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IU

Indiana 7 at Michigan 29

MICH
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:47 · James Evans punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+13.1Home team on offense+18.1Score differential+6.7Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:35: Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +2.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:18: Chris Childers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +4.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:28: Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 12 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +3.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:44: Jake Moody 32 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +4.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:45: Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the Ind 47 — MICH win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:25IU 4th & 10 at MICH 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:36IU 4th & 18 at IU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:50MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00MICH 4th & 6 at IU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:42IU 4th & 11 at IU 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:13MICH 4th & 18 at IU 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    87.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:05MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 30, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:27IU 4th & 6 at IU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:44MICH 4th & 5 at IU 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:13IU 4th & 2 at IU 33, down 13
    Close callPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:17MICH 4th & 14 at IU 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−5.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:47IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:30IU 4th & 9 at MICH 29, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:20IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:19IU 4th & 11 at IU 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:35MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:18IU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:28MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 4:039% → 10%
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.3%
Ty Fryfogle run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
91.2%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
90.9%
Donaven McCulley run for 5 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.8%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
90.7%
Donaven McCulley run for 5 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
90.5%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 6 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
90.4%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to A.J. Barner for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 6
50
+11
90.1%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 11 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.1%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Davion Ervin-PoindexterSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
90.1%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to A.J. BarnerSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
90.1%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
90.2%
James Evans punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:0390% → 90%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
90.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+3
89.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
89.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Andrel AnthonySimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
89.8%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
89.7%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Blake CorumSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
89.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:0910% → 11%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
89.6%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 7 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+3
89.2%
Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
89.0%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-10
88.9%
McCulley, Donaven rush for 2 yards to the INDIANA45, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Bjorson, Matt) 10 yards to the INDIANA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
89.0%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Chris ChildersSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
89.2%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 18
OWN 33
-6
89.2%
James Evans punt for 39 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:2089% → 87%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
88.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+13
88.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
88.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
88.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
88.5%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 49Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
88.2%
Cade McNamara run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
50
+4
88.3%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+16
88.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 16 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
88.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 8 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
88.3%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
88.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
88.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
87.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
87.4%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+34
87.4%
Jake Moody 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0713% → 13%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mike Sainristil) to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.3%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Matt BjorsonSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
87.3%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
86.9%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Zach Carpenter) to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-7
87.3%
Donaven McCulley sacked by David Ojabo for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 24 Donaven McCulley fumbled, forced by David Ojabo, recovered by Mich Christopher Hinton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:1088% → 90%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.7%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke SchoonmakerSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+20
87.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 20 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
87.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1111% → 17%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Chris ChildersSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.2%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 13 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
88.6%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 20 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
88.1%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 8 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
87.8%
Chris Childers run for 2 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
87.8%
Chris Childers run for 3 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+3
87.7%
Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+24
88.1%
Donaven McCulley run for 24 yds to the Mich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.6%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Mich 1Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.0%
Chris Childers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3885% → 89%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+62
84.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 62 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
86.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+6
86.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
89.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 12 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2811% → 11%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.6%
Donaven McCulley run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
88.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 10 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
88.1%
Donaven McCulley sacked by Taylor Upshaw and Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+1
88.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
88.9%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
89.1%
James Evans punt for 41 yds, downed at the Mich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:0789% → 88%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
88.8%
A.J. Henning run for 18 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
89.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 21 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
89.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-11
89.7%
Cade McNamara sacked by Bryant Fitzgerald for a loss of 11 yards to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 18
OPP 46
0
88.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
88.2%
Brad Robbins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4511% → 11%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
89.0%
Chris Childers run for 7 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+2
88.7%
Chris Childers run for 2 yds to the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2589% → 88%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
88.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
88.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 4 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
88.9%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 30Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
87.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3112% → 12%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.8%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
88.0%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+4
88.7%
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+8
88.5%
James Evans punt for 47 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 8 yds to the Mich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:2688% → 93%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
88.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+19
88.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 19 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
89.1%
Roman Wilson run for 6 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
89.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
88.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Carter SelzerSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+23
89.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 23 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
89.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 1 yd to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
89.6%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Zak Zinter) to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
89.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+9
88.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 9 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
92.7%
Jake Moody 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:179% → 9%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.2%
Chris Childers run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
90.7%
Chris Childers run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
90.6%
Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+25
90.9%
James Evans punt for 42 yds , DJ Turner returns for 25 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:5194% → 95%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
50
0
93.8%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Roman WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
50
+2
93.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+25
93.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 25 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
94.0%
Cade McNamara run for 10 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
94.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
94.0%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke SchoonmakerSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-7
93.9%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
95.3%
Jake Moody 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:036% → 6%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.1%
Donaven McCulley run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
93.7%
Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
93.8%
James Evans punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:151% → 1%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
99.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+10
99.0%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 10 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+7
99.0%
Chris Childers run for 7 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.9%
Malachi Holt-Bennett pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.9%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Davion Ervin-PoindexterSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.2%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 1 yd to the Mich 29Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 9
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+50
99.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 50 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Miles Marshall for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
98.8%
Chris Childers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
James Evans punt for 48 yds , DJ Turner returns for no gain to the Mich 31 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (Ja'Den Mcburrows) to the Mich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.6%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 11Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
98.7%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 11Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
98.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-10
99.5%
Haskins, Hassan rush for 4 yards to the MICHIGAN38, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Zinter, Zak) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+17
99.5%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 17 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+20
99.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Noah Pierre) to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.6%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-19
99.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass intercepted Devon Matthews return for 19 yds to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
99.4%
Donaven McCulley run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 23 Donaven McCulley fumbled, recovered by Ind Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+4
99.5%
Chris Childers run for 4 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
Chris Childers run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
99.4%
James Evans punt for 53 yds, downed at the Mich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:45
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the Ind 47
+5.1
TD · Q2 8:18
Chris Childers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
-4.6
FG · Q3 5:44
Jake Moody 32 yd FG GOOD
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com