Try the model
IU

Indiana 7 at Purdue 44

PUR
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:37 · Brendan Cropsey punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+30.6Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:38: D. McCulley run for 2 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +3.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:42: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 24 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +3.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:26: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 21 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +5.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:37: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +2.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:53: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 20 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran PAT BLOCKED) — PUR win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 0:37PUR 4th & 9 at IU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:08IU 4th & 12 at IU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:02IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:53PUR 4th & 5 at IU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:47IU 4th & 24 at IU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:08PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:50IU 4th & 2 at IU 21, down 10
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:49IU 4th & 9 at IU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:04IU 4th & 6 at IU 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:12PUR 4th & 1 at IU 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:46PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 44, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:30PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:38IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:42PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:26PUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:37PUR Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:53PUR Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:28PUR Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:3088% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.8%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 10 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
87.8%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+28
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 28 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+7
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+6
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 6 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
87.8%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+2
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
87.8%
ANTHROP, Jackson pass to the right incomplete intended for DURHAM, Payne thrown to the IND0. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Jaylin enforced 2 yards to the IND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.8%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.4%
Zander Horvath 1 Yd Run (Mitchell Fineran Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5213% → 17%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
86.9%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 13 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
86.9%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+12
87.0%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Miles Marshall for 12 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
86.7%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
86.8%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 8 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
86.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
86.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Offsides (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+13
86.8%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Miles Marshall for 13 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
86.5%
PURDUE Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
86.5%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
86.5%
GREMEL, Grant pass to the right incomplete intended for FRYFOGLE, Ty broken up by BROWN, Jamari at the PUR0. PENALTY PUR Offsides on KARLAFTIS, George declined PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Jamari enforced 14 yards to the PUR2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.1%
D. McCulley run for 2 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:0184% → 83%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
84.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 19 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
84.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 14 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
84.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 1 yd to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
84.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Marcelino McCrary-Ball for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 18
50
+9
83.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 9 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
82.9%
Brendan Cropsey punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5218% → 18%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
82.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
82.2%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
82.6%
Grant Gremel sacked by Branson Deen for 0 yards to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
82.5%
James Evans punt for 32 yds, downed at the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2684% → 86%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
83.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
83.5%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-9
82.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Raheem Layne II) to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 11
OPP 24
+24
86.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 24 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4015% → 15%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.9%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.0%
Grant Gremel sacked by George Karlaftis for 0 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
85.4%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
James Evans punt for 43 yds, downed at the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:0985% → 85%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
85.0%
DOERUE, King rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the PUR36 (FITZGERALD, Bryant). PENALTY PUR Holding on WITT, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the PUR32 to the PUR22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+16
84.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 16 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+10
85.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
85.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+7
85.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
85.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 18 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
86.0%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
86.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 2 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
85.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
85.3%
Mitchell Fineran 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:0615% → 14%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 18 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
84.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-2
84.6%
Grant Gremel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 45 fumbled, recovered by Ind Davion Ervin-PoindexterSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-15
85.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Davion Ervin-Poindexter) to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 23
OWN 30
-1
86.1%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 24
OWN 29
+49
86.2%
James Evans punt for 49 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3985% → 84%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
85.0%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
85.0%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-3
84.9%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
84.2%
Brendan Cropsey punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10MISSED FG
17 plays · 45 yds · 3:0815% → 15%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
84.9%
Chris Childers run for 2 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
85.0%
Grant Gremel sacked by Kydran Jenkins for 0 yards to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 17
OWN 26
+21
86.1%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 21 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
84.2%
Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
85.0%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
84.6%
Charlie Spegal run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
84.5%
GREMEL, Grant pass to the right incomplete intended for FRYFOGLE, Ty thrown to the PUR15. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Jamari enforced 15 yards to the PUR26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-21
83.6%
Grant Gremel run for a loss of 21 yards to the Prdue 47 fumbled, recovered by Ind Grant GremelSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 31
OPP 47
+3
85.7%
Grant Gremel run for 3 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 28
OPP 44
+15
86.1%
PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Graham) to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
83.6%
GREMEL, Grant pass to the right complete for 9 yards to HENDERSHOT, Peyton caught at the PUR20 and advanced to the PUR20 (GRANT, Marvin), out of bounds. PENALTY IND Holding on POWELL, Dylan enforced 10 yards from the PUR29 to the PUR39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
85.0%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+17
85.6%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Miles Marshall for 17 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+40
84.7%
Charles Campbell 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0614% → 12%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
86.0%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
86.1%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+8
86.7%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
87.6%
James Evans punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:2488% → 93%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
87.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 11 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
87.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+13
87.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
93.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 21 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:377% → 7%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.6%
David Holloman run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
92.3%
David Holloman run for 13 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.1%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
92.3%
David Holloman run for 1 yd to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
92.4%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
93.2%
James Evans punt for 25 yds, downed at the Prdue 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:1294% → 97%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
94.1%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+29
94.4%
King Doerue run for 29 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
94.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+18
94.5%
Milton Wright run for 18 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
94.5%
King Doerue run for 10 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 4:273% → 2%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
97.2%
ERVIN-POINDEXTER, Davion rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the IND24 (KARLAFTIS, George;ALEXANDER, Jaylan). PENALTY IND Holding on JONES, Caleb enforced 10 yards from the IND22 to the IND12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+4
97.3%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Javon Swinton for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+8
97.3%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+8
97.3%
Charlie Spegal run for 8 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
97.1%
Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-5
97.1%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Ty Fryfogle) to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 14
OWN 28
-1
97.3%
Chris Childers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+5
97.3%
GREMEL, Grant pass to the right incomplete intended for BARNER, AJ thrown to the IND42. PENALTY PUR Offsides on MITCHELL, DaMarcus enforced 5 yards from the IND27 to the IND32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+4
97.3%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Javon Swinton for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
98.0%
James Evans punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:1198% → 100%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
98.2%
Zander Horvath run for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
98.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.3%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 8 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell run for 8 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
98.7%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
98.7%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
98.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
99.1%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 20 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -22 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
99.8%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 12
OWN 28
-10
99.8%
GREMEL, Grant pass to the right complete for 8 yards to BARNER, AJ caught at the IND36 and advanced to the IND36, out of bounds. PENALTY IND Holding on HAGGARD, Luke enforced 10 yards from the IND28 to the IND18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 22
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Grant Gremel sacked by DaMarcus Mitchell for 0 yards to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 32
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Jared Smolar punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.8%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
99.8%
Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Dylan Downing for 2 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Dylan Downing run for 33 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19INT
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:070% → 0%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-5
99.9%
David Holloman run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 3Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 15
OWN 3
+7
99.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+10
99.9%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 10 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.9%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 13 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
GREMEL, Grant pass to the right complete for 9 yards to BARNER, AJ caught at the IND41 and advanced to the IND42 (KANE, Sanoussi). PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on KANE, Sanoussi enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the IND40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Chris Childers run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 5 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Charlie Spegal run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Grant Gremel pass intercepted return for no gain to the Prdue 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Austin Burton run for 7 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Zac Collins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 14 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
Charlie Spegal run for 5 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Charlie Spegal run for 6 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:26
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 21 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q1 3:38
D. McCulley run for 2 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)
-3.4
TD · Q2 12:42
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 24 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com