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BC

Boston College 41 at Georgia Tech 30

GT
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jordan Yates run for 2 yds to the GTech 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:47: Phil Jurkovec run for 8 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +7.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:52: Phil Jurkovec run for 14 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +12.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 12:01: Connor Lytton 31 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +7.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:59: Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia PAT MISSED) — GT win probability +20.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:48: Phil Jurkovec run for 31 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +23.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:21BC 4th & 5 at BC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:37GT 4th & 16 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:46GT 4th & 2 at BC 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−1.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    51.9%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:33GT 4th & 18 at BC 34, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.7%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:22GT 4th & 8 at BC 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−11.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:44BC 4th & 9 at GT 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    56.6%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:01BC 4th & 10 at GT 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−3.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−15.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 1:36GT 4th & 14 at GT 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:25BC 4th & 2 at GT 10, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:00BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:07GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:52GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:05BC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:47BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:52BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:59GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:48BC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−2.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
44.5%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+24
44.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 24 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
44.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+48
44.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 48 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2555% → 54%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
45.0%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 30Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
45.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
45.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:1446% → 50%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
45.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
45.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
45.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 14 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
46.0%
Dontae Smith run for 14 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
46.1%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 10 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
46.1%
Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
49.8%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Malachi Carter for 12 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:2051% → 50%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
48.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
48.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Alec Lindstrom) to the BC 24Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+26
49.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
50
+16
48.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 16 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
47.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
47.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 10 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
48.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
50.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 6:5451% → 62%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+11
50.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 11 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+2
50.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
50.2%
Jordan Yates run for 3 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
50.6%
Jordan Yates run for 7 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+8
51.0%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 8 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
51.2%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 4 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-5
51.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-5
50.8%
YATES, Jordan pass to the left complete for 30 yards to GIBBS, Jahmyr caught at the GT 47 and advanced to the BC 30 (ARNOLD, Kam;JONES, Elijah). PENALTY GT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the GT 40 to the GT 35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
50.5%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+22
50.1%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 22 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
51.4%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Kalani Norris for 7 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+6
55.3%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
55.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+26
55.7%
Jordan Mason run for 26 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.2%
Jordan Yates run for 2 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:3642% → 47%
Q2 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+14
58.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 14 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
58.1%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
58.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
52.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 39 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2757% → 55%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-6
57.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 16
50
0
55.2%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 16
50
0
55.2%
David Shanahan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:5044% → 56%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-10
55.7%
JURKOVEC, Phil pass to the right complete for 5 yards to BARRY, Trae caught at the BC 18 and advanced to the BC 22 (SWILLING, Tre). PENALTY GT Holding on CARPENTER, Tariq enforced 10 yards from the BC 17 to the BC 27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+38
55.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 38 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
52.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (14 yards) (Wesley Walker) to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
52.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
44.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for 8 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 14 yds · 6:1352% → 49%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
52.4%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 7 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
52.4%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
51.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the BC 40Similar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
52.4%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 9 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+4
50.7%
Demetrius Knight II pass complete to Dontae Smith for 4 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
52.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the BC 27Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
52.0%
Jordan Yates run for 1 yd to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
52.9%
Jordan Yates sacked by Cam Horsley for 0 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 18
OPP 34
-4
51.6%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Nate McCollum for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 38Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 22
OPP 38
+4
50.4%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 18
OPP 34
0
49.4%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4154% → 70%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
46.4%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
46.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+38
47.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 38 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
42.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 12 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
30.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for 14 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:4937% → 39%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
36.8%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 7 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+8
38.8%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Malachi Carter for 8 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
38.3%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 6 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
39.3%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:3137% → 45%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
37.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
37.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
38.7%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
38.9%
Jordan Yates run for 30 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
41.6%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
41.6%
YATES, Jordan pass to the right incomplete intended for WATSON, Kenyatta thrown to the BC 12. PENALTY BC Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards to the BC 12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
41.6%
Jordan Yates run for 3 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+4
39.6%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 4 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
38.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the BC 10Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
37.9%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
44.7%
Brent Cimaglia 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:3859% → 61%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
41.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 12 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
39.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 38Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+16
39.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 16 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
37.8%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 48Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+2
38.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 2 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+1
39.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
38.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Azende Rey at the GTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14INT
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:3041% → 46%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
40.9%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Kalani Norris for 9 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+13
41.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 13 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-15
41.9%
YATES, Jordan pass to the right incomplete intended for LEONARD, Dylan thrown to the GT 45. PENALTY BC Roughing the Passer on HORSLEY, Cam enforced 15 yards from the GT 33 to the GT 48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
45.4%
Jordan Yates run for 27 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
48.2%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
48.0%
Dontae Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+6
45.7%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Dontae Smith for 6 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
48.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the BC 12Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
45.8%
Jordan Yates pass intercepted return for no gain to the BC 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15FG
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:1365% → 77%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
35.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+7
36.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
35.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+10
34.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 10 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-15
33.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Targeting on ELEY, Ayinde enforced (-15 Yards) to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
30.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+15
29.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Juanyeh Thomas) to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
28.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
28.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 13 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
28.0%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
28.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
30.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
22.8%
Connor Lytton 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:5828% → 56%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
27.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kam Arnold) to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
32.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+9
32.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 9 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
34.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Personal Foul (Mike Palmer) to the BC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
34.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 7 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
55.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 6:0557% → 94%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
43.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 7Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 13
OWN 7
0
44.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the BC 7Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 13
OWN 7
+21
46.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 21 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
41.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+17
42.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 17 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
38.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 6
50
+13
37.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 13 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
37.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+3
28.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+31
5.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for 31 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · -15 yds · 1:0711% → 7%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
11.2%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-5
11.1%
YATES, Jordan pass to the left incomplete intended for MCGOWAN, Kyric thrown to the GT 40. PENALTY Before the snap, BC Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the GT 33 to the GT 38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
10.5%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+5
9.9%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
10.4%
Jordan Yates sacked by Joseph Sparacio for 0 yards to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 14
OWN 39
0
9.0%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 14
OWN 39
0
8.6%
Jordan Yates pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
7.1%
Jordan Yates sacked for 0 yards to the GTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5699% → 98%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
1.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
1.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
1.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
1.7%
Connor Lytton 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:214% → 4%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
3.8%
Jordan Yates run for 1 yd to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
3.7%
Jordan Yates run for 2 yds to the GTech 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:48
Phil Jurkovec run for 31 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)
-23
TD · Q4 8:59
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia PAT MISSED)
+20.9
TD · Q2 0:52
Phil Jurkovec run for 14 yds for a TD (Connor Lytton KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com