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CLEM

Clemson 17 at Pittsburgh 27

PITT
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:39 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:18: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds for a TD CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Clem 1 (Sam Scarton KICK) — PITT win probability +10.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:40: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 39 yds for a TD (Sam Scarton KICK) — PITT win probability +8.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:30: D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted for a TD SirVocea Dennis return for 50 yds for a TD (Sam Scarton KICK) — PITT win probability +12.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:10: Sam Scarton 44 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +5.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:56: D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +10.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:18PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:50CLEM 4th & 6 at PITT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:20PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:58PITT 4th & 12 at PITT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:44CLEM 4th & 7 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:19PITT 4th & 16 at CLEM 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:37CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:52CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:40PITT 4th & 5 at CLEM 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:56CLEM 4th & 12 at PITT 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−6.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:10PITT 4th & 10 at CLEM 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    80.2%−5.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:18CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:30PITT 4th & 11 at CLEM 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:29CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:18PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:40PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:30PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:56CLEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3365% → 64%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
64.5%
Taysir Mack run for 4 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
64.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 3 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-5
64.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Marquis Williams) to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-3
64.4%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Trenton Simpson for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
64.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2436% → 36%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
64.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+10
64.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-5
64.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Matt Bockhorst) to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
64.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
64.3%
Will Spiers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the Pitt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2364% → 64%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
64.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Lucas KrullSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
64.3%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 9Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+6
64.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 6 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
63.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4INT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1236% → 37%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
64.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
64.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 15 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
63.6%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+8
63.5%
Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
63.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
63.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Brown for 12 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
63.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted Damarri Mathis return for 15 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:0264% → 63%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
64.0%
Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
64.0%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
63.6%
Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
64.0%
Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
64.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+9
63.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 9 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
64.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-2
64.2%
Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 42Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
63.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Lucas KrullSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
63.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:2337% → 44%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
63.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 18 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
63.0%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-2
62.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+36
62.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Ajou Ajou for 36 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
61.6%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+10
61.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 10 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
61.0%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.1%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:1958% → 59%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Vincent DavisSimilar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
58.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 4 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
58.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 9 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
58.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Lucas Krull for 16 yds Lucas Krull fumbled, forced by Nolan Turner, recovered by Clem Etinosa ReubenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:1744% → 44%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
56.3%
Kobe Pace run for 12 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
55.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
55.2%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 7
50
0
54.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 7
50
0
55.8%
Will Spiers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the Pitt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:1656% → 55%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
56.4%
Israel Abanikanda run for 24 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
56.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 25 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
58.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
58.0%
Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-9
57.6%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Baylon Spector for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
54.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 44 yds, downed at the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:3945% → 49%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
55.2%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+10
55.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
54.6%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+7
53.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 7 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
53.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 24Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+14
53.5%
Will Shipley run for 14 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
51.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
51.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 6 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
49.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Davis AllenSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+45
50.8%
Will Spiers punt for 45 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:1552% → 66%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
51.7%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
51.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 6 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
50.7%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
51.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
51.0%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+13
49.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 13 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
51.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 8 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
52.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
52.1%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+29
52.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 29 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
54.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
55.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 3 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
66.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds for a TD CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Clem 1 (Sam Scarton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:2040% → 39%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Ajou AjouSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
61.0%
Will Spiers punt for 51 yds, downed at the Pitt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 2:0662% → 73%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
62.1%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
62.2%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Wayne, Jared, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Simpson, Trenton) 9 yards to the PITTSBURGH35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
62.4%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Warren, Carter) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+2
61.8%
Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+15
61.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Israel Abanikanda for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Baylon Spector) to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
63.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 7 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
64.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 7 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
65.0%
Kenny Pickett run for 5 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
65.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jaylon BardenSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
64.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Israel AbanikandaSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+39
72.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 39 yds for a TD (Sam Scarton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1828% → 25%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
71.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Habakkuk Baldonado for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
74.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Ajou AjouSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+8
75.1%
Kobe Pace run for 8 yds to the Clem 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15INT TD
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2428% → 18%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.1%
Kobe Pace run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
71.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 9 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
71.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the Clem 46 D.J. Uiagalelei fumbled, forced by Brandon Hill, recovered by Clem Ajou AjouSimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
70.1%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
70.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
69.9%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-50
82.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted for a TD SirVocea Dennis return for 50 yds for a TD (Sam Scarton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:2317% → 19%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
83.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
83.5%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+14
84.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Justyn Ross for 14 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
83.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 17 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
82.1%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
81.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
83.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Will Shipley for 5 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
82.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-2
83.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
81.5%
B.T. Potter 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 5:4183% → 92%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.9%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
83.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 7 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.2%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 39Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+13
84.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 13 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
85.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jaylon Barden for no gain to the Clem 48Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+22
85.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 22 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
85.8%
Pickett, Kenny rush for 3 yards to the CLEMSON23, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Kradel, Jake) 10 yards to the CLEMSON36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+2
86.1%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 18
OPP 34
-8
86.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 7 yds to the Clem 27 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (Vincent Davis) to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 26
OPP 42
+16
86.7%
Israel Abanikanda run for 16 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-10
86.6%
Pickett, Kenny pass complete to Jacques-Louis, Shocky for 12 yards to the CLEMSON14, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Minor, Marcus) 10 yards to the CLEMSON36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 20
OPP 36
+10
86.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 10 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
92.3%
Sam Scarton 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4211% → 9%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
88.6%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
88.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
89.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Ajou AjouSimilar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
90.7%
Will Spiers punt for 48 yds , Melquise Stovall returns for no gain to the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:4393% → 96%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.9%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+18
93.1%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 18 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
93.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
93.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+13
93.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Lucas Krull for 13 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
94.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 10 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
94.5%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 13 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
94.7%
Hammond Jr., Rodney rush for 2 yards to the CLEMSON13, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Houy, Gabe) 10 yards to the CLEMSON25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 20
OPP 25
-5
94.9%
Hammond Jr., Rodney rush for 6 yards to the CLEMSON19, PENALTY PITTSBURGH illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 25
OPP 30
+2
95.0%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 23
OPP 28
+12
95.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 12 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
95.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
96.3%
Sam Scarton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:214% → 15%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
96.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 27 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Dacari CollinsSimilar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.0%
Uiagalelei, D.J. pass incomplete to Ajou, Ajou, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Bright, Cam) 12 yards to the PITTSBURGH33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
95.5%
Uiagalelei, D.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Mathis, Damarri) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
95.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+10
95.5%
Will Shipley run for 10 yds to the Pitt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
85.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
21 plays · 49 yds · 7:1190% → 97%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.9%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
90.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
92.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
92.9%
Kenny Pickett run for 7 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
93.5%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
93.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+6
94.7%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
95.6%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Clem 38Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
95.6%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+17
96.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 2 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Justin Mascoll) to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 13
OPP 20
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 15
OPP 22
-4
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:30
D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted for a TD SirVocea Dennis return for 50 yds for a TD (Sam Scarton KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q2 3:18
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds for a TD CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Clem 1 (Sam Scarton KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q4 7:56
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)
-10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com