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VT

Virginia Tech 26 at Georgia Tech 17

GT
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:35 · Peter Moore punt for 40 yds , Azende Rey returns for no gain to the GTech 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−12.5Pregame prior+5.0Score differential−6.7Garbage-time factor−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:20: Tayvion Robinson 4 Yd pass from Braxton Burmeister (John Parker Romo Kick) — VT win probability +5.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:01: John Parker Romo 43 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +7.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:14: John Parker Romo 34 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +12.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:05: Adonicas Sanders 23 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Brent Cimaglia Kick) — GT win probability +20.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 4:21: John Parker Romo 21 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +15.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:45VT 4th & 4 at VT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08GT 4th & 5 at GT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21GT 4th & 4 at VT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:20VT 4th & 1 at GT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:25GT 4th & 9 at VT 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00VT 4th & 3 at VT 31, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:19VT 4th & 11 at GT 47, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:45GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:51VT 4th & 6 at GT 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:46GT 4th & 8 at GT 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:22GT 4th & 11 at VT 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:35VT 4th & 4 at VT 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:14VT 4th & 10 at GT 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−10.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:23GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:23VT 4th & 12 at GT 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:39VT 4th & 1 at VT 30, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−4.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:22GT 4th & 2 at VT 12, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%−1.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−15.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:21VT 4th & 4 at GT 4, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−12.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:02GT 4th & 10 at GT 30, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:51VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:21GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:20VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:05GT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1537% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
62.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
62.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-2
62.9%
Peter Moore punt for 41 yds , Azende Rey returns for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3763% → 63%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
62.8%
Dontae Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+16
62.8%
Jeff Sims run for 16 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
62.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
62.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
62.9%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+7
62.7%
David Shanahan punt for 47 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 7 yds to the VTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:1737% → 39%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
62.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 15 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
62.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
62.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+69
60.8%
Tre Turner 69 Yd pass from Braxton Burmeister (John Parker Romo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3061% → 63%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
60.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 14 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
61.0%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
61.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+7
61.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kalani Norris for 7 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
61.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Joshua Robinson for 1 yd to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+15
61.4%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the right complete for -3 yards to MASON, Jordan caught at the VT 50 and advanced to the VT 50 (WILLIAMS, Jordan;TISDALE, Alan). PENALTY VT Face mask on GARBUTT, TyJuan enforced 15 yards from the VT 47 to the VT 32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
61.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
61.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
61.4%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+26
62.8%
Kyric McGowan 26 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Brent Cimaglia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0138% → 44%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
62.0%
Tayvion Robinson run for 5 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
62.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
61.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
61.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
61.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (26 yards) (26 Yards) to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
61.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
61.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
61.3%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+4
56.3%
Tayvion Robinson 4 Yd pass from Braxton Burmeister (John Parker Romo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:4857% → 56%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
56.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 12 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
57.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 23 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
58.4%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
58.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
57.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
56.0%
David Shanahan punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
21 plays · 35 yds · 6:0644% → 48%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
55.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-4
55.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offsides (-4 Yards) to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
55.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
55.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 8 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
54.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+8
54.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 8 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
54.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 7 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+3
54.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
54.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
54.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+10
54.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
54.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
55.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for no gain to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+8
55.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 8 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
54.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 8 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
50.3%
Peter Moore punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyric McGowan at the GTech 7Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 11
OPP 47
+2
52.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+2
52.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the GTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3452% → 49%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+18
52.4%
Jeff Sims run for 18 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
53.0%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
52.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
49.3%
David Shanahan punt for 43 yds, downed at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:5452% → 56%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
48.4%
Tre Turner run for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
47.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+61
47.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 61 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
46.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
43.9%
John Parker Romo 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:0544% → 40%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 9 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
45.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
44.4%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
44.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-15
44.8%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the left complete for 53 yards to SANDERS, Adonicas caught at the GT 45 and advanced to the VT 6 (DALEY, Tae). PENALTY GT Pass Interference on MCGOWAN, Kyric enforced 15 yards to the GT 26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 20
OWN 26
+12
43.4%
Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
40.3%
David Shanahan punt for 52 yds, downed at the VTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 1:4557% → 72%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
43.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+25
43.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 25 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
41.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+12
38.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 12 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
37.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 10 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
37.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 11 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
35.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+43
28.4%
John Parker Romo 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:3038% → 37%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
38.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+21
37.8%
Jeff Sims run for 21 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
39.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+6
38.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 6 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+10
39.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
41.4%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
41.4%
SIMS, Jeff pass up the middle complete for 19 yards to COCO, Jack caught at the VT 15 and advanced to the VT 0, End of Play. PENALTY GT Holding on JOHNSON, Ryan enforced 10 yards from the VT 19 to the VT 29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+5
40.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+4
38.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jack Coco for 4 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
36.6%
Brent Cimaglia 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4763% → 63%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
36.9%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Zamari Walton for 0 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
38.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 10 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
37.1%
Peter Moore punt for 40 yds , Azende Rey returns for no gain to the GTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
35.0%
Jeff Sims sacked for 0 yards to the GTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:1467% → 78%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
33.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+7
33.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 7 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
33.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 13
OPP 20
-5
33.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 18
OPP 25
+8
34.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 8 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
22.4%
John Parker Romo 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5129% → 27%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.9%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+24
26.9%
David Shanahan punt for 53 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 24 yds to the VTech 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:0080% → 83%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
19.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 6
50
+3
19.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+3
20.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
19.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
19.7%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Ja'Quon Griffin for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 16
50
+15
20.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jordan Domineck) to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
19.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
19.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
19.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+3
20.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+53
17.1%
John Parker Romo 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:1824% → 48%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
24.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 20 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
26.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 21 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
27.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
47.8%
Adonicas Sanders 23 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Brent Cimaglia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2165% → 66%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
34.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
33.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
33.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
33.7%
Peter Moore punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Azende Rey at the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:1740% → 39%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+61
39.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 61 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
47.4%
Dontae Smith run for 4 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
47.4%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the VTech 15Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+3
45.0%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+1
38.7%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the VTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21FG
13 plays · 85 yds · 7:0169% → 89%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
31.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 9 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+5
29.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
30.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for 24 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
27.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kaden Moore) to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+8
28.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+27
26.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Nick Gallo for 27 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
25.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+2
25.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
26.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
25.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
25.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
26.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
11.5%
John Parker Romo 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:1513% → 9%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
13.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 6 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
13.9%
Jeff Sims sacked by Amare Barno for 0 yards to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 15
OWN 14
-16
11.9%
SIMS, Jeff pass to the left incomplete thrown to the GT 29. PENALTY VT Roughing the Passer on TISDALE, Alan enforced 16 yards from the GT 14 to the GT 30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
13.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
13.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
12.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
9.3%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted return for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:5892% → 96%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
8.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+6
7.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+12
7.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 12 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
4.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
4.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+10
4.5%
Malachi Thomas run for 10 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:05
Adonicas Sanders 23 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Brent Cimaglia Kick)
+20.1
FG · Q4 4:21
John Parker Romo 21 yd FG GOOD
-15.2
FG · Q3 6:14
John Parker Romo 34 yd FG GOOD
-12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com