Try the model
GT

Georgia Tech 30 at Miami 33

MIA
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Hard Rock Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:49 · David Shanahan punt for 34 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+27.0Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:22: J. Gibbs run for 29 yds for a TD, (B. Cimaglia KICK) — GT win probability +6.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:56: Jaylon King 40 Yd Fumble Return (Brent Cimaglia Kick) — GT win probability +7.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:59: J. Knighton run for 2 yds for a TD, (A. Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +9.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:33: J. Sims pass,to J. Gibbs for 50 yds for a TD, (B. Cimaglia KICK) — GT win probability +17.0 pts (now 45%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:27: Key'Shawn Smith 15 Yd pass from Tyler Van Dyke (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MIA win probability +22.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 12:49GT 4th & 11 at MIA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:12GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:00MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:45GT 4th & 5 at GT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:48MIA 4th & 11 at GT 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:07GT 4th & 6 at GT 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:52MIA 4th & 9 at GT 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:16GT 4th & 12 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:03MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.3%−3.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:03GT 4th & 2 at MIA 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.8%−3.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:25GT 4th & 10 at MIA 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:20MIA 4th & 8 at GT 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−2.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−13.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:17GT 4th & 10 at GT 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−5.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:48GT 4th & 5 at GT 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:18MIA 4th & 1 at GT 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%−6.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−20.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:47GT 4th & 22 at GT 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−2.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:47MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 38, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.8 ptsPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−6.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:13GT 4th & 14 at GT 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:10MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:14MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:21GT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:22GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:56GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:59MIA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:33GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:27MIA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    75.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1122% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
77.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 6 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
77.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 7 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
77.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+1
77.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 1 yd to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
77.9%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
77.4%
David Shanahan punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 3:3977% → 79%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
77.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+12
77.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 12 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
77.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
77.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+15
77.3%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Keyshawn thrown to the MIA37. PENALTY GAT Pass Interference on SWILLING, Tre enforced 15 yards to the MIA33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
77.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+20
77.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 20 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
77.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Romello Brinson for 19 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
77.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 14 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
77.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
77.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the GTech 8Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
78.5%
T. Van Dyke pass,to M. Harley for 8 yds for a TD, (A. Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5822% → 22%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
78.0%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
78.4%
David Shanahan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jacolby George at the MiaFl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:5879% → 81%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
78.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 25 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
78.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-2
78.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+35
80.8%
T. Van Dyke pass,to C. Rambo for 35 yds for a TD, (A. Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 2:5320% → 22%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
80.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+4
80.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 4 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+5
80.2%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
80.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 4 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
80.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+71
78.0%
J. Mason run for 71 yds for a TD, (B. Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:0078% → 79%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
78.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
78.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
77.8%
VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Keyshawn thrown to the GAT45. PENALTY GAT Roughing the Passer on WHITE, Keion enforced 15 yards from the MIA23 to the MIA38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
78.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 37 yds to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5122% → 22%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.0%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
77.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
77.5%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-7
77.4%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
78.3%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted return for no gain to the GTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
79.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 19 yds to the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:5722% → 29%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
78.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 6 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+13
78.2%
Jeff Sims run for 13 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
78.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
77.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+27
78.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 12 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
77.1%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+29
71.1%
J. Gibbs run for 29 yds for a TD, (B. Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2274% → 73%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
74.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
73.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 10 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
73.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 45 yds , Azende Rey returns for 5 yds to the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1527% → 27%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
72.6%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
72.6%
Dontae Smith run for 4 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
72.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+16
73.0%
David Shanahan punt for 39 yds , Jacolby George returns for 16 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12FG
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:5775% → 75%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+44
74.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 44 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
75.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 11Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
75.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
75.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
74.7%
Andres Borregales 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4126% → 25%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
74.3%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
74.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
74.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
75.3%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jacolby George at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
67.6%
Jaylon King 40 Yd Fumble Return (Brent Cimaglia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:0468% → 67%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
67.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
66.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 20 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
69.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 7
50
+5
69.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+6
69.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
70.0%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-5
70.1%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (James Williams) to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+17
69.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 17 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
70.9%
Cody Brown run for 1 yd to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
70.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
69.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
66.7%
Andres Borregales 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:3635% → 39%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
65.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
65.2%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+18
65.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 18 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
63.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
63.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+11
64.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 11 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
62.6%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
63.9%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+2
60.6%
Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 12
50
0
61.4%
David Shanahan punt for 24 yds, downed at the MiaFl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0162% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+60
62.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 60 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
66.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+8
66.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.1%
J. Knighton run for 2 yds for a TD, (A. Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:2628% → 45%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
71.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
71.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+10
72.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 10 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
70.4%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
71.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+10
71.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
50
+50
54.9%
J. Sims pass,to J. Gibbs for 50 yds for a TD, (B. Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3059% → 59%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Mike Harley for 6 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
60.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
59.8%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
59.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
61.3%
Cody Brown run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
58.6%
Cody Brown run for no gain to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 12 yds · 4:3847% → 51%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
53.0%
Jeff Sims sacked for 0 yards to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 27
OWN 38
+23
55.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 23 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
53.5%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+4
55.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 4 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
51.8%
Jeff Sims sacked by Tyrique Stevenson and Leonard Taylor for 0 yards to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-3
52.2%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 15
OPP 38
-5
55.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 20
OPP 43
+10
55.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 10 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
48.6%
Brent Cimaglia 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:0551% → 58%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
51.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 9 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
54.2%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.8%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Juanyeh Thomas for 0 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+8
52.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 3
50
+8
54.4%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 8 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
55.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
53.5%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+18
52.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 18 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
55.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the GTech 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
55.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 2 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
53.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
57.6%
Andres Borregales 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5446% → 43%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
54.0%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
54.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
56.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
57.1%
David Shanahan punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaFl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:5060% → 83%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
59.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+9
60.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 9 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+24
60.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Mike Harley for 24 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
82.7%
Key'Shawn Smith 15 Yd pass from Tyler Van Dyke (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3929% → 27%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
71.0%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+6
71.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
72.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
73.0%
David Shanahan punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:3077% → 77%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
77.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 18 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
78.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
79.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
77.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
76.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:3130% → 24%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
69.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+14
71.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 14 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
66.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 5
50
-10
64.2%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the right complete for 9 yards to GIBBS, Jahmyr caught at the GAT44 and advanced to the MIA41 (IVEY, DJ). PENALTY GAT Holding on LEONARD, Dylan enforced 10 yards from the GAT50 to the GAT40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
70.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for no gain to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
71.1%
Jeff Sims sacked by Zach McCloud for 0 yards to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 22
OWN 33
+54
75.6%
David Shanahan punt for 54 yds, downed at the MIAMI 13 MIAMI FL Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:4985% → 92%
Q4 2:47
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+4
85.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 49 yds , Azende Rey returns for 4 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
86.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 9 yds to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+7
86.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
88.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
90.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
92.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the MiaFl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:3413% → 11%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
86.9%
run for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 11 fumbled, recovered by GTech Jeff Sims , return for no gain to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 16
OWN 11
0
87.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+12
88.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 12 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 4
OWN 23
-10
88.1%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the left complete for 18 yards to GIBBS, Jahmyr caught at the GAT24 and advanced to the GAT41, out of bounds. PENALTY GAT Holding on FRANKLIN, Weston enforced 10 yards from the GAT23 to the GAT13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 14
OWN 13
0
89.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:27
Key'Shawn Smith 15 Yd pass from Tyler Van Dyke (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+22.6
TD · Q3 10:33
J. Sims pass,to J. Gibbs for 50 yds for a TD, (B. Cimaglia KICK)
-17
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com