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VT

Virginia Tech 3 at Boston College 17

BC
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2021 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.4BC 66.0%Connor Lytton 33 Yd Field GoalAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q2 6:48
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Q2 6:48 · Connor Lytton 33 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+6.8Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Pregame prior+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:44: Phil Jurkovec 8 Yd Run (Connor Lytton Kick) — BC win probability +3.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: John Parker Romo kickoff for 65 yds , Travis Levy return for 14 yds to the BC 49 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alec Sinkfield) to the BC 7 — VT win probability +3.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:48: Pat Garwo III 3 Yd Run (Connor Lytton Kick) — BC win probability +11.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:35: Knox Kadum pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 14 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down — VT win probability +3.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:28: John Parker Romo 47 Yd Field Goal — VT win probability +5.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:29VT 4th & 11 at VT 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:22VT 4th & 2 at VT 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:12BC 4th & 1 at VT 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.8%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:48BC 4th & 3 at VT 16, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%−0.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:29VT 4th & 6 at VT 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:59BC 4th & 10 at BC 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:44VT 4th & 6 at BC 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:15BC 4th & 6 at BC 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00VT 4th & 7 at VT 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:28VT 4th & 7 at BC 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−6.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:02BC 4th & 8 at BC 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:00VT 4th & 14 at VT 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:44BC 4th & 6 at BC 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:25BC 4th & 3 at VT 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:47VT 4th & 6 at VT 25, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:44BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:48BC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:1748% → 47%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
52.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
52.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 8 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
52.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
52.7%
Tayvion Robinson run for 7 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
52.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
52.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-5
52.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Lecitus Smith) to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+2
52.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
53.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+3
53.2%
Peter Moore punt for 40 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 3 yds to the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 5:0753% → 55%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
53.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 13 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
53.3%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 32Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+11
53.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for 11 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.8%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
53.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
54.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
54.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
54.7%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-7
54.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Dorian Strong return for 7 yds to the VTech 13 Dorian Strong fumbled, forced by Jaelen Gill, recovered by BC Phil JurkovecSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:1355% → 59%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
55.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the VTech 9Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
55.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the VTech 8Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
59.1%
Phil Jurkovec 8 Yd Run (Connor Lytton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0842% → 41%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
58.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
57.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
57.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
58.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
57.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
57.9%
Knox Kadum run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
59.0%
Peter Moore punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 8:2760% → 66%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
59.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
60.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
60.4%
Zay Flowers run for 11 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.6%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
61.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Spencer Witter for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 43Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+10
61.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Spencer Witter for 10 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+1
61.3%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
63.0%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
63.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for 5 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+6
63.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
64.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+5
64.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 5 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
65.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers, broken up by Dorian StrongSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
65.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 9 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-2
65.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
66.0%
Connor Lytton 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0534% → 32%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
66.0%
Tayvion Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
66.7%
Knox Kadum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-5
67.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Drake DeIuliis) to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 16
OWN 22
+10
67.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 10 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
68.0%
Peter Moore punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2467% → 66%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
67.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
66.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
65.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain to the VTech 20 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Brunson) to the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:0833% → 32%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
67.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 27 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
65.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
66.1%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith, broken up by Jaiden WoodbeySimilar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
66.4%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
68.0%
Peter Moore punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:2268% → 69%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
67.9%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 3Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+32
70.0%
Phil Jurkovec run for 17 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Dax Hollifield) to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
71.3%
Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
72.9%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
72.1%
Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
69.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 39Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
69.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds, downed at the VTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 1:0829% → 26%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
71.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 4
OWN 18
0
71.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+7
72.0%
Kadum, Knox pass incomplete to Hodge, Changa, PENALTY BOSTONCOLL pass interference (Jones, Elijah) 7 yards to the VATECH25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
70.9%
Knox Kadum run for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
70.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
71.3%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
71.4%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
72.2%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
73.7%
Peter Moore punt for 53 yds, downed at the BC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 5:5672% → 90%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
71.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 9 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+2
72.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+46
72.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 46 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
75.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+8
76.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
76.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+1
76.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the VTech 12Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+5
76.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the VTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
77.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the VTech 5Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
78.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the VTech 3Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.8%
Pat Garwo III 3 Yd Run (Connor Lytton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:0714% → 17%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
86.2%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 14 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
86.0%
Knox Kadum run for 2 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
87.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+15
88.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 15 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
87.5%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson, broken up by Josh DeBerrySimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
87.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
88.9%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
83.0%
John Parker Romo 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:1088% → 88%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.8%
Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
88.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 1
50
-2
88.5%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 48Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
88.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 43Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+12
88.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 40 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 12 yds to the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5514% → 10%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
86.3%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-3
88.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-7
89.0%
Knox Kadum sacked by Josh DeBerry for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 14
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Peter Moore punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0993% → 93%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
92.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-1
93.0%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
92.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaden Williams, broken up by Jermaine WallerSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
92.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:149% → 8%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
91.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+22
91.2%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 22 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
91.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 11 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
90.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+16
90.5%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Nick Gallo for 16 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
91.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kaden Moore) to the BC 17Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
92.1%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+2
92.1%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 2 yds Tayvion Robinson fumbled, forced by Marcus Valdez, recovered by BC Mike PalmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:5295% → 96%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
94.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the BC 16Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+12
94.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 12 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+35
95.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 35 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-15
95.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaelen Gill) to the BC 48Similar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
95.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
96.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-1
96.1%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
95.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds, downed at the VTech 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:314% → 4%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
95.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 9 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+5
95.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
95.7%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Nick Gallo for 10 yds to the VTech 31 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Tayvion Robinson) to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
95.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-1
95.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
96.1%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+50
96.5%
Peter Moore punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BOSTONCOLL 20 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:1397% → 99%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
97.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
97.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for 7 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
98.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 14 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
98.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
98.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:48
Pat Garwo III 3 Yd Run (Connor Lytton Kick)
+11.8
FG · Q3 5:28
John Parker Romo 47 Yd Field Goal
-5.9
TD · Q1 3:44
Phil Jurkovec 8 Yd Run (Connor Lytton Kick)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com