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IU

Indiana 6 at Iowa 34

IOWA
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:40 · Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the Ind 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:45: Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Riley Moss return for 30 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +0.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 4:28: Charles Campbell 36 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +2.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:54: Spencer Petras run for 9 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK) — IOWA win probability +6.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Caleb Shudak 41 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +3.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:39: Charles Campbell 41 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:00IU 4th & 13 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:12IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:28IU 4th & 10 at IOWA 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:18IU 4th & 13 at IU 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50IOWA 4th & 2 at IU 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:30IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00IU 4th & 5 at IU 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:15IU 4th & 4 at IOWA 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:39IU 4th & 19 at IOWA 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:39IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 41, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:49IU 4th & 9 at IU 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:47IOWA 4th & 8 at IU 43, up 25
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:47IU 4th & 5 at IU 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:52IOWA 4th & 16 at IU 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:50IU 4th & 6 at IU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:58IU 4th & 1 at IU 43, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:35IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:45IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:54IOWA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:41IOWA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:2061% → 62%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
61.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 7 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+4
61.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Monte PottebaumSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+56
61.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 56 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2INT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3738% → 37%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.6%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
61.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-30
62.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Riley Moss return for 30 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:3737% → 36%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.7%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
63.0%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
63.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 21 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
63.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-5
63.6%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Caleb Jones) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 13
50
0
64.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 13
50
0
64.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 13
50
0
64.5%
James Evans punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2565% → 66%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
65.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 3
OWN 24
-4
65.3%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 20Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+1
65.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 6
OWN 21
-2
66.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds , Reese Taylor returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1934% → 35%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
66.1%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
66.3%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
66.4%
Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
66.8%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+32
66.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 32 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
66.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
66.7%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
67.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
65.0%
Charles Campbell 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:5966% → 66%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
66.3%
IOWA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+3
66.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+15
66.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 15 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
67.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
66.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
66.6%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Jackson RitterSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
66.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:4133% → 32%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
66.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-3
66.9%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 13
OWN 12
-5
67.6%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Caleb Jones) to the Ind 7Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 18
OWN 7
+5
68.0%
Chris Childers run for 5 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
68.4%
James Evans punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:1569% → 78%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
68.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 16 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
69.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
69.2%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
69.4%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 6 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+2
70.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+2
69.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 2 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
71.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
78.2%
Spencer Petras run for 9 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:1623% → 20%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
77.3%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
77.8%
Stephen Carr run for 14 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
77.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 12 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
77.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Camron Buckley) to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 25
OWN 45
0
79.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 25
OWN 45
0
79.5%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 25
OWN 45
0
80.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4080% → 80%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
80.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+15
79.9%
INDIANA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Marcelino McCrary-Ball) to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
81.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for no gain to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
80.8%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
80.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:1520% → 17%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
80.2%
Michael Penix Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
81.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Camron Buckley for 9 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
80.9%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
81.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 4 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
81.3%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
82.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+2
82.7%
James Evans punt for 40 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 2 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:5783% → 85%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
83.1%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+24
83.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
84.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Ind 48 Tyler Goodson fumbled, recovered by Ind Cam JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-55
84.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Riley Moss return for 55 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:1814% → 15%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
84.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Dane Belton return for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15END OF HALF
12 plays · 21 yds · 1:0094% → 97%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
93.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+19
94.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 19 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.6%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
94.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+11
94.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 11 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
93.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 12
OPP 14
-9
94.4%
Spencer Petras sacked by Ryder Anderson for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 21
OPP 23
+41
97.2%
Caleb Shudak 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 6:0112% → 4%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
88.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 4 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
97.7%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+3
98.3%
Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 5 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to A.J. Barner for 2 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-1
98.6%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+33
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 33 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
98.7%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-6
98.9%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 14
OPP 18
-5
98.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 19
OPP 23
+41
96.3%
Charles Campbell 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyler GoodsonSimilar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:433% → 2%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
97.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Caleb Jones) to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+15
97.3%
IOWA Penalty, Roughing Passer (John Waggoner) to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.6%
Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.6%
James Evans punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:5098% → 99%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
98.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
98.6%
Spencer Petras run for 3 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
98.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 6 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+11
98.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 11 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.0%
Spencer Petras pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
99.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
James Evans punt for 40 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 8 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:3899% → 100%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
99.2%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+9
99.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 9 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
99.4%
Spencer Petras run for 3 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
99.4%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+15
99.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Alfred Bryant) to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-6
99.5%
Spencer Petras sacked by Reese Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 16
OPP 17
-1
99.5%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 18Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 17
OPP 18
+1
99.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+35
99.9%
Caleb Shudak 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+18
99.9%
James Evans punt for 58 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 18 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 46 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+17
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 17 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
99.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 22 yds to the Ind 23 Ivory Kelly-Martin fumbled, forced by Raheem Layne II, recovered by Ind Josh SanguinettiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:270% → 0%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 6 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+9
100.0%
Chris Childers run for 9 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
99.9%
James Evans punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Alex Padilla pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.9%
Alex Padilla run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+3
100.0%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:54
Spencer Petras run for 9 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)
+6.9
FG · Q2 0:00
Caleb Shudak 41 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
FG · Q1 4:28
Charles Campbell 36 yd FG GOOD
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com