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WOF

Wofford 14 at North Carolina 34

UNC
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadWOF aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreWOF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Peyton Derrick pass complete to Jim Welsh for 25 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:22: Kyle Pinnix run for 3 yds for a TD, (Walker Gliarmis KICK) — WOF win probability +2.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 4:47: British Brooks run for 38 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Grayson Atkins 34 yd FG GOOD — UNC win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:41: British Brooks run for 14 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:55: Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 4 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WOF made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 6:32WOF 4th & 3 at WOF 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:43UNC 4th & 8 at WOF 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:44WOF 4th & 8 at WOF 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:16UNC 4th & 9 at UNC 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:57WOF 4th & 1 at UNC 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:57WOF 4th & 2 at WOF 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:00WOF 4th & 12 at WOF 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:00UNC 4th & 1 at WOF 20, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:24UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 34, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:39UNC 4th & 1 at WOF 1, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:28UNC 4th & 1 at WOF 1, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:54WOF 4th & 2 at WOF 10, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WOF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:34UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:22WOF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:47UNC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:41UNC Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:55UNC Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:04WOF Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:2199% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
98.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 12 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
98.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 16 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
98.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 8 yds to the Woffd 46Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+6
98.9%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Woffd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
98.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Antoine Green for 1 yd to the Woffd 39Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+5
98.9%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Woffd 34Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+13
98.9%
Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the Woffd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
98.9%
Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the Woffd 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.9%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Woffd 1Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:561% → 2%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
98.6%
Nathan Walker run for 7 yds to the Woffd 25Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Nathan Walker run for no gain to the Woffd 25Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+6
98.6%
Ryan Ingram run for 6 yds to the Woffd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.6%
Nathan Walker run for 5 yds to the Woffd 36Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+1
98.6%
Peyton Derrick run for 1 yd to the Woffd 37Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+1
98.6%
Ryan Ingram run for 1 yd to the Woffd 38Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+6
98.3%
Atkins Roberts punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 31 , Josh Downs returns for 6 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 3FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:4998% → 98%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
98.3%
Ty Chandler run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
50
+11
98.3%
Ty Chandler run for 11 yds to the Woffd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
98.4%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Woffd 37Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
98.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to D.J. JonesSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+26
98.3%
Jacolby Criswell run for 26 yds to the Woffd 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
98.4%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Woffd 10Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+1
98.4%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Woffd 9Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
98.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Josh DownsSimilar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
98.0%
Grayson Atkins 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:542% → 2%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
97.9%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to RJ Khayo for 11 yds to the Woffd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
97.9%
Jamari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Woffd 42Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+3
97.9%
Jamari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Woffd 45Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
97.9%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Alec HoltSimilar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
97.8%
Atkins Roberts punt for 38 yds , Josh Downs returns for no gain to the NCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:2898% → 97%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
97.8%
D.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the NCaro 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+11
97.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Josh Downs for 11 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
97.7%
Jones,D.J. rush for 5 yards gain to the UNC37 (DiRoberto,John Michael; Garnett,James) PENALTY UNC Holding (Richards,Asim) 10 yards from UNC32 to UNC22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+11
97.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Josh Downs for 11 yds to the NCaro 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
97.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Josh Downs for no gain to the NCaro 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
97.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Justin OlsonSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+8
97.3%
Ben Kiernan punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Woffd 29 , RJ Khayo returns for 8 yds to the Woffd 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 6TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:543% → 5%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+28
97.5%
Peyton Derrick run for 28 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
97.3%
David Legette run for 16 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.2%
David Legette run for 2 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+2
97.3%
Ryan Ingram run for 2 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+9
97.4%
Peyton Derrick run for 9 yds to the NCaro 18Similar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+5
97.1%
Ryan Ingram run for 5 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
96.9%
Nathan Walker run for 1 yd to the NCaro 12Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
96.9%
Nathan Walker run for 2 yds to the NCaro 10Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+5
97.0%
Ryan Ingram run for 5 yds to the NCaro 15Similar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+8
97.2%
PENALTY UNC UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Vohasek,Raymond) 8 yards from UNC15 to UNC07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
96.9%
Nathan Walker run for 1 yd to the NCaro 8Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.9%
Peyton Derrick run for 5 yds to the NCaro 3Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.8%
Kyle Pinnix run for 3 yds for a TD, (Walker Gliarmis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3595% → 97%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.4%
D.J. Jones run for 6 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
95.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to D.J. Jones for 8 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
95.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Josh Downs for 23 yds to the Woffd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
96.8%
British Brooks run for 38 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:503% → 4%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.6%
Jamari Broussard run for 5 yds to the Woffd 30Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
96.5%
Jamari Broussard run for 7 yds to the Woffd 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.5%
Jamari Broussard run for 6 yds to the Woffd 43Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
96.3%
Jamari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Woffd 42Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+3
96.4%
Peyton Derrick run for 3 yds to the Woffd 45Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Atkins Roberts punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 9FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 1:5796% → 98%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
95.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Josh DownsSimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+20
95.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 20 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
95.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 11 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.1%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Garrett WalstonSimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
96.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Josh Downs for 12 yds to the Woffd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
96.2%
Jacolby Criswell run for 12 yds to the Woffd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
96.2%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Antoine GreenSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+19
96.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Josh Downs for 19 yds to the Woffd 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.5%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
96.5%
Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete to Justin OlsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+34
97.5%
Grayson Atkins 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 10INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:333% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.6%
Ryan Ingram run for 5 yds to the Woffd 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
96.5%
Peyton Derrick run for 17 yds to the Woffd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.2%
Peyton Derrick pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 11TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:4697% → 99%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
97.1%
British Brooks run for 17 yds to the Woffd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
97.1%
British Brooks run for 9 yds to the Woffd 29Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
97.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds to the Woffd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
97.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Justin Olson for 11 yds to the Woffd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.9%
British Brooks run for 14 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:411% → 1%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Nathan Walker run for 5 yds to the Woffd 30Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
98.6%
Nathan Walker run for 6 yds to the Woffd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.6%
Nathan Walker run for 3 yds to the Woffd 39Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
98.6%
Alec Holt run for 6 yds to the Woffd 45Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-6
98.6%
PENALTY WOF False Start (Russo,Nick) 6 yards from WOF45 to WOF39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Peyton Derrick run for no gain to the Woffd 39Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 7
OWN 39
-5
98.7%
PENALTY WOF False Start (Purcell,Eli) 5 yards from WOF39 to WOF34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Atkins Roberts punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 13TD
17 plays · 84 yds · 7:0599% → 100%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
99.0%
Caleb Hood run for 6 yds to the NCaro 22Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 22
-10
99.0%
Hood,Caleb rush for 5 yards gain to the UNC27 (DiRoberto,John Michael) PENALTY UNC Holding (Adorno,Jonathan) 10 yards from UNC22 to UNC12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+18
99.0%
Drake Maye run for 18 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
98.9%
Drake Maye sacked by T.J. Neal for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 26Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+9
99.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 9 yds to the NCaro 35Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
98.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 6 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
98.9%
Drake Maye run for 15 yds to the Woffd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.0%
Caleb Hood run for 6 yds to the Woffd 38Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
99.0%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh DownsSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
98.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 9 yds to the Woffd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.0%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. JonesSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.0%
Caleb Hood run for 3 yds to the Woffd 32Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+5
98.9%
PENALTY WOF Offside (Garnett,James) 5 yards from WOF32 to WOF27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
98.9%
British Brooks run for 7 yds to the Woffd 20Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+1
98.9%
British Brooks run for 1 yd to the Woffd 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
99.0%
Maye,Drake pass incomplete to Green,Antoine broken up by Anderson,Donavan, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WOF Pass Interference (Anderson,Donavan) 15 yards from WOF19 to WOF04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 4 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:510% → 1%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Ryan Ingram run for 8 yds to the Woffd 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Ryan Ingram run for 3 yds to the Woffd 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+17
99.9%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Alec Holt for 17 yds to the Woffd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Jamari Broussard run for 8 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Jamari Broussard run for 1 yd to the NCaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Ryan Ingram run for 2 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Nathan Walker run for 1 yd to the NCaro 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Ryan Ingram run for 5 yds to the NCaro 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Nathan Walker run for 6 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Ryan Ingram run for 5 yds to the NCaro 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Peyton Derrick run for 6 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.2%
Ryan Ingram run for 19 yds for a TD, (Walker Gliarmis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15DOWNS
17 plays · 73 yds · 5:3699% → 100%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.2%
Elijah Green run for 6 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.3%
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.3%
British Brooks run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.4%
Caleb Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 40Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
99.4%
Drake Maye run for 9 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+46
99.4%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 46 yds to the Woffd 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.4%
Caleb Hood run for 4 yds to the Woffd 1Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Caleb Hood run for no gain to the Woffd 1Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Caleb Hood run for no gain to the Woffd 1Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.6%
Drake Maye sacked by James Wells for a loss of 2 yards to the Woffd 3Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
99.6%
Maye,Drake sacked for loss of 2 yards to the WOF03 (Wells,James) PENALTY WOF Offside (DiRoberto,John Michael). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Caleb Hood run for 1 yd to the Woffd 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 16END OF GAME
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.6%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Wyatt Bartkowiak for 1 yd to the Woffd 3Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+8
99.6%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Jim Welsh for 8 yds to the Woffd 11Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+1
99.8%
Jamari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Woffd 10Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+5
99.8%
Nathan Walker run for 5 yds to the Woffd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Alec Holt for 14 yds to the Woffd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Jim Welsh for 9 yds to the Woffd 38Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+8
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Nathan Walker for 8 yds to the Woffd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+25
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Jim Welsh for 25 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:22
Kyle Pinnix run for 3 yds for a TD, (Walker Gliarmis KICK)
-2.1
TD · Q3 11:41
British Brooks run for 14 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 4:47
British Brooks run for 38 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com