 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1810% → 8%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.7%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
8.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
8.0%
Corey Dunn punt for 38 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 36 IOWA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kyler Fisher) to the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2794% → 95%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
5.5%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
5.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+11
5.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 58 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 11 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:287% → 6%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
6.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
6.4%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
6.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 2 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
5.8%
Cameron Shook punt for 40 yds, downed at the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:4596% → 98%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
4.4%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
4.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-1
2.5%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-5
2.5%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 35Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
2.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 2:485% → 13%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
5.0%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+23
5.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 23 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
4.7%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 42Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+10
3.5%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jack Koerner) to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
3.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-5
3.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
3.3%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yahya Black) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+9
3.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Tarique Milton for 9 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
3.7%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Eli Sanders for 19 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
12.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Tarique Milton for 13 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3996% → 98%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
3.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+5
2.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-1
2.1%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
2.2%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 29MISSED FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:064% → 6%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
4.2%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Eli Sanders for 12 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
3.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 5 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
4.0%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
3.8%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+25
3.6%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (Zach VanValkenburg) to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
4.4%
Hunter Dekkers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
4.3%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Eli Sanders for 10 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+45
6.0%
Andrew Mevis 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
2.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q3 5:08
Breece Hall run for no gain Breece Hall fumbled, forced by Jestin Jacobs, recovered by Iowa Jack Campbell , return for 6 yds (Caleb Shudak KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q2 0:07
Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD (Andrew Mevis KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q2 1:01
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 26 yds for a TD (Caleb Shudak KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com