Try the model
SYR

Syracuse 41 at Virginia Tech 36

VT
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Lane Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:35 · Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense+9.3Pregame prior+2.1Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:52: Malachi Thomas 2 Yd Run (John Parker Romo Kick) — VT win probability +14.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:35: Garrett Shrader 3 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +26.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:36: Malachi Thomas 47 Yd Run (John Parker Romo Kick) — VT win probability +16.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:28: Courtney Jackson 12 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +28.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 0:19: Damien Alford 45 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +68.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 4:28SYR 4th & 1 at VT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:20SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:53VT 4th & 25 at VT 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:27SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:28VT 4th & 12 at VT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:08VT 4th & 8 at SYR 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:07VT 4th & 10 at VT 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:14SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:49SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:35VT 4th & 4 at SYR 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−1.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:27SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.0%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:54VT 4th & 6 at SYR 16, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−3.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−16.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:23SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:14SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 27, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−5.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04VT 4th & 17 at VT 38, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−10.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:43SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 36, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.0%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:39VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:28SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:02VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:13SYR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:52VT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:35SYR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:36VT Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:28SYR Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−1.8
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:19SYR Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0657% → 60%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 8 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
56.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
56.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
56.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 1 yd to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+12
56.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 12 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
57.3%
Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+1
57.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+11
57.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 11 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
57.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+10
57.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 10 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
58.0%
run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
60.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Drake DeIuliis for 22 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0541% → 44%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.4%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
59.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
59.6%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
59.8%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43 run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+20
59.5%
Sean Tucker run for 20 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
59.6%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+3
59.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 3 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+4
59.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+28
56.4%
Sean Tucker run for 28 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:0857% → 65%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
57.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
56.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 7 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
58.0%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
58.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
58.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
50
+12
58.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 12 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
59.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 30 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST down pass incomplete for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
59.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
64.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2737% → 36%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.8%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
62.0%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
62.7%
TUCKER, Sean rush up the middle for no gain to the SYR34 (TISDALE, Alan;BARNO, Amare). PENALTY Before the snap, SYR False Start enforced 4 yards from the SYR34 to the SYR30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
63.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
64.3%
James Williams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:0464% → 64%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+30
64.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 30 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
65.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-7
65.9%
Tre Turner run for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
64.6%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Stefon Thompson for 0 yards to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 25
OWN 45
0
63.7%
Peter Moore punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0935% → 34%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
64.6%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
65.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+9
65.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
66.0%
James Williams punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4867% → 67%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
67.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
68.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
67.9%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Marlowe Wax for 0 yards to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
65.7%
Peter Moore punt for 57 yds, downed at the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
66.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (McKinley Williams) to the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 4:1433% → 45%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+2
66.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+10
67.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 10 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
67.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 7 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+38
66.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 38 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
64.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+1
65.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 1 yd to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+24
67.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 24 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
63.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
63.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+4
64.6%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
54.9%
Garrett Shrader 9 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9FG
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:2761% → 69%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+38
61.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 38 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
64.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
64.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
64.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
69.1%
John Parker Romo 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 0:5232% → 38%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
68.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 18 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
66.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 12 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
64.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 23 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
62.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+21
62.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
62.0%
Andre Szmyt 19 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2834% → 53%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
65.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
66.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 8 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.6%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+17
65.4%
Sean Tucker run for 17 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
63.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 17 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
61.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+21
47.4%
Garrett Shrader 21 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5554% → 52%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
53.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 20Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+19
53.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 19 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
54.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
53.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+39
51.7%
Peter Moore punt for 39 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 39 yds to the VTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:1648% → 45%
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
52.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
53.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 13
+6
54.9%
James Williams punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 6 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:0858% → 74%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
57.9%
Tre Turner run for 26 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
59.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+12
59.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 12 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
59.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.1%
Malachi Thomas 2 Yd Run (John Parker Romo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5932% → 30%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
68.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+40
69.9%
James Williams punt for 49 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 40 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5874% → 72%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
74.3%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
74.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+4
73.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
72.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:2333% → 58%
Q3 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
66.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-2
68.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the Syrac 45 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+10
70.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 10 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+9
68.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 9 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
65.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
66.3%
Trebor Pena run for 17 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
63.3%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
63.6%
Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
62.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-8
62.9%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 24 fumbled, recovered by Syrac Sean TuckerSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+21
68.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 21 yds to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
42.0%
Garrett Shrader 3 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19FG
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2150% → 67%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
50.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 10 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
50.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 45 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
57.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
57.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-1
54.7%
Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 16Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
66.9%
John Parker Romo 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 2:2837% → 33%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
62.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 6 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
64.8%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.4%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Dax Hollifield and TyJuan Garbutt for 0 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
64.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-5
65.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
66.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
67.5%
James Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:2367% → 92%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
67.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
66.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 11 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
70.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Nick Gallo for 8 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+1
75.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+47
91.6%
Malachi Thomas 47 Yd Run (John Parker Romo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:2911% → 38%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
88.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 9 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
88.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+15
88.4%
Sean Tucker run for 15 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
87.5%
Courtney Jackson run for 12 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
87.7%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 11Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
90.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 12 fumbled, recovered by Syrac Garrett ShraderSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
61.8%
Courtney Jackson 12 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:1075% → 86%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
75.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 16 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
80.9%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
82.2%
Tayvion Robinson run for 1 yd to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
87.1%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Rob Hanna for 0 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 17
OWN 38
+15
85.9%
Peter Moore punt for 47 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 15 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 0:3926% → 95%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
75.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+6
76.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+6
75.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
73.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 13 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
5.2%
Damien Alford 45 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:0613% → 12%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+29
13.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 29 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
14.5%
BURMEISTER, Braxton pass to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Tayvion thrown to the VT50. PENALTY SYR Pass Interference on CHESTNUT, Darian enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the SYR48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
12.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:19
Damien Alford 45 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)
-68.6
TD · Q4 2:28
Courtney Jackson 12 Yd pass from Garrett Shrader (Andre Szmyt Kick)
-28.9
TD · Q4 13:35
Garrett Shrader 3 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)
-26.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com