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RUTG

Rutgers 38 at Indiana 3

IU
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:01 · Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Home team on offense−56.4Score differential−46.1Pregame prior+0.7Garbage-time factor−20.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:21: Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +6.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:10: Valentino Ambrosio 38 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +4.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:02: Charles Campbell 47 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +3.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:27: Aaron Young run for 10 yds for a TD — RUTG win probability +16.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:32: Raiqwon O'Neal run for 7 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 13RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:41IU 4th & 1 at RUTG 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36IU 4th & 4 at RUTG 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:45RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:34IU 4th & 2 at IU 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:44IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:16RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:10RUTG 4th & 6 at IU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:17RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 8, up 17
    Close callPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:12IU 4th & 6 at RUTG 47, down 17
    Close callPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:47RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 24, up 17
    Close callPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:39IU 4th & 6 at RUTG 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:57RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:35RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:00IU 4th & 7 at IU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:12RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:31IU 4th & 9 at IU 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:54RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:11IU 4th & 1 at IU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−1.7
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:00IU 4th & 10 at IU 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:24RUTG 4th & 1 at IU 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:15IU 4th & 5 at RUTG 23, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:01IU 4th & 16 at RUTG 16, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:01IU 4th & 16 at RUTG 16, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:30RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 13, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:47RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:21RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:27RUTG Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:32RUTG Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:00RUTG Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.2%
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:0735% → 35%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
65.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 5 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+5
65.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
65.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
64.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:0565% → 63%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
64.8%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 11 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
64.9%
Ty Fryfogle run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
64.9%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
64.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
64.9%
Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
64.8%
Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
64.9%
Donaven McCulley run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+1
64.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
64.9%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
63.2%
Charles Campbell 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5137% → 38%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
62.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
62.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
62.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
61.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 49 yds , Ty Fryfogle returns for no gain to the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1162% → 61%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
61.9%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
61.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Miles Marshall for 8 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
61.9%
Jack Tuttle run for no gain to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
61.0%
James Evans punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:1339% → 46%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
61.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 9 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+9
60.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
60.5%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 21 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
60.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 18 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
60.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
60.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+1
60.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.3%
Kyle Monangai pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3155% → 53%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.8%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to A.J. Barner for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
55.0%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
53.4%
James Evans punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2847% → 48%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
52.9%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
53.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Joshua YoungbloodSimilar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+4
53.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 4
OWN 34
-5
53.4%
PENALTY RUT False Start 5 yards from RUT34 to RUT29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
52.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.3%
Jack Tuttle pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5050% → 54%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
50.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
50.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
50.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
45.7%
Valentino Ambrosio 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11INT
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:4148% → 44%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
47.6%
Chris Childers run for 3 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+4
47.7%
Chris Childers run for 4 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+22
47.4%
Jack Tuttle run for 12 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tre Avery) to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
48.4%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
48.0%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 15 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
49.2%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
49.2%
Chris Childers run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
49.2%
Chris Childers run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+4
49.2%
Jack Tuttle run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
43.9%
Jack Tuttle pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0761% → 61%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
39.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+5
39.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 4
OWN 8
0
39.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
38.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0543% → 41%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
42.9%
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-5
42.8%
Donaven McCulley sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+5
41.3%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 5 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
41.0%
James Evans punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:2564% → 66%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+13
36.0%
Johnny Langan run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
35.5%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
35.6%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+1
35.8%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
33.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0838% → 35%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
38.4%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
38.2%
Donaven McCulley run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
38.8%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
38.5%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+1
38.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+5
35.3%
Donaven McCulley run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4274% → 74%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
25.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+2
26.0%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
25.2%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
26.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bryant Fitzgerald at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:5532% → 38%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
31.5%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
31.4%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Javon Swinton for 15 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.0%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+46
31.8%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 46 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
36.1%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
35.6%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+47
37.9%
Charles Campbell 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1866% → 69%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
34.0%
Bo Melton run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
33.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+9
33.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 9 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
32.8%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
30.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
14.0%
Aaron Young run for 10 yds for a TDSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
15.2%
PENALTY IND UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kramer,Weston) 15 yards from RUT35 to RUT50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2721% → 19%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.1%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.9%
Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
20.8%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+7
19.3%
James Evans punt for 47 yds , Bo Melton returns for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4887% → 87%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
13.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
13.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Brandon SandersSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+5
13.4%
Vedral,Noah pass incomplete to Jones,Shameen PENALTY IND Illegal Substitution 5 yards from RUT33 to RUT38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
12.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
12.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4118% → 14%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
18.0%
Chris Childers run for 3 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+16
18.0%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Miles Marshall for 16 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
18.5%
Chris Childers run for 1 yd to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
18.4%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
18.2%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
14.4%
James Evans punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:3790% → 93%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
10.4%
Johnny Langan run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
10.5%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
10.5%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+5
10.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
10.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
10.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
10.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
6.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:439% → 7%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
8.9%
David Holloman run for 7 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+10
9.3%
Charlie Spegal run for 10 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
9.2%
David Holloman run for 6 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
9.6%
Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
9.5%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 2 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
7.4%
Donaven McCulley run for 5 yds to the Ind 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:3995% → 99%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
4.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 27 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
4.5%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
4.5%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
1.2%
Raiqwon O'Neal run for 7 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:242% → 1%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
1.5%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
1.4%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
1.4%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
1.3%
James Evans punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27TD
15 plays · 53 yds · 8:0099% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
1.1%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
1.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+4
1.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
1.0%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
1.1%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-5
0.7%
PENALTY RUT False Start (O'Neal,Raiqwon) 5 yards from IND42 to IND47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+13
0.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 13 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+3
0.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
0.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
0.6%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+9
0.6%
Noah Vedral run for 9 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
0.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
0.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
0.2%
Noah Vedral run for 9 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28DOWNS
19 plays · 59 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Charlie Spegal run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.2%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Miles Marshall for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.2%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 5 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
0.2%
Gremel,Grant pass incomplete to Fryfogle,Ty PENALTY RUT Pass Interference (Long,Chris) 15 yards from IND42 to RUT43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
0.2%
Gremel,Grant pass incomplete to Fryfogle,Ty PENALTY RUT Pass Interference (Longerbeam,Robert) 15 yards from RUT43 to RUT28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.2%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
0.2%
Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+4
0.2%
Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+5
0.1%
Gremel,Grant pass incomplete to Marshall,Miles broken up by Loyal,Shaquan PENALTY RUT Offside (Cooper,Sean) 5 yards from RUT23 to RUT18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 9 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+3
0.1%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
0.1%
Gremel,Grant pass incomplete to Holt-Bennett,Malachi broken up by Longerbeam,Robert PENALTY IND Holding (Haggard,Luke) 10 yards from RUT06 to RUT16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
0.2%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
0.2%
Parker Day run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+3
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Izien) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 8
OWN 18
-5
0.2%
PENALTY RUT Delay Of Game 5 yards from RUT18 to RUT13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
0.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Javon Swinton for 11 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
0.1%
PENALTY IND Illegal Substitution 5 yards from RUT48 to IND47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-5
0.1%
PENALTY IND False Start (Hewitt,Jacolby) 5 yards from IND47 to IND42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+12
0.1%
Grant Gremel pass complete to Miles Marshall for 12 yds Miles Marshall fumbled, forced by Robert Longerbeam, recovered by Rutgr Rashawn BattleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 24 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
0.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 20 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
0.1%
Parker Day run for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:27
Aaron Young run for 10 yds for a TD
-16.9
TD · Q1 3:21
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-6.3
FG · Q2 14:10
Valentino Ambrosio 38 yd FG GOOD
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com