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IU

Indiana 35 at Maryland 38

MD
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:41 · Colton Spangler punt for 57 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense+16.6Pregame prior+1.5Garbage-time factor+10.5Score differential+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:12: S. Carr run for 66 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +14.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:34: Challen Faamatau 1 Yd Run (Joseph Petrino Kick) — MD win probability +16.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:04: T. Tagovailoa pass,to C. Carriere for 14 yds for a TD, (J. Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +11.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:28: D. McCulley pass,to P. Hendershot for 18 yds for a TD, (D. McCulley pass to P. Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +14.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:00: D. McCulley pass,to P. Hendershot for 8 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +20.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 13:34IU 4th & 25 at IU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20IU 4th & 5 at MD 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:06IU 4th & 5 at IU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:00MD 4th & 13 at IU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−4.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 2 at MD 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−1.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:30MD 4th & 13 at MD 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:57IU 4th & 21 at MD 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:18MD 4th & 14 at MD 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:12IU 4th & 1 at IU 39, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:46MD 4th & 20 at IU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:51IU 4th & 8 at IU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:59MD 4th & 1 at IU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.8%−1.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−5.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:08IU 4th & 2 at MD 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:59MD 4th & 10 at IU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:02IU 4th & 11 at IU 24, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:58IU 4th & 5 at IU 40, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:12IU 4th & 3 at MD 11, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%−0.6
    87% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−6.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:41MD 4th & 4 at MD 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:36IU 4th & 3 at IU 27, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−1.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:20MD 4th & 15 at IU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:00MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:55MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:42IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:12IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:34MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:04MD Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:12MD Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:28IU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    13.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.0%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:00IU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.9 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%−1.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:2638% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.2%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
62.2%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Raheem Layne II) to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
62.2%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
62.2%
Donaven McCulley sacked by Greg Rose for 0 yards to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
62.3%
James Evans punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3462% → 64%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
62.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+8
62.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
62.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 5 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
62.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 15 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
62.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
62.4%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the right incomplete intended for JARRETT, Rakim thrown to the IND0. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on MULLEN, Tiawan enforced 4 yards to the IND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.0%
T. Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (J. Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:4037% → 36%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.4%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
63.1%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
63.3%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
63.3%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 5 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
63.1%
Stephen Carr run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
50
0
63.0%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
50
+3
63.1%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+2
63.1%
Donaven McCulley run for 2 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
64.4%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:2565% → 71%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
64.7%
Challen Faamatau run for 7 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+8
64.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 8 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.7%
Challen Faamatau run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+37
64.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Challen Faamatau for 37 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
65.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
65.4%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left incomplete intended for JARRETT, Rakim thrown to the IND0. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on PIERRE, Noah enforced 15 yards to the IND20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
65.4%
Challen Faamatau run for no gain to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+17
65.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 17 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
65.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jaylin Williams) to the Ind 0 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.3%
C. Faamatau run for 1 yd for a TD, (J. Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4931% → 30%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.3%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
69.1%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Donaven McCulley sacked by Nick Cross for 0 yards to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
70.4%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mary 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:0672% → 72%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
71.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 45 yds to the MARYLAND 20 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Raheem Layne II) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
72.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
72.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 13
OPP 23
0
71.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
71.8%
Joseph Petrino 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1829% → 36%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+31
70.7%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 31 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
70.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+3
70.5%
Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+4
70.6%
Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+6
70.9%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+31
69.9%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 31 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.2%
S. Carr run for 1 yd for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1267% → 66%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
67.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 22Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
66.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for no gain to the Mary 22Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
66.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
66.1%
punt blocked by Miles Marshall blocked by Miles MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:3336% → 32%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
64.3%
Donaven McCulley sacked by Mosiah Nasili-Kite for 0 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 18
OPP 21
+1
65.1%
Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 17
OPP 20
-15
66.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Matthew Bedford) to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 32
OPP 35
+11
66.6%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 11 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 21
OPP 24
+42
68.1%
Charles Campbell 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3968% → 67%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
68.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
68.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
67.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Weston Kramer for 0 yards to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
67.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0632% → 31%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
67.7%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
67.1%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
66.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+6
68.9%
James Evans punt for 39 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 6 yds to the Mary 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:2670% → 69%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+38
70.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 38 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
71.8%
Challen Faamatau run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
71.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
70.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Micah McFadden for 0 yards to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 20
OPP 44
0
69.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5531% → 29%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.4%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
69.6%
Chris Childers run for 2 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
70.4%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
71.3%
James Evans punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:5271% → 72%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
70.6%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+24
70.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 24 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
72.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-10
72.4%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the left complete for 15 yards to COBBS, Brian caught at the IND28 and advanced to the IND26 (LAYNE, Raheem). PENALTY UMD Holding on LUNSFORD, Mason enforced 10 yards from the IND41 to the UMD49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+15
71.2%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass up the middle incomplete intended for JARRETT, Rakim thrown to the IND15. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on PIERRE, Noah enforced 15 yards to the IND36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
72.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 7 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
72.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
71.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-1
71.7%
Challen Faamatau run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 1:5130% → 33%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
70.1%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+7
70.3%
Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
70.3%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
70.6%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+14
71.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 14 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
68.6%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
69.0%
Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+5
70.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+55
67.0%
Charles Campbell 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
66.6%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:0166% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
65.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 7 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
65.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 3 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
66.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 6 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+12
67.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 12 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
68.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
68.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
66.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+32
64.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 32 yds, downed at the Ind 14 INDIANA Penalty, Running Into the kicker on ALLEN, Thomas (Thomas Allen) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:4734% → 49%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
65.6%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+7
65.4%
Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
65.2%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
65.6%
Ty Fryfogle run for 8 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+66
51.1%
S. Carr run for 66 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3853% → 73%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
52.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 42 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
57.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
57.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 11 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
57.9%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass up the middle incomplete intended for COBBS, Brian thrown to the IND10. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on PIERRE, Noah enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards to the IND11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
57.9%
Challen Faamatau run for 2 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
57.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 5 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
56.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.8%
Challen Faamatau 1 Yd Run (Joseph Petrino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3233% → 30%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.5%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-6
66.6%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
69.1%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+14
70.0%
James Evans punt for 57 yds , Tarheeb Still returns for 14 yds to the Mary 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:5871% → 85%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
70.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 11 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
72.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+12
72.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 12 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
73.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 19 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
74.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 7 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+4
74.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
74.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Aric Harris) to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+4
74.0%
Challen Faamatau run for 4 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
85.3%
T. Tagovailoa pass,to C. Carriere for 14 yds for a TD, (J. Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:4617% → 19%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
82.6%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 13 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.9%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
82.1%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+1
82.1%
Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+25
83.1%
Bryant Fitzgerald run for 25 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
78.9%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+14
78.5%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Stephen Carr for 14 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
78.5%
Chris Childers run for 5 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
80.7%
Chris Childers run for no gain to the Mary 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+2
82.1%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+29
81.3%
Charles Campbell 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:5186% → 95%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
85.8%
Challen Faamatau run for 3 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-5
86.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Mason Lunsford) to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
85.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+13
84.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 13 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
87.1%
Challen Faamatau run for 9 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+3
87.3%
Challen Faamatau run for 3 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
94.9%
T. Tagovailoa pass,to C. Carriere for 45 yds for a TD, (J. Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:448% → 24%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
92.5%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Miles Marshall for 41 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
90.8%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 2 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+1
90.6%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 1 yd to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+14
91.6%
Donaven McCulley run for 14 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
90.2%
Donaven McCulley sacked by Tarheeb Still for 0 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+18
75.8%
D. McCulley pass,to P. Hendershot for 18 yds for a TD, (D. McCulley pass to P. Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4786% → 87%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
87.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
87.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
86.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0518% → 13%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
82.5%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
81.5%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
82.5%
Donaven McCulley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
86.7%
James Evans punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the Mary 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27FG
17 plays · 36 yds · 5:1690% → 96%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
90.0%
Challen Faamatau run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
89.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+22
88.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Marcus Fleming for 22 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.4%
Challen Faamatau run for 7 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
90.5%
Challen Faamatau run for 2 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
89.9%
Challen Faamatau run for 3 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
95.3%
Challen Faamatau run for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+8
95.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
96.1%
Challen Faamatau run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+1
96.0%
Challen Faamatau run for 1 yd to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 12
OPP 20
-5
95.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 17
OPP 25
+2
96.3%
Challen Faamatau run for 2 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+41
96.2%
Joseph Petrino 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:203% → 24%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.7%
MCCULLEY, Donaven pass to the left incomplete intended for HENDERSHOT, Peyton thrown to the IND31. PENALTY UMD Roughing the Passer on NASILI-KITE, Mosiah enforced 15 yards from the IND25 to the IND40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+52
96.4%
Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 52 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
76.2%
D. McCulley pass,to P. Hendershot for 8 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:5993% → 95%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
93.2%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
50
-2
95.4%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:00
D. McCulley pass,to P. Hendershot for 8 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)
-20.2
TD · Q3 8:34
Challen Faamatau 1 Yd Run (Joseph Petrino Kick)
+16.7
TD · Q3 11:12
S. Carr run for 66 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com