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WAKE

Wake Forest 41 at Boston College 10

BC
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 4 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense−3.9Score differential−1.2Pregame prior−11.5Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:31: Sam Hartman run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:50: Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 33 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +3.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:41: Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +3.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:10: Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:32: Christian Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:54WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:54BC 4th & 6 at BC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:36BC 4th & 7 at BC 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:59WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 3 at BC 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    65.7%−0.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:58WAKE 4th & 4 at BC 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:51BC 4th & 6 at WAKE 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:42WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−1.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:09BC 4th & 17 at BC 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:33BC 4th & 8 at BC 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:59WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 47, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:17BC 4th & 8 at BC 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:21WAKE 4th & 7 at BC 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−7.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:05BC 4th & 16 at BC 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:41BC 4th & 20 at BC 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:41WAKE 4th & 1 at BC 29, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:30WAKE 4th & 7 at BC 23, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:31WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:50WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:41BC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:32WAKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:10WAKE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0665% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
35.1%
Christian Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
35.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.1%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
35.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 44 yds, downed at the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0036% → 36%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
35.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
35.5%
Zay Flowers run for 4 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 4
OWN 32
-2
35.5%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
36.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:2364% → 66%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
36.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
36.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
36.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
36.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 17 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
36.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 24 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
35.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the BC 17Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
35.9%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+7
36.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 7 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
35.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
35.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 7Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
34.4%
Sam Hartman run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5535% → 35%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
35.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
35.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
35.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
34.8%
Grant Carlson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3765% → 65%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
35.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 7 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
34.8%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
35.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zay Flowers at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:0435% → 35%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
35.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
35.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
35.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted return for no gain to the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:0566% → 69%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
34.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
34.4%
HARTMAN, Sam pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROBERSON, Jaquarii thrown to the BOS40. PENALTY BOS Holding on BURTON, CJ enforced 10 yards from the WFU45 to the BOS45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
34.2%
Sam Hartman run for 12 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
30.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 33 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 4:0432% → 36%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
32.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 28 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
32.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+10
32.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 10 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
33.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 12 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
33.2%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
33.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 15Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+15
36.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 15 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:0267% → 67%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
33.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
33.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
33.4%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+4
34.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 4 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
33.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the BC 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 42
0
33.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 42
+15
34.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 15 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
33.4%
Nick Sciba 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 5:0132% → 35%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
32.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 20 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
33.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 23 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
34.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 1 yd to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+18
34.3%
Phil Jurkovec run for 18 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
34.3%
GARWO, Patrick rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the WFU8 (SMENDA, JR., Ryan). PENALTY BOS Holding on LINDSTROM, Alec enforced 10 yards from the WFU9 to the WFU19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+14
34.1%
Phil Jurkovec run for 14 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
34.3%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the WFrst 5Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
33.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 6Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
34.7%
Connor Lytton 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0967% → 66%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 11 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
32.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
31.2%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
31.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
31.4%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
31.9%
Sam Hartman sacked by Marcus Valdez for 0 yards to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
33.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 35 yds, downed at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
33.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
30.3%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-10
30.3%
QB Keeper HARTMAN, Sam rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the BOS9 (WOODBEY, Jaiden). PENALTY WFU Holding enforced 10 yards from the BOS17 to the BOS27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 18
OPP 27
+12
30.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 12 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
30.8%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:0633% → 31%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-2
33.3%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
32.4%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Luiji Vilain for 0 yards to the BC 13Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
31.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 1:5971% → 81%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
50
+3
28.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 3 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
28.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 6 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
28.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
28.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 15 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
28.4%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
28.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 9 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+3
28.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
28.4%
Sam Hartman sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for 0 yards to the BC 13Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+6
27.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
19.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:0323% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
22.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 33 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
22.1%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right incomplete intended for GILL, Jaelen thrown to the BOS33. PENALTY WFU Pass Interference on KEITH, Zion enforced 15 yards to the BOS27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:2423% → 21%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
22.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
22.2%
FLOWERS, Zay rush to the right for a gain of 73 yards to the WFU0, TOUCHDOWN BOS, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY BOS Personal Foul on JURKOVEC, Phil enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the BOS27 to the BOS13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 23
OWN 14
+1
22.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 1 yd to the BC 14Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 23
OWN 14
+15
21.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 15 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+5
20.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 31 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3481% → 81%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
18.7%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 5
50
+4
18.5%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-1
18.7%
Christian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 47Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
19.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 45 yds, downed at the BC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4220% → 18%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
20.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
19.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the BC 4Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
19.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+18
18.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 43 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 18 yds to the BC 22 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the BC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20FG
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:5685% → 86%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
15.4%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
15.4%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the BC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
15.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the BC 2Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
15.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 7Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
15.4%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
15.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
14.2%
Nick Sciba 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:1615% → 14%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
15.1%
Alec Sinkfield run for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
15.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 31Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
15.3%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass up the middle complete for 17 yards to LUCHETTI, Joey caught at the BOS45 and advanced to the BOS48 (SMENDA, JR., Ryan;MUSTAPHA, Malik). PENALTY Before the snap, BOS Illegal Shift on WILLIAMS, Jaden enforced 5 yards from the BOS31 to the BOS26. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
14.8%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Luiji Vilain for 0 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
13.8%
Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:3388% → 97%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
11.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+18
11.8%
Sam Hartman run for 18 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
11.4%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-10
11.0%
HARTMAN, Sam pass to the right complete for 8 yards to TURNER, Christian caught at the BOS40 and advanced to the BOS27 (DEPALMA, Vinny). PENALTY WFU Holding on SMENDA, JR., Ryan enforced 10 yards from the BOS35 to the BOS45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+10
11.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 10 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+32
11.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 32 yds to the BC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.0%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
4.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted return for no gain to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24TD
16 plays · 61 yds · 6:0797% → 100%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
3.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
3.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+13
3.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 13 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
3.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 6 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
2.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
2.6%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
2.6%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
2.6%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
2.6%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
2.6%
Sam Hartman sacked by TJ Rayam for 0 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
2.6%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the BC 17Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+15
2.1%
HARTMAN, Sam pass to the right incomplete intended for STEWART, Donald thrown to the BOS0. PENALTY BOS Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the BOS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
1.4%
Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 3Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
1.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the BC 2Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.3%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
0.3%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for 0 yards to the BC 15Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+13
0.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 13 yds to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 27 yds · 6:11100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
0.3%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
0.3%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the BC 45Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+7
0.3%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
0.3%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
0.3%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
0.3%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+3
0.4%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.2%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the BC 26Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-4
0.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+7
0.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+7
0.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:10
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q3 2:32
Christian Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-8.5
TD · Q1 4:50
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 33 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com