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VT

Virginia Tech 29 at Virginia 24

UVA
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:49 · Jacob Finn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+3.6Home team on offense−6.5Garbage-time factor−4.7Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:05: Raheem Blackshear run for 18 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — VT win probability +9.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:32: Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) — UVA win probability +7.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:19: Tayvion Robinson pass complete to Braxton Burmeister for 3 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — VT win probability +13.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:31: John Parker Romo 38 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +16.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 3:17: Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 16 yards for a SAFETY Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by Virg Bobby Haskins , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY — VT win probability +10.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:30VT 4th & 3 at UVA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:05VT 4th & 1 at UVA 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−5.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:00VT 4th & 11 at UVA 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−6.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:30UVA 4th & 7 at VT 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 6:59UVA 4th & 7 at VT 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.9
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:02VT 4th & 10 at VT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−2.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:31VT 4th & 2 at UVA 20, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%−3.0
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−22.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:49UVA 4th & 7 at UVA 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:18VT 4th & 10 at UVA 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:30UVA 4th & 13 at VT 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−2.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−6.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:30UVA 4th & 13 at VT 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−2.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:20UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:12VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:54UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:05VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:32UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:19VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 14:0626% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
73.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 12 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
73.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 13 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
73.8%
Connor Blumrick run for 3 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-5
73.8%
PENALTY VaT False Start (Smith,Lecitus) 5 yards from UVA45 to UVA50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
50
+4
73.8%
Connor Blumrick run for 4 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+5
73.8%
PENALTY UVA Offside 5 yards from UVA46 to UVA41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
72.6%
Peter Moore punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 14Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
68.6%
Connor Blumrick run for no gain to the Virg 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 4:1073% → 75%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
72.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
72.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 27 yds to the VIRGINIA 39 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Bobby Haskins) to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
73.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 9 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+6
73.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 6 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
73.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Malachi Fields for 18 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
73.4%
PENALTY UVA False Start 5 yards from VaT21 to VaT26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+11
73.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 11 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+6
73.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 6 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
72.9%
Armstrong,Brennan pass complete to Kemp,Billy for 9 yards to the VaT00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 07:10 PENALTY UVA Holding (Taulapapa,Wayne) 10 yards from VaT09 to VaT19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+8
72.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the VTech 11Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
72.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
74.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 11 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
74.5%
PENALTY VaT Personal Foul 15 yards from UVA35 to UVA50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0826% → 29%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
73.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 7 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
70.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 61 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1872% → 76%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
71.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
71.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 1 yd to the Virg 35Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+12
71.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 12 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
72.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
72.1%
Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete to Henry,Ra'Shaun PENALTY VaT Offside (Garbutt,TyJuan) 5 yards from UVA47 to VaT48. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
72.4%
Mike Hollins run for 4 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+9
72.3%
Mike Hollins run for 9 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
72.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 19 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
72.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 12 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
72.6%
Mike Hollins run for 3 yds to the VTech 1Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:4926% → 27%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.4%
Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+71
74.4%
Braxton Burmeister run for 71 yds to the Virg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
72.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the Virg 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.2%
Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the Virg 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.9%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the Virg 1Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.4%
Connor Blumrick pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6INT
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:2674% → 77%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
74.4%
Devin Darrington run for no gain to the Virg 1Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
74.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+12
73.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 12 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
74.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 3 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+8
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 8 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
74.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
75.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
75.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 9 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+17
75.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 17 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
76.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:3427% → 38%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
73.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
73.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Virg 48Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-5
73.3%
PENALTY VaT False Start (Jordan,Johnny) 5 yards from UVA48 to VaT47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+35
74.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 35 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
71.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Drake DeIuliisSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
62.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 18 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3368% → 78%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
68.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 23 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
70.3%
Devin Darrington run for 7 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
70.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+15
70.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 15 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
71.1%
Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete to Wicks,Dontayvion PENALTY VaT Offside (Williams,Jordan) 5 yards from VaT30 to VaT25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+20
71.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 20 yds to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.3%
Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
19 plays · 60 yds · 3:3224% → 26%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
75.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-14
76.4%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by West Weeks for a loss of 14 yards to the VTech 13Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+15
76.8%
Moore,Peter punt 47 yards to the UVA40 fair catch by Kemp,Billy at UVA40 PENALTY UVA Roughing The Kicker (Weeks,West) 15 yards from VaT13 to VaT28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
74.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
74.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 10 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
74.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+26
73.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 26 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
71.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 7 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
71.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+10
73.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 10 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
71.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
71.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-1
73.5%
Braxton Burmeister sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 15Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
73.6%
John Parker Romo 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:3072% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
71.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Devin Darrington for 34 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
73.9%
Devin Darrington run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+20
73.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 20 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
74.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
74.4%
Keytaon Thompson run for 3 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
73.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
77.2%
Brendan Farrell 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:1124% → 41%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
76.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 21 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+50
75.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 50 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
72.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the Virg 3Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
72.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.8%
Tayvion Robinson pass complete to Braxton Burmeister for 3 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:2065% → 66%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
65.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 18 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
67.8%
Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+17
66.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 17 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
68.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for no gain to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-7
68.7%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Alan Tisdale for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 17
OPP 47
+10
65.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 10 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
65.5%
Jacob Finn punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5739% → 36%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
61.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
60.5%
Tayvion Robinson run for 2 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-4
62.5%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Elliott Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 20Similar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
63.7%
Peter Moore punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 56 yds · 3:0764% → 67%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
64.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 8 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
66.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
65.2%
Jay Woolfolk pass complete to Jelani Woods for 6 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+13
67.4%
Jay Woolfolk run for 13 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
68.1%
Jay Woolfolk pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 8 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+19
67.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 19 yds Keytaon Thompson fumbled, forced by Norell Pollard, recovered by VTech Norell PollardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 7:2441% → 63%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
59.0%
PENALTY VaT Personal Foul 8 yards from VaT17 to VaT09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
59.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+5
59.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+10
59.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 10 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
57.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+17
57.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 17 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
54.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
50
0
53.6%
Blumrick,Connor rush for 0 yards to the VaT50 (Johnson,Anthony) PENALTY VaT Illegal Shift offsetting UVA Offside offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
50
+6
53.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+16
53.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 16 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
51.6%
Connor Blumrick run for 3 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
51.6%
Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
0
53.5%
Connor Blumrick run for no gain to the Virg 20Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+38
37.5%
John Parker Romo 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4245% → 41%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
45.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
45.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
43.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
41.0%
Jacob Finn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:3162% → 70%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
38.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-5
37.0%
PENALTY VaT False Start 5 yards from VaT29 to VaT24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
38.6%
Connor Blumrick run for 10 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
37.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+25
36.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 10 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Targeting (Josh Ahern) to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
34.1%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Elliott Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 42Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+3
35.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
35.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
30.0%
Peter Moore punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18SF
4 plays · -24 yds · 1:0138% → 25%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
37.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
37.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ra'Shaun HenrySimilar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+8
35.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 8 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
24.5%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 16 yards for a SAFETY Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by Virg Bobby Haskins , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:1285% → 89%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
15.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
11.5%
Connor Blumrick run for no gain to the Virg 35 Connor Blumrick fumbled, forced by Nick Grant, recovered by Virg Olasunkonmi AgunloyeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 2:3525% → 16%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
24.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ra'Shaun HenrySimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+25
22.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 25 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
31.6%
Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete to Henry,Ra'Shaun PENALTY VaT Holding (Strong,Dorian) 11 yard from VaT40 to VaT29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
34.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 18 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
34.2%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the VTech 9Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
30.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+5
28.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Bobby Haskins for 5 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 13
OPP 14
0
15.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ra'Shaun HenrySimilar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 13
OPP 14
0
15.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ra'Shaun HenrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3093% → 94%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
6.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 13Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-1
5.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 9:31
John Parker Romo 38 yd FG GOOD
-16
TD · Q3 10:19
Tayvion Robinson pass complete to Braxton Burmeister for 3 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)
-13.4
SAFETY · Q4 3:17
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 16 yards for a SAFETY Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by Virg Bobby Haskins , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com