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BC

Boston College 6 at Syracuse 21

SYR
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:06 · Garrett Shrader sacked by Kam Arnold for 0 yards to the BC 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior+2.1Home team on offense+25.3Score differential+12.4Garbage-time factor+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 9:42: Connor Lytton 24 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +8.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:53: S. Tucker run for 51 yds for a TD, (A. Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +19.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:27: G. Shrader run for 48 yds for a TD, (A. Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +15.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:27: Emmett Morehead run for no gain to the BC 25 — BC win probability +4.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q3 3:00: Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for 64 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +8.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BC made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:48SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:48SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:39BC 4th & 4 at SYR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21BC 4th & 2 at BC 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49SYR 4th & 6 at BC 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:26BC 4th & 7 at SYR 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:52SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:14BC 4th & 12 at BC 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:45SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:01BC 4th & 7 at SYR 38, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−0.7
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:13SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−4.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:23BC 4th & 14 at BC 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:42BC 4th & 7 at SYR 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−10.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:02BC 4th & 5 at BC 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:00BC 4th & 17 at BC 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−4.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 1 at SYR 18, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−1.9
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−7.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:06SYR 4th & 3 at BC 31, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:36BC 4th & 15 at BC 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:00SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 11, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:13BC 4th & 1 at SYR 1, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 7:53SYR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:27SYR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:0766% → 66%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
65.7%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
65.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
65.6%
James Williams punt for 49 yds, downed at the BC 34Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
65.6%
James Williams punt for 49 yds, downed at the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:0934% → 35%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
65.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
65.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+3
65.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
65.5%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 7 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+5
65.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
65.5%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-2
65.5%
Dennis Grosel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+8
65.6%
Dennis Grosel run for 8 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
65.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FUMBLE
17 plays · 55 yds · 7:0766% → 66%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
65.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+23
65.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 23 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
66.0%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+7
66.1%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
66.0%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-5
66.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 41Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+9
65.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 9 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
66.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Holding Personal Foul enforced (Jaelen Gill) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
65.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 22Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+14
65.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 14 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
65.9%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the BC 8Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
65.6%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
65.9%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
65.9%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 3Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
65.6%
Garrett Shrader sacked for 0 yards to the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1136% → 37%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
63.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 5 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
63.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
63.4%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
63.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:3264% → 65%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
64.3%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+7
64.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+37
64.5%
Sean Tucker run for 37 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
65.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 4 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
65.9%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the BC 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
64.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:2337% → 39%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
62.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
62.3%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+44
62.9%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 44 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
61.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 18Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+4
61.2%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 4 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
61.6%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
60.7%
Connor Lytton 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3461% → 60%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Khris Banks for 0 yards to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
60.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+21
59.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
59.9%
James Williams punt for 41 yds, downed at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:3840% → 40%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 9 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
59.5%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to CJ Lewis for 6 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
59.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
59.0%
Emmett Morehead run for 1 yd to the BC 45Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
59.3%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Stefon Thompson for 0 yards to the BC 38Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
59.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the Syrac 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2959% → 56%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
58.5%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
58.4%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
57.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
56.3%
James Williams punt for 38 yds, downed at the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:4443% → 44%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
57.1%
Travis Levy run for 8 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+6
56.1%
Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
56.0%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
56.2%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the BC 48Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+11
57.1%
Emmett Morehead run for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
55.6%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
55.8%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+2
56.1%
Emmett Morehead run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
56.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the Syrac 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:4856% → 53%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
56.0%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 8Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
55.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
54.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Syrac 4Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 14
OWN 4
0
53.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 14
OWN 4
0
53.0%
James Williams punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:0347% → 44%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
53.3%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for 0 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+8
56.1%
Travis Levy run for 8 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-2
53.7%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
55.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds, downed at the Syrac 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
51.8%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:1446% → 56%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
54.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
53.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
53.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
53.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
52.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+40
52.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 40 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
50.7%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
50.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for 5 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+6
51.9%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
50.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 9Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
50.7%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Stefon Thompson and Cody Roscoe for 0 yards to the Syrac 11Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
52.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Spencer Witter for 4 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
44.4%
Connor Lytton 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:4448% → 68%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
47.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+14
48.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 14 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
49.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
68.4%
S. Tucker run for 51 yds for a TD, (A. Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4635% → 33%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
63.6%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
64.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
66.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for 4 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:3565% → 84%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
65.4%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+15
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 15 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
67.9%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
68.6%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+48
84.1%
G. Shrader run for 48 yds for a TD, (A. Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2720% → 10%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Emmett Morehead run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for 0 yards to the BC 18Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
81.1%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+64
90.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for 64 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 30 yds · 6:0811% → 7%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
88.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 9 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
88.3%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
88.1%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 45Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+28
88.3%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to CJ Lewis for 28 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
89.4%
Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+8
90.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 8 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
90.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
90.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-22
89.4%
run for a loss of 22 yards to the Syrac 37 fumbled, recovered by BC Emmett MoreheadSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 32
OPP 37
0
90.9%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 32
OPP 37
0
91.5%
Emmett Morehead sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for 0 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 40
OPP 45
0
93.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:4695% → 96%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
94.8%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+41
94.8%
Sean Tucker run for 41 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
95.3%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
95.3%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the BC 33Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+2
95.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
95.8%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Kam Arnold for 0 yards to the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:306% → 5%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.5%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
94.5%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-5
94.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the BC 40Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
95.2%
Emmett Morehead pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
95.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 54 yds, downed at the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:3696% → 97%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
95.8%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 7
OWN 9
-1
95.8%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+3
95.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 5
OWN 11
+33
96.7%
James Williams punt for 41 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 33 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:475% → 4%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
94.7%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.7%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
94.7%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Spencer Witter for 8 yds to the Syrac 1Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.1%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.2%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:1198% → 98%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+10
97.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
97.9%
Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
98.0%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
98.1%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+7
98.1%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.2%
Cooper Lutz run for 7 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
98.2%
Cooper Lutz run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:53
S. Tucker run for 51 yds for a TD, (A. Szmyt KICK)
+19.4
TD · Q3 4:27
G. Shrader run for 48 yds for a TD, (A. Szmyt KICK)
+15.5
PUNT · Q3 3:00
Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for 64 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com