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VT

Virginia Tech 26 at Miami 38

MIA
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:21 · Connor Blumrick pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 28 yds to the MiaFl 9 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+8.9Home team on offense+10.4Score differential+4.5Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Time remaining+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:35: Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +7.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:33: Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 75 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +8.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:25: Connor Blumrick pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — VT win probability +8.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:12: Da'Wain Lofton 4 Yd pass from Connor Blumrick (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — VT win probability +13.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:39: Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Mike Harley for 55 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +14.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:11VT 4th & 4 at VT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:06VT 4th & 2 at MIA 8, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.3%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00VT 4th & 4 at VT 46, down 11
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:33VT 4th & 4 at MIA 19, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:40MIA 4th & 11 at MIA 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:11VT 4th & 10 at MIA 42, down 15
    Close callPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:24MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 36, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:56MIA 4th & 3 at VT 13, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:21VT 4th & 6 at MIA 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 37, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.3%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:16MIA 4th & 5 at MIA 43, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:58VT 4th & 13 at VT 10, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−2.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:23VT 4th & 15 at VT 33, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:52MIA 4th & 10 at VT 43, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:17VT 4th & 11 at VT 22, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:26MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:42MIA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:35MIA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:43VT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:33MIA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:25VT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:12VT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:39MIA Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4926% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Nick Gallo for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
74.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+29
74.0%
Peter Moore punt for 53 yds , Jacolby George returns for 29 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:4574% → 75%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+39
74.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 39 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
74.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+8
74.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 8 yds to the VTech 9Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
74.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 9 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 6:2026% → 27%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
74.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
74.6%
Connor Blumrick run for 13 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
74.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
74.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
74.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+20
74.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for 20 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
74.1%
Connor Blumrick run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+4
74.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
74.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 4 yds to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
74.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Malachi Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+5
74.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
72.9%
John Parker Romo 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2474% → 77%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
50
+5
74.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-5
74.1%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
50
0
73.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 10
50
+11
73.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 11 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
74.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Targeting on DALEY, Tae enforced half the distance from the goal (14 Yards) to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
74.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
74.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+11
73.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 11 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.2%
KNIGHTON, Jaylan rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the VAT2 (TISDALE, Alan). PENALTY VAT Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the VAT1 to the VAT0 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4224% → 23%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
75.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 9 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
75.6%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+5
76.0%
Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
75.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
76.6%
Peter Moore punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:2577% → 85%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.0%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for no gain to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+32
76.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 32 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
77.7%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass up the middle incomplete intended for HARLEY, Mike thrown to the VAT15. PENALTY VAT Pass Interference on CONNER, Chamarri enforced 15 yards to the VAT33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
77.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 16 yds to the VTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
77.7%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 1 yd to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+15
77.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 15 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
77.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 3Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5216% → 23%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
83.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 5 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.7%
Connor Blumrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
83.8%
Connor Blumrick run for 11 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+21
83.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 21 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
82.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+20
82.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for 20 yds to the MiaFl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.5%
Connor Blumrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
82.5%
Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 6Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
77.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 6 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
85.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 75 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 4:0015% → 17%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Nick Gallo for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+31
84.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 31 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
84.0%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-1
84.4%
Tayvion Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+15
84.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jaylen Jones for 15 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
83.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 5 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
83.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+1
83.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
83.4%
John Parker Romo 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5386% → 83%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-4
83.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
83.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 46 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:2917% → 15%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.9%
Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
82.6%
Connor Blumrick run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
81.9%
Connor Blumrick run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.1%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Ryan Ragone for 0 yards to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+9
83.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 9 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
83.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
84.9%
Peter Moore punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:3687% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
86.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+9
86.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 9 yds to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
87.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-4
87.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Mike Harley for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
86.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
86.8%
Lou Hedley punt for 41 yds, downed at the VTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3714% → 14%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
86.4%
Tayvion Robinson run for 5 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
86.2%
Braxton Burmeister sacked for 0 yards to the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5189% → 93%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
88.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
88.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
88.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the VTech 13Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
92.9%
Andres Borregales 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:318% → 19%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
91.7%
Connor Blumrick run for 12 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
91.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 11 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+44
91.0%
Connor Blumrick run for 44 yds to the MiaFl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.8%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
89.8%
Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 7Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.4%
Connor Blumrick pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 4:0918% → 33%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
81.6%
Connor Blumrick pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+4
82.6%
Connor Blumrick run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+4
82.5%
Connor Blumrick pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 4 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+28
83.1%
Connor Blumrick pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 28 yds to the MiaFl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
80.3%
Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
80.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
80.3%
Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.7%
Da'Wain Lofton 4 Yd pass from Connor Blumrick (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 3:5674% → 74%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
74.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
73.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+12
72.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 12 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
74.3%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the right complete for 72 yards to MALLORY, Will caught at the VAT38 and advanced to the VAT0, TOUCHDOWN MIA, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY MIA Holding on NELSON, Zion enforced 10 yards from the MIA28 to the MIA18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+5
73.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+7
73.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 7 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+7
72.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 7 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+1
73.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
75.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
76.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
75.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+43
73.6%
Lou Hedley punt for 43 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1829% → 26%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
71.5%
Connor Blumrick run for 4 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
71.5%
Connor Blumrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
73.0%
Connor Blumrick sacked by Jared Harrison-Hunte for 0 yards to the VTech 10Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 13
OWN 10
0
74.1%
Peter Moore punt for 50 yds , Jacolby George returns for no gain to the MiaFl 10 MIAMI FL Penalty, Holding Illegal Block in the Back on HUFF, Avery enforced ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:1977% → 93%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
77.2%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
77.4%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+55
93.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Mike Harley for 55 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:169% → 7%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.1%
Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
89.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 8 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Peter Moore) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+1
91.1%
Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
91.4%
Connor Blumrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+34
92.9%
Peter Moore punt for 59 yds , Jacolby George returns for 34 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:3194% → 93%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
93.9%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the left incomplete intended for RAMBO, Charleston thrown to the VAT22. PENALTY VAT Pass Interference on WALLER, Jermaine enforced 15 yards to the VAT43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
94.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
93.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:357% → 6%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
93.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+11
93.1%
Connor Blumrick run for 11 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
93.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
93.0%
Connor Blumrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
93.3%
Connor Blumrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
94.2%
Peter Moore punt for 53 yds, downed at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24END OF GAME
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:4495% → 98%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+30
94.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 30 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
95.3%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
95.3%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 6 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
95.2%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 5 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
97.5%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
97.5%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 9 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
98.0%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+2
98.0%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 2 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+10
98.0%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 10 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:39
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Mike Harley for 55 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q3 2:12
Da'Wain Lofton 4 Yd pass from Connor Blumrick (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-13.6
TD · Q2 7:33
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 75 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com