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Georgia Tech 40 at Virginia 48

UVA
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.7UVA 59.6%Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 16 - HOME 7 · Q2 12:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:54 · Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+20.5+10.30−10.3−20.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+14.7Home team on offense−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−2.6Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:28: Dontae Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia PAT BLOCKED) — GT win probability +5.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:51: Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 13 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) — UVA win probability +6.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:36: Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 77 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK) — UVA win probability +6.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:23: Brendan Farrell 24 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +4.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:00: Jahmyr Gibbs 71 Yd Run (Avery Boyd Pass to for Two-Point Conversion) — GT win probability +14.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:33UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:54GT 4th & 5 at UVA 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−3.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:59GT 4th & 9 at GT 26, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:23UVA 4th & 6 at GT 6, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:44GT 4th & 5 at GT 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:41UVA 4th & 6 at GT 8, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−7.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:41GT 4th & 5 at GT 42, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:51GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−4.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:26UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−3.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:26GT 4th & 1 at GT 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.7%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:59GT 4th & 9 at UVA 17, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−4.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−15.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:20GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:28GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:53UVA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:51UVA Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:36UVA Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:00GT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+25
70.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 25 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
70.5%
Jordan Mason run for 12 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
69.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 36 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4770% → 69%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd to the Virg 26Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
69.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 1 yd to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
69.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
68.7%
Jacob Finn punt for 52 yds , Azende Rey returns for 2 yds to the GTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:0531% → 37%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
68.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
68.8%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani NorrisSimilar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+14
68.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 14 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
68.6%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
68.6%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
68.6%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
68.6%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+16
68.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 16 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
68.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 7 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+6
68.5%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
68.5%
Sims,Jeff pass intercepted by Blount,Joey at UVA00 Blount,Joey return 42 yards to the UVA42 (Leonard,Dylan; Sanders,Adonicas) PENALTY UVA Personal Foul (Taylor,Noah) 8 yards from UVA16 to UVA08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
68.5%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the Virg 3Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.2%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3565% → 68%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
65.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 16 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
65.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+17
65.3%
Brennan Armstrong run for 17 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
65.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+7
66.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
66.1%
Keytaon Thompson run for 12 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
66.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 9 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+6
66.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 6 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 4:5935% → 40%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
64.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
64.7%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
64.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 17 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
64.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 2 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+9
64.0%
Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
62.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 11 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
62.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 8 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
62.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
62.0%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
62.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the Virg 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
62.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani NorrisSimilar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
59.6%
Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 3:0359% → 68%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
59.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 1 yd to the Virg 18Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
59.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 5 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+14
58.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 14 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
59.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 45 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
61.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
61.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
67.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 13 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7INT
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:2736% → 40%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
64.3%
Jordan Mason run for 21 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
62.8%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
62.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 10 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
62.5%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+4
61.8%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
59.6%
Jeff Sims pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:4864% → 71%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
64.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
64.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ra'Shaun HenrySimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+77
71.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 77 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:3730% → 29%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
70.1%
Gibbs,Jahmyr rush for 15 yards gain to the GT40 (Grant,Nick; Blount,Joey) PENALTY GT Holding (McGowan,Kyric) 10 yards from GT25 to GT15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
70.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+11
70.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 11 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
71.2%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
71.5%
David Shanahan punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:3674% → 78%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
73.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
73.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 15 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
73.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 28 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.3%
Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
74.3%
Keytaon Thompson run for 4 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
73.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
77.5%
Brendan Farrell 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:3923% → 23%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
76.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
75.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
74.8%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
75.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
77.3%
David Shanahan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:4478% → 81%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
77.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+6
77.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
76.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+12
75.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 12 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
79.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 14 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
80.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:1979% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
78.8%
Brennan Armstrong sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the Virg 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+8
78.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 8 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+23
77.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 23 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
80.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 14 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
80.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+9
80.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
80.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 19 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
80.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant MischSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
80.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+6
79.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
82.8%
Brendan Farrell 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4118% → 33%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
67.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs 71 Yd Run (Avery Boyd Pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4767% → 70%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
66.8%
Keytaon Thompson run for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
68.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 20 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
70.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Wesley Walker) to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
71.3%
Brennan Armstrong run for 14 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
71.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the GTech 7Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
71.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.0%
B. Armstrong run for 4 yds for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:3235% → 35%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
64.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 7 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
64.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
62.0%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
62.8%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
64.8%
David Shanahan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:4066% → 71%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
65.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+6
67.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
67.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 14 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
70.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
69.6%
Keytaon Thompson run for 4 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+6
69.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
70.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 24 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
71.1%
B. Armstrong run for 14 yds for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0936% → 32%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
64.9%
Dontae Smith run for 28 yds to the VIRGINIA 47 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamal Camp) to the GTech 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
65.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 7 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
66.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jordan MasonSimilar
Q4 13:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
67.8%
David Shanahan punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2565% → 62%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
65.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
64.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-5
64.2%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Oluwatimi,Olusegun) 5 yards from UVA29 to UVA24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
63.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+4
61.8%
Jacob Finn punt for 45 yds , Azende Rey returns for 4 yds to the GTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:2738% → 39%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
62.3%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
59.9%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
59.9%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+38
61.6%
Jeff Sims run for 38 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
56.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Virg 19Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
56.8%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+2
59.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the Virg 17Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
60.7%
Brent Cimaglia 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 5:0963% → 72%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
63.3%
Devin Darrington run for 5 yds to the Virg 9Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+14
62.8%
Devin Darrington run for 14 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
64.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+20
64.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 20 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
68.7%
Devin Darrington run for 3 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+20
68.9%
Keytaon Thompson run for 20 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
71.4%
Keytaon Thompson run for 7 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+7
71.3%
Keytaon Thompson run for 7 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
72.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 20 yds for a TD (Brendan Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3439% → 42%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
60.9%
Jeff Sims sacked by Elliott Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 18Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
62.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 5 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
63.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 14 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
58.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 11 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
55.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+10
54.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 10 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
54.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+37
58.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kalani Norris for 37 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:5440% → 45%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
60.2%
Sims,Jeff pass incomplete to Carter,Malachi PENALTY UVA Pass Interference (Johnson,Anthony) 15 yards from GT49 to UVA36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
57.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 7 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
55.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani NorrisSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+15
56.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 15 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
55.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 9 yds to the Virg 5Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
54.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:2038% → 33%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
50
+7
61.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 7 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+12
57.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 12 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
56.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
66.8%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+33.2
TD · Q3 9:00
Jahmyr Gibbs 71 Yd Run (Avery Boyd Pass to for Two-Point Conversion)
-14.8
TD · Q2 6:36
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 77 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com