Try the model
GT

Georgia Tech 0 at Notre Dame 55

ND
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Notre Dame Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ND
modelND aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:18 · David Shanahan punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+19.1Home team on offense+29.6Score differential+23.5Blowout margin+13.7Garbage-time factor+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:35: Jonathan Doerer 41 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +0.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:57: Kyren Williams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +2.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:08: Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 52 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +2.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:41: Logan Diggs run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +2.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:21: Jack Coan pass complete to Logan Diggs for 20 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 12:35ND 4th & 23 at GT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26GT 4th & 9 at GT 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:26ND 4th & 2 at GT 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:30GT 4th & 8 at GT 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:26GT 4th & 15 at GT 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:08GT 4th & 6 at GT 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:30GT 4th & 8 at ND 45, down 38
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00GT 4th & 10 at ND 30, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:18GT 4th & 12 at ND 36, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:21ND 4th & 11 at ND 11, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:47GT 4th & 4 at GT 47, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:47GT 4th & 4 at GT 47, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:45ND 4th & 3 at GT 7, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00GT 4th & 26 at GT 44, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:38ND 4th & 12 at ND 28, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:19GT 4th & 8 at ND 47, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:56ND 4th & 11 at ND 17, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:56ND 4th & 11 at ND 17, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:48GT 4th & 10 at GT 39, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:33ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:57ND Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:08ND Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:41ND Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:21ND Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:29ND Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:50ND Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2587% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+38
87.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 38 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-11
87.1%
Jack Coan sacked by Quez Jackson for a loss of 11 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
0
87.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+4
87.1%
Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-6
87.1%
Jack Coan sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 12:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+41
86.5%
Jonathan Doerer 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2INT TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5714% → 14%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.5%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
86.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+11
86.5%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 11 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
86.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-43
86.2%
Jack Kiser 43 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0714% → 14%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-6
86.4%
Jordan Yates sacked by Isaiah Pryor for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+7
86.5%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+14
86.4%
David Shanahan punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 35 , Kyren Williams returns for 14 yds to the NDame 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2987% → 89%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.5%
Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kyren WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+31
86.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 16 yds to the NOTREDAME 44 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Djimon Brooks) to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
86.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 3 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
86.8%
Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+1
86.6%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+9
86.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 9 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
86.8%
Jack Coan run for 3 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
89.2%
Kyren Williams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:2711% → 11%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.7%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
88.6%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 6 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
88.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
88.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 46 Jahmyr Gibbs fumbled, forced by Isaiah Foskey, recovered by GTech Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-5
88.7%
PENALTY GIT False Start (Lay III,William) 5 yards from GIT46 to GIT41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
89.0%
PENALTY GIT Delay Of Game (Yates,Jordan) 5 yards from GIT41 to GIT36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+4
89.1%
Jordan Yates run for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+19
89.3%
David Shanahan punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 31 , Kyren Williams returns for 19 yds to the NDame 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:2290% → 93%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.2%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Lorenzo Styles Jr.Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
90.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to Chris Tyree for 9 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+8
90.3%
Kevin Austin Jr. run for 8 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
93.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 52 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:348% → 7%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.3%
Jordan Yates sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
92.9%
David Shanahan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:4593% → 96%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
93.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
93.4%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the NDame 46Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+19
93.3%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 19 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
93.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Deion Colzie for 16 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
93.4%
Braden Lenzy run for 12 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
93.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 2 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.2%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:335% → 3%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
93.8%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.7%
David Shanahan punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:4796% → 98%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
96.4%
Kyren Williams run for 26 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
96.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 7 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+7
96.2%
Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
98.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Logan Diggs for 20 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:512% → 1%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.3%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Ryan King for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
98.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.2%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Malachi Carter for 6 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+11
98.2%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Malachi Carter for 11 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
98.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Ryan KingSimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
98.7%
David Shanahan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 3:0199% → 99%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+51
98.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 51 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Kyren Williams run for no gain to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+18
98.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 18 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
98.6%
pass complete to for 17 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.6%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden LenzySimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.6%
Kyren Williams run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.1%
PENALTY UND UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kristofic,Andrew) 15 yards from UND35 to UND20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
99.2%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 6 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.3%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 4 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+22
99.3%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 22 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
99.3%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
99.2%
Jude Kelley 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:311% → 1%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.1%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+22
99.1%
Dontae Smith run for 22 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.0%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 3 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
99.0%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
99.3%
David Shanahan punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.3%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 11Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
99.3%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Braden LenzySimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
99.3%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kyren WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
99.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Azende Rey at the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:341% → 0%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.5%
Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
99.6%
David Shanahan punt for 35 yds , Matt Salerno returns for no gain to the NDame 17Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
99.6%
David Shanahan punt for 35 yds , Matt Salerno returns for no gain to the NDame 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17FG
6 plays · 86 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+68
99.5%
Tyler Buchner run for 68 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.5%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 11 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.5%
Tyler Buchner run for 2 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+6
99.5%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+3
99.5%
Tyler Buchner run for 3 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+26
99.7%
Jonathan Doerer 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.7%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 7 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+54
99.7%
Jordan Yates run for 54 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.7%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the NDame 11Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+70
99.8%
Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa 70 Yd Fumble Return (Josh Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 14 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Jordan Yates run for 2 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+12
99.8%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Malachi Carter for 12 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Ryan KingSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.8%
Jordan Yates run for 8 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
99.8%
PENALTY GIT False Start (Lay III,William) 5 yards from UND38 to UND43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-13
99.8%
Jordan Yates sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 13 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 26
OWN 44
0
99.9%
David Shanahan punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.8%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Kevin Bauman for 10 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
99.8%
Tyler Buchner sacked by Sylvain Yondjouen for a loss of 10 yards to the NDame 20 Tyler Buchner fumbled, recovered by NDame Chris Tyree , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+8
99.8%
Tyler Buchner run for 8 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Matt SalernoSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
99.9%
Jordan Yates sacked by Alexander Ehrensberger for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+17
99.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 17 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Jordan Yates run for 4 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-3
99.9%
Jordan Yates sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 47Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+4
100.0%
David Shanahan punt for 33 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 4 yds to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
99.9%
Chris Tyree run for 9 yds to the NDame 27 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mitchell Evans) to the NDame 11Similar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 17
OWN 11
+6
99.9%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Chris TyreeSimilar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Jayden ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 34 yds , Azende Rey returns for no gain to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 34 yds , Azende Rey returns for no gain to the GTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Dontae Smith run for 4 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Dontae Smith for 1 yd to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
David Shanahan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 58 yds · 5:48100% → 100%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Matt Salerno for 4 yds to the NDame 13Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+21
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 21 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 13 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Leo Albano run for 1 yd to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+11
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 11 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+8
100.0%
Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:08
Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 52 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q2 10:41
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q1 4:57
Kyren Williams run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com