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MINN

Minnesota 35 at Indiana 14

IU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:50 · James Evans punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.6Pregame prior−12.7Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:17: Donaven McCulley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +8.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:04: Ky Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +8.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:46: Ky Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +9.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:09: Chris Autman-Bell 14 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick) — MINN win probability +7.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:28: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +9.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 6:41MINN 4th & 1 at IU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:10MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:06IU 4th & 4 at IU 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:43MINN 4th & 1 at IU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.4%−2.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:50IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:29IU 4th & 16 at IU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:47MINN 4th & 3 at IU 40, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−1.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:47IU 4th & 4 at IU 8, down 14
    Close callPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:17MINN 4th & 3 at IU 34, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.4
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:56IU 4th & 5 at IU 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:37MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:57IU 4th & 6 at IU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:17IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:04MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:46MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:09MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:28MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:41MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:22IU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1DOWNS
18 plays · 67 yds · 8:1971% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.8%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
28.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
28.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
28.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 7 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
28.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+18
28.8%
Ky Thomas run for 18 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
28.8%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
28.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-StephensSimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
30.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
29.9%
Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
29.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+2
30.0%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
29.9%
Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
29.9%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 5 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
30.0%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+1
31.9%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 92 yds · 6:2432% → 42%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
32.3%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 11 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
32.5%
Donaven McCulley run for 2 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
32.4%
Peyton Hendershot run for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+12
32.3%
Ty Fryfogle run for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
32.8%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
32.7%
Donaven McCulley run for 16 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
33.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+19
33.4%
Donaven McCulley run for 19 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
33.6%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Javon Swinton for 7 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
33.6%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
33.3%
Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
33.6%
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
33.6%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
41.7%
Donaven McCulley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5060% → 59%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.5%
Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
39.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
40.4%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
41.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0442% → 42%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
41.5%
Donaven McCulley run for 6 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
41.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+1
41.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+5
42.1%
James Evans punt for 45 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 5 yds to the Minn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:0258% → 66%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
42.7%
Morgan,Tanner pass complete to Jackson,Daniel for 10 yards to the MIN42 (Jones,Cam) PENALTY MIN Holding (Schmitz,John Michael) 10 yards from MIN32 to MIN22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 20
OWN 22
+15
43.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
40.8%
Ky Thomas run for 8 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+4
40.6%
Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+5
44.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+5
45.1%
Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
42.9%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 12 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
42.7%
Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
42.9%
Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+11
43.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
42.7%
Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Ind 2Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.9%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:1440% → 39%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.4%
Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
40.6%
Donaven McCulley sacked by Nyles Pinckney for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
39.4%
James Evans punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 3:0463% → 76%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
37.5%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
36.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 8 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
35.9%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+48
36.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 48 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
34.4%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.5%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2329% → 29%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.8%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.6%
Donaven McCulley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:1476% → 84%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
23.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 11 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
23.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 6 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
15.9%
Chris Autman-Bell 14 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
19.1%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 3:3120% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
19.9%
Donaven McCulley run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
20.6%
Donaven McCulley run for 2 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
20.6%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 6 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
21.1%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-15
20.6%
McCulley,Donaven pass complete to Fryfogle,Ty for 9 yards to the IND48 (Sori-Marin,Mariano) PENALTY IND Personal Foul (Bedford,Matthew) 15 yards from IND39 to IND24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+4
19.7%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to A.J. Barner for 4 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 28
+5
19.4%
Grant Gremel run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+12
18.1%
James Evans punt for 48 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 12 yds to the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:4283% → 85%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
17.4%
Ky Thomas run for 22 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
16.1%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
16.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 5 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
16.3%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
15.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0017% → 16%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
16.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+4
16.6%
Peyton Hendershot run for 4 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+1
16.3%
Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Ind 8Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
15.5%
James Evans punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 4:1987% → 97%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
12.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 5 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
12.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+34
13.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 34 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
12.2%
Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
12.5%
Ky Thomas run for 10 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
12.2%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
12.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q3 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
3.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
3.3%
PENALTY IND Roughing The Passer (McFadden,Micah) 15 yards from MIN35 to MIN50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
4.7%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Minn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:5997% → 98%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
3.1%
Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
3.0%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
2.6%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+2
2.6%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+6
2.6%
Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
2.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:213% → 3%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
2.7%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
2.7%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Davion Ervin-PoindexterSimilar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+5
2.7%
PENALTY MIN Offside (Pinckney,Nyles) 5 yards from IND09 to IND14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
2.8%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to A.J. BarnerSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
2.7%
James Evans punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1998% → 99%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
1.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
1.7%
Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
1.8%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
1.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:403% → 2%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
2.5%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 3 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
2.5%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 7 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
2.5%
Grant Gremel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
2.5%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 3 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+18
2.4%
Grant Gremel run for 18 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
2.7%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
2.6%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
2.1%
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
2.0%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 4:1699% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
0.9%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+9
0.9%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
0.9%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 11 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
0.9%
Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+16
0.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 16 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.8%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:130% → 1%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.1%
Charlie Spegal run for 3 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
0.1%
Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+5
0.1%
Gremel,Grant pass intercepted by Swenson,Calvin at MIN42, End Of Play PENALTY MIN Offside (Carter,Trill) 5 yards from IND35 to IND40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
0.1%
Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
0.1%
Trenten Howland run for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
0.1%
Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+24
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 24 yds to the INDIANA 29 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Justin Walley) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
0.9%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 29 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
0.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:46
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q3 2:28
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q2 6:04
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com