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CLEM

Clemson 30 at Louisville 24

LOU
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+1.9LOU 58.5%James Turner 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 10:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:32 · James Turner 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense+5.8Pregame prior−4.9Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:16: Malik Cunningham run for 23 yds for a TD (Nolan Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +3.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:18: D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 8 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +11.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:29: Malik Cunningham run for 51 yds for a TD (Nolan Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +7.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:12: D.J. Uiagalelei run for 8 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +43.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:19: B.T. Potter 40 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +10.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:46LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:54LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:29LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:25CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:32LOU 4th & 3 at CLEM 26, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:44CLEM 4th & 2 at LOU 21, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%−0.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:33LOU 4th & 15 at CLEM 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:15CLEM 4th & 16 at CLEM 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−3.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:21CLEM 4th & 1 at LOU 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−4.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−15.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:33LOU 4th & 11 at CLEM 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:01CLEM 4th & 14 at LOU 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−3.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:15LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 13, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:17CLEM 4th & 9 at LOU 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−3.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−13.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:11LOU 4th & 14 at LOU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−8.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:40LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 29, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.1%−3.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:19CLEM 4th & 8 at LOU 23, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−2.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−23.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:18LOU 4th & 1 at CLEM 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−13.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−17.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:10LOU 4th & 2 at CLEM 2, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−29.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−34.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:08LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:09CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:16LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:18CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:12CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3243% → 45%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 7 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
43.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
43.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 33Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+9
43.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+15
43.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Nolan Turner) to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
45.0%
J. Mitchell run for 26 yds for a TD, (N. Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4255% → 57%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
44.8%
Kobe Pace run for 12 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
44.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 17 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
43.4%
D. Uiagalelei pass,to B. Collins for 46 yds for a TD, (B. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0944% → 44%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
44.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
43.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
43.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 44 yds, downed at the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2356% → 55%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
44.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 10 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
44.1%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
44.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
44.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for no gain to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
44.9%
Will Spiers punt for 54 yds, downed at the Lvile 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1145% → 45%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
44.6%
Trevion Cooley run for 9 yds to the Lvile 18Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+13
44.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 13 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
45.0%
Trevion Cooley run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-6
46.1%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
45.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+6
44.8%
Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Will Brown returns for 6 yds to the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0055% → 54%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
45.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 10 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
44.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by C.J. Avery for 0 yards to the Clem 32Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+6
45.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 6 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
45.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+2
46.3%
Will Spiers punt for 44 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for 2 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5246% → 46%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.3%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 21Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
46.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 5 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
46.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+40
46.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the Clem 28 , returns for no gain to the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:4449% → 53%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
49.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Clem 27Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+4
49.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 4 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
52.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 23 yds for a TD (Nolan Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2348% → 46%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
51.9%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
52.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Yasir Abdullah for 0 yards to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+4
53.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q2 14:25
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
53.7%
Will Spiers punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Lvile 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:4154% → 59%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
54.0%
Trevion Cooley run for 12 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
55.1%
Trevion Cooley run for 1 yd to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
55.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+13
54.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 13 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
56.3%
Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+8
56.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
56.5%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+44
58.5%
James Turner 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:2841% → 42%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.6%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
58.5%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+26
59.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 26 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
58.3%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Lvile 39Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
58.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+10
59.7%
PHOMMACHANH, Taisun sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the LOU42 (REIGER, Mason). PENALTY LOU Holding on VANCE, Greedy enforced 10 yards from the LOU39 to the LOU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
58.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
58.8%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 23Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+2
60.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
58.4%
B.T. Potter 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:5761% → 62%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
60.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+17
60.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 17 yds to the Lvile 40 fumbled, recovered by Lvile Justin Marshall for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
63.1%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
62.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+14
62.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 14 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
64.7%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 22
OWN 44
+7
62.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Hassan Hall for 7 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
61.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 1:1037% → 52%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
62.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds to the Clem 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
62.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 5 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
62.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+8
63.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
62.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
50
0
60.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
50
+27
61.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 27 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
57.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
58.1%
SHIPLEY, Will rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the LOU16 (TURNER, Jacques). PENALTY LOU Targeting on FAGOT, Jack enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the LOU16 to the LOU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
48.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 8 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.5%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3746% → 43%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 5 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
53.0%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
54.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Dorian Jones and Tabarius Peterson for 0 yards to the Clem 19Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
56.7%
Will Spiers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Lvile 41Similar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
57.4%
QB Keeper CUNNINGHAM, Malik rush to the left for no gain to the LOU41 (TURNER, Nolan), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, LOU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the LOU41 to the LOU36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:0456% → 65%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+12
55.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 12 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
58.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 49Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+51
65.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 51 yds for a TD (Nolan Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4544% → 40%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
55.7%
Phil Mafah run for 11 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
55.9%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the Lvile 5Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
58.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 4 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.7%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the Lvile 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18MISSED FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:3065% → 70%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
64.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 7 yds to the Lvile 8Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+2
64.8%
Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 10
-5
64.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Adonis Boone) to the Lvile 5Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+14
64.2%
Trevion Cooley run for 14 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
66.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+47
66.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 57 yds to the LOUISVILLE 24 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
69.2%
Trevion Cooley run for 6 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+11
70.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
70.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+2
72.0%
Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.4%
Evan Conley run for no gain to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
74.4%
Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
72.8%
Evan Conley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 11
OPP 34
+52
70.0%
James Turner 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1035% → 32%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
64.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 7 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-1
62.3%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+17
64.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 17 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
61.8%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
62.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
63.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 9
OPP 42
-5
66.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Lvile 47Similar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
68.3%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Lvile 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2874% → 72%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
74.1%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
74.0%
Evan Conley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
72.8%
Evan Conley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
71.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 44 yds, downed at the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:4535% → 36%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
64.7%
Will Shipley run for 22 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
60.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-10
60.9%
SHIPLEY, Will rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the LOU26 (ABDULLAH, Yasir). PENALTY CLE Holding on ENNIS, Sage enforced 10 yards from the LOU35 to the LOU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+6
65.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 6 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+21
69.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 21 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
62.9%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+3
63.9%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
66.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
63.8%
B.T. Potter 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5569% → 68%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
69.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 5 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
70.4%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Trenton Simpson for 0 yards to the Lvile 21Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
67.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:4036% → 75%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
63.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
61.1%
PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the right incomplete intended for ROSS, Justyn thrown to the LOU8. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on VANCE, Greedy enforced 15 yards to the LOU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
59.6%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
59.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+10
61.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
58.9%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+2
59.0%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
63.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
68.5%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 8Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
25.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 8 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0745% → 40%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
44.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
44.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 29Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
43.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
39.8%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Andrew Mukuba for 0 yards to the Lvile 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1679% → 90%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
21.3%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Lvile 24Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+1
19.8%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Lvile 23Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
20.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the Lvile 23Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
10.2%
B.T. Potter 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 71 yds · 1:5419% → 16%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
18.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 45 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
22.5%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
21.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+10
15.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+19
17.2%
pass incomplete for a 1ST down to Justin Marshall for 19 yds to the Clem 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
22.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the Clem 2Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
21.2%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 5Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
17.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Clem 2Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
15.7%
Malik Cunningham sacked by James Skalski for 0 yards to the Clem 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:12
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 8 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)
-43.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-15.7
TD · Q2 0:18
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 8 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com