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FSU

Florida State 20 at Clemson 30

CLEM
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:02 · Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense+17.1Garbage-time factor+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Score differential+5.4Blowout margin+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:14: Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 75 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:41: Will Shipley run for 2 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +7.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:57: B.T. Potter 37 yd FG MISSED — CLEM win probability +4.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:53: Will Shipley run for 21 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — FSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Barrett Carter 3 Yd Fumble Return — CLEM win probability +7.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8FSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:10CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:04FSU 4th & 12 at FSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:32CLEM 4th & 7 at FSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:12CLEM 4th & 4 at FSU 31, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:12FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:29FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45CLEM 4th & 20 at CLEM 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:47FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.9%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:57CLEM 4th & 5 at FSU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:00FSU 4th & 12 at FSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:32FSU 4th & 10 at CLEM 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:00CLEM 4th & 6 at FSU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−9.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:02FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:36CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:48FSU 4th & 9 at FSU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:23CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:19FSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:14FSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:41CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5073% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
72.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 4 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+2
72.6%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+10
72.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 10 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
72.3%
Will Spiers punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:0628% → 28%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
72.3%
Jordan Travis sacked by Trenton Simpson for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
72.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+5
72.4%
Corbin,Jashaun rush for 5 yards gain to the FSU10 (Davis,Tyler) PENALTY CLE Offside (Ross,Justyn) 5 yards from FSU05 to FSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+5
72.4%
Travis,Jordan pass complete to Toafili,Lawrance for 4 yards to the FSU14 (Simpson,Trenton) PENALTY CLE Offside (Spector,Baylon) 5 yards from FSU10 to FSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+15
72.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 15 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
72.2%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
72.3%
Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
72.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
71.8%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:3272% → 72%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
71.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+14
71.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 14 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
71.7%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
71.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
72.0%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+18
72.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 18 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
72.2%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
72.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
71.8%
B.T. Potter 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1328% → 34%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
71.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 15 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
71.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
71.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jadarius Green-McKnightSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+24
71.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 24 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
70.6%
Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+11
70.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 11 yds to the Clem 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
70.6%
Ward,Treshaun rush for 5 yards gain to the CLE05 (Skalski,James) PENALTY CLE Offside (Williams,Tr) 5 yards from CLE10 to CLE05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
70.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the Clem 3Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
70.6%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.1%
PENALTY CLE Offside (Page,Payton). NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:4867% → 70%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 9 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
68.0%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
68.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
67.6%
Will Shipley run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
68.6%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+14
67.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 14 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
68.8%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
69.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
68.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
69.5%
B.T. Potter 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0033% → 32%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 9
OWN 32
+4
67.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
66.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+1
67.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
68.1%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:4469% → 73%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+63
68.5%
Phil Mafah run for 63 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
70.8%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
70.8%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
72.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 11 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
62.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 75 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 4:2863% → 74%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
62.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 1 yd to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
62.7%
Will Shipley run for 7 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+4
62.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
63.1%
Will Shipley run for 14 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
64.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 19 yds to the CLEMSON 38 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keir Thomas) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
65.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 11 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
66.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+22
66.3%
Will Shipley run for 22 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
66.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.0%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:1230% → 28%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.7%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Parchment,Andrew) 5 yards from FSU25 to FSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
69.9%
Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
70.2%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
70.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+17
71.6%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 41 yds , Will Brown returns for 17 yds to the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:4474% → 70%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
73.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Phil Mafah for 4 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 14
OWN 45
0
72.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+6
71.1%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 20
OWN 39
+11
69.8%
Will Spiers punt for 54 yds , Treshaun Ward returns for 11 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
71.5%
Jordan Travis sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:1330% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
70.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 15 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
68.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
69.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+12
71.2%
Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
68.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:5073% → 77%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
73.1%
PENALTY CLE False Start (Shipley,Will) 5 yards from FSU49 to CLE46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+29
71.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 29 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
73.8%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
73.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 4 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
72.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
77.4%
B.T. Potter 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:5724% → 22%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
75.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
75.5%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
75.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+14
76.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 14 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
73.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
74.6%
Jordan Travis sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 15
OWN 42
-3
76.6%
Jordan Travis sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 45 Jordan Travis fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Maurice Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
77.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:5780% → 79%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
80.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
79.7%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
79.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:3127% → 23%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
73.4%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Love-Taylor,Devontay) 5 yards from CLE42 to CLE47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+2
74.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+7
74.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 7 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+1
73.9%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
75.2%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Gibbons,Dillan) 5 yards from CLE37 to CLE42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
77.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18FUMBLE
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:4080% → 87%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
79.9%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+6
80.3%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
80.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Keir Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 15Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+3
80.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+12
79.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 12 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
80.6%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
80.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+25
84.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 25 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
86.9%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
87.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 2 yds E.J. Williams fumbled, forced by Jammie Robinson, recovered by FlaSt Amari GainerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
80.1%
Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:4487% → 87%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
87.3%
Will Shipley run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
87.3%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
87.6%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
87.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Ajou AjouSimilar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+15
86.5%
Uiagalelei,DJ pass incomplete to Swinney,Drew PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Jones,Jarrian) 15 yards from FSU32 to FSU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
87.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
87.6%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
86.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
87.3%
B.T. Potter 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:5813% → 10%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
86.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 24 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
84.7%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
84.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
84.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 5
OWN 49
-5
85.9%
PENALTY FSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FSU49 to FSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
90.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2389% → 90%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
89.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 9 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 23
0
89.8%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Clem 23Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-5
89.3%
PENALTY CLE False Start (Tate,Marcus) 5 yards from CLE23 to CLE18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+6
90.0%
Jermaine Johnson II 6 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
89.8%
PENALTY FSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from FSU35 to FSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5791% → 91%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.3%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
91.5%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-8
91.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
91.0%
Will Spiers punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:488% → 7%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
92.3%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Washington,Darius) 5 yards from FSU19 to FSU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
92.4%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+2
92.4%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+3
92.5%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
93.1%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Will Swinney at the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:5594% → 89%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
93.5%
Uiagalelei,DJ pass incomplete to Collins,Beaux PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Knowles II,Kevin) 15 yards from CLE42 to FSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
93.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+15
93.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (DJ Lundy) to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
88.7%
Will Shipley run for 21 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · -9 yds · 1:3126% → 17%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
74.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
72.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.7%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
72.5%
Jordan Travis sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-19
81.4%
Jordan Travis sacked for a loss of 19 yards to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 32
OWN 17
0
83.3%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:0393% → 96%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
92.7%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
93.6%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 35Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Clem 35Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
95.7%
Will Spiers punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:239% → 3%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+24
91.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 24 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
96.9%
Barrett Carter 3 Yd Fumble Return Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:14
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 75 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q2 3:41
Will Shipley run for 2 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q4 0:00
Barrett Carter 3 Yd Fumble Return
+7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com