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IDHO

Idaho 14 at Indiana 56

IU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:18 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+11.2Home team on offense+36.6Score differential+30.1Blowout margin+18.1Garbage-time factor+9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:27: Stephen Carr run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:01: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Javon Swinton for 9 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:02: Javon Swinton 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Charles Campbell Kick) — IU win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:39: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK) — IU win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:49: D.J. Matthews Jr. 81 Yd Punt Return (Charles Campbell Kick) — IU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:00IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:36IU 4th & 1 at IDHO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:02IDHO 4th & 11 at IDHO 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:33IU 4th & 24 at IU 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:11IDHO 4th & 7 at IU 44, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:25IU 4th & 2 at IDHO 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:49IDHO 4th & 19 at IDHO 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:25IU 4th & 1 at IU 44, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:59IU 4th & 9 at IU 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:37IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:33IU 4th & 11 at IU 29, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:36IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:07IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:18IDHO 4th & 11 at IDHO 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:29IU 4th & 9 at IU 41, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:52IDHO 4th & 1 at IU 37, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:27IDHO 4th & 4 at IU 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:27IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:01IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:02IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:39IU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:49IU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:26IDHO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:14IU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:09IDHO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:02IU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:56IU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:413% → 3%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.4%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
97.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 1 yd to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
97.2%
Roshaun Johnson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:2097% → 96%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.0%
Stephen Carr run for 17 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
96.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
96.9%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Matt BjorsonSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+10
96.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 10 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
96.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
96.6%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
96.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 5 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
96.4%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
96.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 4 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
96.1%
David Ellis run for 2 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+4
96.0%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
96.0%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
95.9%
IDAHO Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Fa'Avae Fa'Avae) to the Idaho 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.8%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.3%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:354% → 4%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.1%
Elisha Cummings run for 1 yd to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-11
96.0%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 11 yards to the Idaho 13 Mike Beaudry fumbled, recovered by Ind Weston Kramer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2196% → 97%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.2%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
96.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Javon Swinton for 9 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:543% → 2%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.5%
Elisha Cummings run for 1 yd to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
96.5%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Hayden HattenSimilar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+4
97.6%
Javon Swinton 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.6%
CJ Jordan run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
97.5%
PENALTY IDA False Start (Le Texier,Trase) 5 yards from IDA30 to IDA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.6%
PENALTY IDA False Start (Faupusa,Matthew) 5 yards from IDA25 to IDA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
97.7%
Nick Romano run for 8 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.7%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Hayden HattenSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 2:0198% → 98%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
97.5%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-7
97.7%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Nate DeGraw for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 15
OWN 19
-9
97.7%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Charles Akanno for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 24
OWN 10
0
97.6%
James Evans punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:012% → 2%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.6%
Aundre Carter run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
97.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 8 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-5
97.6%
PENALTY IDA False Start (Carnahan,Seth) 5 yards from IND39 to IND44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+5
97.7%
Nick Romano run for 5 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-5
97.7%
PENALTY IDA False Start (Le Texier,Trase) 5 yards from IND39 to IND44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
97.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 6:1398% → 99%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
98.0%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
98.0%
Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.0%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+15
98.0%
IDAHO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tre Walker) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
50
+26
98.0%
Stephen Carr run for 26 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
98.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 2 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+5
98.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 5 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+1
98.1%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Idaho 16Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+3
98.1%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
98.2%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
98.2%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
99.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10PUNT TD
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:321% → 0%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.2%
Elisha Cummings run for 3 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-6
99.2%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Cam Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+81
99.6%
D.J. Matthews Jr. 81 Yd Punt Return (Charles Campbell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:040% → 1%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.6%
Mike Beaudry run for 20 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Nick RomanoSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.5%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 4 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+12
99.5%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 12 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.5%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Connor WhitneySimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.5%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Terez Traynor for 14 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.5%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Nick Romano for 9 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+16
99.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 16 yds for a TD, (Logan Prescott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.4%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+26
99.5%
Stephen Carr run for 26 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.5%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.5%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Idaho 1Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:000% → 0%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Michael NoilSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 11 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.7%
Elisha Cummings run for 7 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
99.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Connor Whitney for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.7%
Elisha Cummings run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+9
99.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 9 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.7%
Nick Romano run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
99.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 6 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+6
99.7%
Aundre Carter run for 6 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.6%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 23 yds for a TD, (Logan Prescott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.7%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+9
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Javon Swinton for 9 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.7%
(07:55) Childers,Chris rush for 7 yards gain to the IND42 (Salaam,Jeremiah) PENALTY IND Illegal Formation 5 yards from IND35 to IND30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
99.8%
David Ellis run for 2 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
99.7%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to A.J. BarnerSimilar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
99.8%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 5 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 24
-10
99.8%
(04:27) Cummings,Elisha rush for 10 yards gain to the IDA34 (McCrary-Ball,Marcelino), out of bounds PENALTY IDA Holding (Faupusa,Matthew) 10 yards from IDA24 to IDA14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+5
99.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Connor Whitney for 5 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 8 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Tim Baldwin Jr.Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
PENALTY IND False Start (Bedford,Matthew) 5 yards from IND34 to IND29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Chris ChildersSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
99.8%
James Evans punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 5 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Elisha Cummings run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 4 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Hayden HattenSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Michael NoilSimilar
Q4 14:36
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 88 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to A.J. Barner for 76 yds for a TD, (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
PENALTY IND UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hendershot,Peyton) 15 yards from IND35 to IND20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Connor Whitney for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 10 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Elisha Cummings run for 2 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Michael NoilSimilar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt blocked by A.J. Barner blocked by A.J. BarnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Javon Swinton for 15 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.9%
Chris Childers run for 7 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Zach Borisch run for 2 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Zach Borisch run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Chris Childers run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Chris Childers run for 4 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Chris Childers run for 3 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
David Holloman run for 3 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
David Holloman run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
David Holloman run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
100.0%
James Evans punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Terez Traynor for 22 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Michael Noil for 5 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Michael NoilSimilar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+4
100.0%
Nick Romano run for 4 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
Aundre Carter run for 2 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-15
100.0%
PENALTY IDA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christensen,Abe) 15 yards from IND35 to IND50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 25
50
+9
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Nick Romano for 9 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+12
100.0%
Mike Beaudry run for 12 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Michael NoilSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
David Holloman run for 3 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Charlie Spegal run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
David Holloman run for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:02
Javon Swinton 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Charles Campbell Kick)
+1.1
TD · Q2 3:39
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 3:01
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Javon Swinton for 9 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com