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ILL

Illinois 9 at Purdue 13

PUR
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:46 · Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+17.6Home team on offense+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.2Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 8:18: James McCourt 35 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +8.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 14:51: James McCourt 45 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +5.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:39: Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Prdue 45 — ILL win probability +11.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:44: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 14 yds for a TD (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +29.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:35: Timeout ILLINOIS, clock 00:35 — PUR win probability +9.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 8:31PUR 4th & 5 at ILL 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:31ILL 4th & 23 at ILL 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:34PUR 4th & 2 at ILL 13, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.7%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42ILL 4th & 2 at PUR 49, down 6
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:45PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 13, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:09ILL 4th & 16 at ILL 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:36PUR 4th & 19 at PUR 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:46ILL 4th & 14 at ILL 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:04PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:24ILL 4th & 8 at PUR 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:03PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:13ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:18ILL 4th & 1 at PUR 17, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%−2.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−11.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:03PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:44ILL 4th & 8 at PUR 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:51ILL 4th & 4 at PUR 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%−0.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−12.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:26ILL 4th & 2 at PUR 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.1 ptsPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−5.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−7.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:40ILL 4th & 10 at PUR 19, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%−2.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−10.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q4 5:44PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 6:2977% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
77.2%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+13
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Broc Thompson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Broc Thompson for 5 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
77.2%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+10
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 3 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+8
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 8 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 11 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
77.2%
Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 12Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
76.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+6
76.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Illin 6Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
76.2%
Mitchell Fineran 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 2:0024% → 24%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
76.2%
Joshua McCray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 23Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
76.2%
Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
76.4%
Brandon Peters sacked for 0 yards to the Illin 12Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+7
76.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 7 yds to the Illin 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:5776% → 77%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
76.3%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+19
76.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 19 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
76.5%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Illin 16Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
76.5%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Illin 15Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
76.2%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Illin 13Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
77.2%
Mitchell Fineran 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:5224% → 25%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.5%
Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
75.8%
Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
75.9%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
76.1%
Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+7
76.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 7 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
75.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 40 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5776% → 76%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
76.3%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
76.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+1
76.0%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 6
OWN 13
+40
75.6%
Jack Ansell punt for 54 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 40 yds to the Illin 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3624% → 23%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
75.7%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 25Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-5
75.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Jakari Norwood for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 20Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 16
OWN 20
0
76.4%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Blake Hayes punt for 80 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:3377% → 76%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.8%
Jack Plummer sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for 0 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
76.6%
Dylan Downing run for 9 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
76.4%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
77.0%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
76.8%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
76.3%
Jack Plummer sacked by Isaiah Gay and Jer'Zhan Newton for 0 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 19
OWN 23
0
75.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:5025% → 24%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.7%
Joshua McCray run for no gain to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
75.0%
Joshua McCray run for 16 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
73.6%
Joshua McCray run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-9
73.4%
Joshua McCray run for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 48Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 14
OWN 48
0
75.5%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
76.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4277% → 76%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
76.9%
Jackson Anthrop run for 9 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+2
77.3%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
77.4%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
77.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
76.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
76.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:4025% → 29%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
74.6%
Joshua McCray run for 11 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
73.6%
Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+7
73.1%
Joshua McCray run for 7 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
72.4%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-1
72.2%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
73.6%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+51
71.0%
James McCourt 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2173% → 71%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.5%
Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
73.4%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
71.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.3%
Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:5028% → 27%
Q2 1:03
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
71.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
70.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
69.5%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
71.7%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
69.8%
Brandon Peters sacked by DaMarcus Mitchell and Branson Deen for 0 yards to the Illin 39Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
73.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 55 yds, downed at the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 6:4228% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.8%
Joshua McCray run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
71.2%
Joshua McCray run for 2 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
71.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 6 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
70.9%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
70.0%
Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
69.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
69.0%
Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+7
67.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
67.9%
Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
68.2%
Joshua McCray run for 5 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+4
68.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Tip Reiman for 4 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
69.2%
Isaiah Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
69.7%
PETERS, Brandon pass up the middle incomplete intended for SPANN, Deuce thrown to the PUR3. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on MACKEY, Dedrick enforced 15 yards to the PUR36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+35
61.5%
James McCourt 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1566% → 65%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.4%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
66.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Garrett Miller for 6 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
66.1%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
64.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 53 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 4 yds to the Illin 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:1937% → 40%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
62.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 17 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
61.7%
Jakari Norwood run for 9 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-1
59.3%
Jakari Norwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 44Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+18
60.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Luke Ford for 18 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
59.1%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
59.8%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+4
61.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+54
60.2%
James McCourt 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17INT
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:1466% → 69%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
65.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 1 yd to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+43
65.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 43 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.8%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Tarique Barnes for 0 yards to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+7
67.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 7 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+19
66.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 19 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
69.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
69.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:3939% → 50%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
60.7%
Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+38
58.3%
Joshua McCray run for 38 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
54.7%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
53.8%
Joshua McCray run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
55.4%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
50.0%
James McCourt 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:1255% → 57%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
57.7%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
56.2%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
55.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
55.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 16 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
59.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
56.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted return for no gain to the Illin 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1355% → 61%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
45.4%
Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
44.5%
Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
44.7%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
44.7%
Jakari Norwood run for 5 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+1
36.5%
Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
39.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 28 yds, downed at the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 3:4248% → 87%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
47.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 10 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
48.8%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+18
48.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 18 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
50.3%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
52.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
49.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 17 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
54.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 27 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
57.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
57.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 3 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
86.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 14 yds for a TD (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:0419% → 16%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Patrick Bryant for 9 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
78.0%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
79.5%
Joshua McCray run for 6 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.7%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
79.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Patrick Bryant for 4 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+13
79.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 13 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.8%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
76.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Patrick Bryant for 12 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
73.9%
Joshua McCray run for 12 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
73.6%
Joshua McCray run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
73.8%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
76.2%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 10
OPP 19
0
84.5%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:44
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 14 yds for a TD (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
+29
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:39
Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Prdue 45
-11.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:35
Timeout ILLINOIS, clock 00:35
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com